Season 2017-2018 Week 28 Results | 20W-11L-8P | +2375€ Profit

costanza (69)in #money • 7 years ago (edited)

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

This was a week with Mixed feelings. There was some good profit and many of the pre-game ideas played out as anticipated, but I got myself in a couple 'lose a lot win a little' situations adding up bets on the same match with the risk to lose all of them in case the match ended with a very specific score. When I say 'lose a lot' it corresponds to around 1.7% of my total bankroll which was at risk spread over many different bets on the same match.

Similar to many of ther other week, short term variance played a big role and it was kind as most of the bets ended up winning in the end. It's much better to get yourself in a "lose a little win a lot" situation, so moving forward I will be a bit more carefull adding multiple bets when being in a losing situation on the ones I allready had regardless the value of the extra bets.

Two more weeks to go until the regular season ends and all matches will be played at the same time which should highly reduce the amount if bets as it is impossible to watch everything live. In the case when there are so many matches at the same time, I tend to have an even stronger pre-game plan and listen live to the radio reports to get a sense of how things are playing out.

Betting Graph week 28.jpg

 Season 2017-2018 Results
 762 Bets|360W-291L-111P|Staked 189298€|+15292 Profit|+8.08% ROI

Let me know about your betting week in the comments!

#investing #life #busy #betting

7 years ago in #money by costanza (69)

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inittowinit (36) 7 years ago

Another big weekend! Season is going amazing.
Which games did you had the ' lose a lot, win a little' situation?

Pre game picks were a mess this week, very gutted about the over between Standard and Brugge. Luckily I could made some tiny profit due to live betting.

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costanza (69) 7 years ago

The over in Standard did indeed not play out as hoped.

The most bets were on the Waasland vs AA Gent match, I had a tiny bet on Over 10 Corners pre game and added some Over 9 and Over 8 during the 1st half and some extra over 7 at 0-2 ck and 1-0 HT score. I also slowly went with the pre-game plan to bet the over if the match started out with a study round early and odds got around O 2.25 @ 2.0 around minute 10. So I took that and some Over 2 quickly after. When Waasland was in the lead and Gent pushing in 2nd half I took some extra on the Over 2.25 and AA Gent -0.5 @ 2.4. So at that point I was in quite deep with a potential of losing nearly all if nothing happend for the remainder of the match (which was unlikely, but it's best to avoid getting in situations like this) The match ended 1-2 for AA Gent with 10 corners so I can't complain.

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djoker (50) 7 years ago

Mine was bad. Step back to better go forward !

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costanza (69) 7 years ago

That's right, there is no such thing as losing, only learning experience.

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kryptocek (53) 7 years ago (edited)

Holy thats one of your better weeks in total! I'd love to have a birds eye view of all these bets your placing! sounds like a crazy complicated process..

Good thing not everyone knows how to bet like you or Las Vegas wouldn't be in business!

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costanza (69) 7 years ago

I probably would not beat Vegas since the odds they offer are very difficult to beat (1.91) especially at this volume I would get crushed by the juice. It's all not that complicated once you understad how the asian live markets work, follow everything closely and most important have your emotions under control.

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kryptocek (53) 7 years ago

Yeah emotions have got the best of me before.. I’m sure lots of people have it far worse. So using the Asian live market essentially is just better odds then regular bookys?

This is your full time job I’m guessing haha for the money you make or just a side hobby/ business?

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costanza (69) 7 years ago

Yes, I once made an article explaining bookmaker buisiness models which points out the big difference between traditional and asian bookmakers.

I would not say this is my full time job, it's one of the many things I do which all combined helps me to slowly build a passive income (I don't really work). The reason I like Steemit is because it can help to bring some stable income and keep me sharp at the same time.

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beat-the-bookies (63) 7 years ago

Congrats on the winning!

The past week was gentle with me yielding +10.69%. The monthly report is aproaching and I'm yet to recover from those three disastrous days when I've lost 12u betting on UEFA cups.

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