Season 2017-2018 Week 6 Results | 13W-1L-2P | +2251€ Profit
I did not have any full stake pre-game bets last weekend so nothing was posted on Steemit. All focus was on live betting this week and I had a nice rebound to recover part of the downswing which puts me back on par with what I expect to win in the long run.
Steemit Bets Week 6
(These results from now on will be monthly in a separate post)
Week 6 Results: 0 Bets | 0W-0L-0P | + 0.000 units Profit
Week 5 Results: 2 Bets | 0W-2L-0P | - 2.000 units Loss
Week 4 Results: 3 Bets | 0W-3L-0P | - 2.500 units Loss
Week 3 Results: 3 Bets | 1W-2L-0P | -1.160 units Loss
Week 2 Results: 4 Bets | 3W-1L-0P | +1.843 units Profit
Week 1 Results: 3 Bets | 3W-0L-0P | +2.801 units Profit
Season 2017-2018 Steemit Results
15 Bets | 7W-8L-0P | -1.016 units Loss | -6.77% ROI
Personal Betting Results After Week 6
Pretty much all the betting angles I talk about in my Weekly Jupiler League Roundup produced winners this week. Anderlecht again was a lot better in the 2nd half, Waasland and Zulte-Waregem continue to be overish teams. Standard can only count on their grinta. Club Brugge after 5 wins with medicore play was overvalued. Antwerp as expected were good for late goals again. This is my main approach when it comes down to betting and handicapping. Finding spots that are undervalued or overvalued and see if they align pre-game or live during the games to exploit.
Week 6 Results 16 Bets | 13W-01L-2P | Staked 3.180€ | +2.251€ ProfitWeek 5 Results 27 Bets | 10W-09L-8P | Staked 6.688€ | -645€ Loss
Week 4 Results 31 Bets | 11W-15L-5P | Staked 6.813€ | -1.423€ Loss
Week 3 Results 26 Bets | 11W-12L-3P | Staked 4.582€ | -861€ Loss
Week 2 Results 21 Bets | 12W-08L-1P | Staked 3.787€ | +714€ Profit
Week 1 Results 29 Bets | 15W-13L-1P | Staked 4.903€ | +1.091€ Profit
This is really good. You've got a professional approach are looking for value and are keeping good records. You might not have the profitability but the results should come. Following
Thanks!
I really believe record keeping is key and try to be straightforward. No sugarcoating anything, just posting as things are in both good and bad times. Long term is what it is about, I'm quite confident in that regard.
That's good. You have the right foundations to be successful so you can probably just work on your edge and maybe explore some new strategies. I've found it can be hard to maintain an edge long term as the market tends to wise up.
Previous results had a little mistake. The loss in week 3 was -1.423€ instead of -1.992€. Selected area in my excel was wrong. Overall stats and graph were correct at the time of posting.
My betting as you know is the small stake win big accumulators so obv normally always lose however . I was surprised when my excel predictor predicted Man Utd would be a draw. Is it by chance or due to my method I cant be sure ??
The thing about these accumulators that you need to see is that they are messing with your mind. They tend to give the feeling of 'allmost winning' which is processed in the brain very similar to actually winning. They are addictive since most of the time they feel like you made a great call but got unlucky. It gets most people who bet these in a mental state of denial. When just running the numbers on combo bets they simply don't hold up.
It's what is difficult about sports betting, the sample size to give numbers meaning needs to be huge in order to eliminate randomness. If you ever get to a big enough sample size things might have changes so you are never sure. If your predictor manages to predict these kind of things systematically you could be a millionaire in no time. Most of the time this is not how things go down in sports betting as edges tend to be small.
Good luck !
Yea true but I only invest 50p each stake and dont think either me or the predictor will ever win anything. It's more art than an actual betting machine hehehehe