Season 2017-2018 Week 23 Results | 12W-03L-1P | +2490€ Profit

costanza (69)in #money • 7 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

This was a mid-week with only a handful of bets and no real big ones. The bets I did take performed really good and many of them were posted or based on leans I mentioned in my weekly preview post.

Moeskroen vs Kortrijk "My lean goes out to the visitors" FT 0-3
Stvv vs Mechelen Under 2,25 @ 2,07 FT 2-0
Zulte-Waregem vs Standard Zulte-Waregem +0,25 @ 1,78 and Over 2,25 @ 1,84 FT 2-1
Eupen vs Charleroi "I'm liking Eupen here" FT 1-0 | Under 9.5 Corners (12)
Lokeren vs Genk Genk -0.25 @ 1.81 FT 1-2
Anderlecht vs Waasland Over 3 @ 1.98 | "I expect both to score and Anderlecht to win" FT 2-2

Periods with many league matches in a short time frame are an excellent opportunity to handicap based on team form and flow as there simply is no time to break the patterns. This will also be the main angle I will be looking at tomorrow when week 24 starts. I will do my best to get the previews up in time and I also have my eye on some bets at Nitrogensports...

I slightly increased the pink expected profit line in my graph from +3.25% to +3.5%. Last 1600+ bets have produced over +7% ROI and I'm quite confident that a +3.5% ROI is an achievable expectation longer term even with this high volume betting style. Steemit has really helped me to stay sharp and keeps me from slacking this season.

 Season 2017-2018 Results
 590 Bets | 283W-222L-85P | Staked 135268€ | +15293€ Profit | +11.31% ROI

Let me know about your betting week in the comments!

#investing #blog #life #busy

7 years ago in #money by costanza (69)

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decebal2dac (62) 7 years ago

I like your system and discipline. Keep it up @costanza.
I was looking at that bet on corners of yours, interesting to see your decision making there. Would you consider no bet to be a good bet at times or do you take a gamble ?

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costanza (69) 7 years ago

Thanks decebal2dac!

In the long run, money saved is worth as much as money won.
So yes, staying away from a bet when there are some red flags despite feeling the odds are huge value and wanting to go all in can be key. In that regard, a bet not taken can be the most profitable one.

When it comes down to close (intuatiuon) calls I tend to go for 'the gamble' when I'm in an overall confident mindset usually in an upswing and tighten down a lot when in a more negative mental state during a downswing.

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Season 2017-2018 Week 23 Results | 12W-03L-1P | +2490€ Profit

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