Season 2017-2018 Week 14 Results | 6W-11L-3P | -661€ Loss
Last week there was a small correction after 5 straight winning weeks. I increased my minimum stake size a bit which left me pretty much with mainly betting minimum bets as the market has been quite tight without real spots to hit big. Pinnacle still is not offering corner handicap lines which probably isn't going to change back any time soon which comes with a decrease in amount of bets compared to the early start of this season.
The same scenario in the Eupen match again this week with the same frustrating result. Some market factors were against which made me skip the live over again. Sure enough 1st goal came at the 33th minute with a crazy 4-4 as end result. This angle for now is no longer valid as Eupen will have a new coach next match.
My biggest bet was in the Antwerp vs Charleroi match. This was anticipated to be a very underish match and a lot of money came in on the under. In my weekly roundup I talked about how I like the under on chanerloi when they take the lead early and how I like the over if Antwerp gets behind. I combined both betting the under 3.75 @ 1.90 right when the 1-1 was scored in the 18th minute. With the idea to go along with the big pre-game move at a much bigger line and a good possibility the match would slow down after the 1-1 score . the 1-2 came out of nothing in the 28th minute after which I changed my plan to hedge out later in the match is score remained, but I actually fell asleep (that tends to happen in matches from Charleroi) and I woke up when the 4th goal was scored in minute 71'. 1-3 it stayed so I only lost half on that one. I will keep my eye out on early 1-1 scores in matches with under potential. Pre-game lines are set so tight that you always want to have them as a reference and being able to crush those live can give some value in the right spots.
Week 14 Results 20 Bets | 06W-11L-013 | Staked 4469€ | -661€ Loss
Week 13 Results 26 Bets | 15W-10L-01P | Staked 5489€ | +318€ Profit
Week 12 Results 20 Bets | 09W-08L-03P | Staked 3805€ | +509€ Profit
Week 11 Results 28 Bets | 12W-09L-07P | Staked 5727€ | +407€ Profit
Week 10 Results 31 Bets | 17W-10L-04P | Staked 6779€ | +548€ Profit
Week 09 Results 39 Bets | 25W-10L-10P | Staked 8463€ | +3054€ Profit
Week 08 Results 41 Bets | 16W-14L-10P | Staked 9170€ | -82€ Loss
Week 07 Results 35 Bets | 21W-11L-03P | Staked 6360€ | +3354€ Profit
Week 06 Results 16 Bets | 13W-01L-02P | Staked 3180€ | +2251€ Profit
Week 05 Results 27 Bets | 10W-09L-08P | Staked 6688€ | -645€ Loss
Week 04 Results 31 Bets | 11W-15L-05P | Staked 6813€ | -1423€ Loss
Week 03 Results 26 Bets | 11W-12L-03P | Staked 4582€ | -861€ Loss
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 12W-08L-01P | Staked 3787€ | +714€ Profit
Week 01 Results 29 Bets | 15W-13L-01P | Staked 4903€ | +1091€ Profit
Season 2017-2018 Results
390 Bets | 193W-142L-55P | Staked 84684€ | +8577€ Profit | +10.13% ROI
Bad luck. Got to take the bad with the good unfortunately and hot streaks never seem to last long enough. You will bounce back for sure.
Ouch. 661€ is a pretty penny. You are probably used to it though. I am doing a $10 - $1000 challenge on my own after the international break. I might document that as well.
I think in units, it does not really feel like real money.
Good luck with your challenge, just realise that you will need it even if all bets would have a positive expected value. A better challenge imo would be 1000$ to 1200$ in a couple months putting in many hours and many bets. When you approach betting with unrealistic profit growth expectation it really becomes gambling no matter how good you are. A much more boring approach and it can become an actual real investment with expected profit.
I had tried it once and lost the entire bank on the last day on x2.0 odds. Greed is a bad thing.
Let me see how far I get with it though. Thanks. I will need all the luck I can get.
Looks like my NFL bets this weekend.. :/
Turn the page and look forward to a new week!
Yes!
Learn from what went wrong, press the emotional reset button, and go again.
good luck !
Hang in there. You know it is a marathon and not a sprint!
img credz: pixabay.com
Nice, you got a 33.0% @peaceandlove upgoat, thanks to @costanza
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great post @costanza
I think this post will benefit you
https://steemit.com/currency/@laciri/dxy-index-nears-resistance-as-first-eur-usd-h-and-s-target-
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