These are previews from the Belgian Jupiler League with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries and my personal betting angles, ...
I had 2 Live bets on
friday on each half and they both say the stake returned. I was on the good side on each of them though and I'm looking to get more of these in live this weekend. I will continue to keep a very low pre-game betting profile though.
Charleroi vs Waasland
Waasland-beveren are on my teams to fade list but the market seems to have overly adjusted to this. They got a +0 lne last week t home against Cercle Brugge which ended in a 1-1 draw. Charleroi is now the favorite and needs to cover a big -1 line after having taken the win away against Club Brugge. The results at home against bottom / mid-table teams might be a very good reference for this match. [ Charleroi vs Cercle 3-1 | Charleroi vs Zulte-Waregem 3-2 | Charleroi vs Lokeren 2-1 | Charleroi vs Mouscron 3-1]. All those matches went over the asian total line and saw the home team as the winner. I haven't taken anything just yet because they lost important offensive player Benavente (1060 minutes played / 5 goals / 2 assists), but I am certainly considering taking something in this match that follows the pattern. The under in corners once Charleroi take the lead is also high on my watchlist.
Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden
Cercle is still without Taravel and Lambot in defense and I don't trust them even though they were the better team against Waasland last week. They are a side that should do ok against mediocre teams but really struggle against top sides. Stvv is somewhat in between. They fight for a playoff 1 spot but are in a bad streak being unable to win in the last 5 matches. They saw their best creative player Bezus leave to AA Gent last week and I would not be surprised to see a further drop back. Both are rather hard teams to estimate right now, My lean would be on the under with the option to trade out if needed or the Cercle Brugge Team Total under 1.5 but I will stay away since I'm keeping a low pre-game profile.
Lokeren vs Zulte-Waregem
I had some hopes on Lokeren but they were crushed last week and my willingness to back them is completely gone. They yet again fired their coach last week and took on Glen De Boeck. Last coach Sollied played rather offensive and I expect a complete u-turn when it comes down to the approach being a lot more defensive minded. This often happens when a new coach arrives in a team that struggles. Zulte-Waregem played a decent match and took initiative against Antwerp but somehow lost that match. Stef Peeters who is new showed that he's an enforcement. They are still in 2nd last place and this match will certainly bring about a lot of nerves. If Sollied was still coach I would instantly go for the over, but the new coach should bring about a new approach and the shock effect angle is always a scenario that often happens. Similar to the other matches, I will stay away and keep a close eye on this match for potential live bets.
Genk vs Moeskroen
Genk showed last week that they still have their magic yet they failed to cover the asian handicap line. They are in the range of getting -2 lines assigned at home and can't really be seen as underrated anymore. Moeskroen is doing ok with 2 wins from the last 3 matches, but are also still in the danger zone with 20 points (6 ahead of Lokeren). Pozuelo is suspended for this match and he's pretty much the only player Genk has no replacement for as creative force on the midfield. They do still have plenty of quality though and similar to last week I think it's best to just wait it out. The moment they start showing their excellent form I start being willing to get some in on them at a better odds compared to the closing line. Just not the match I want to get involved in pre-game.
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. The Bookmakers that I am personally using and am willing to recommend...
SBC League January
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
20/01/2019 | Chiefs 1H -2.5 | 10 | 1.939 | -10 | Nitrogen |
20/01/2019 | Saints -3.5 | 10 | 2.066 | -10 | Nitrogen |
20/01/2019 | Moes vs Oost 1H U1 | 10 | 1.983 | -10 | Nitrogen |
19/01/2019 | Lokeren +0.5 | 10 | 2.003 | -10 | Nitrogen |
13/01/2019 | Saints -9 | 10 | 2.026 | -10 | Nitrogen |
13/01/2019 | Chargers +3.5 | 10 | 2.076 | -10 | Nitrogen |
12/01/2019 | Colts +5 | 10 | 1.986 | -10 | Nitrogen |
04/01/2019 | Bears -7 | 10 | 2.126 | -10 | Nitrogen |
04/01/2019 | Seahawks ML | 10 | 2.116 | -10 | Nitrogen |
04/01/2019 | Colts +0 | 10 | 2.036 | +10.36 | Nitrogen |
Results History
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 206 | 99 | 96 | 11 | 1.891 | +0.119599 | +6.32% |
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
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