The Cup Final between AA Gent and KV Mechelen will be played today between AA Gent and the team who won the 2nd division KV Mechelen.
AA Gent vs KV Mechelen
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AA Gent had an excellent end of the regular season, got a bit unlucky at the start of the playoffs and had a total fall back in the last couple matches. It is quite tricky to estimate how they will present themselves this afternoon. The main reference match for me is still the away match against Sint-Truiden where they had to put up a result to reach playoff 1. They played really good from start to finish completely dominating their direct opponent for the last playoff 1 spot winning with 0-2. A lot of time has passed since though and they no longer have the same form. They are however used to playing against solid motivated teams the last 6 weeks while KV Mechelen did not have a competitive match for over a month after winning the title in the 2nd Division. There has also been a lot of talk about them relegating anyway based on the possible match-fixing that took place against Waasland Beveren. AA Genk will be able to field a good team despite missing both Chakvetadze and Yeremchuk. They have has some issues scoring lately only making 3 goals in the last 6 matches with Sorloth seemingly out of form. KV Mechelen is a team that would not have had any issues in case they played in the 1st division this year. The lack of competitive matches is more likely to be a disadvantage for them and they are without Kaya. Betting wise it's a tricky one, I had a lean toward the underdog but their odds dropped a lot making me now fancy AA Gent much more. I'm not willing to oppose such a sharp line movent right away though.
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Looking at the historical total amount of goals in these cup finals it shows an average of 2.95 goals and very few draws. 12 Over 2.5 goals - 8 Under 2.5 goals. The under would be a small bet at current 2.75 line @ 1.92 in case the history of the cup matches showed less goals overall. Right now there is no bet whatsoever in this match that seduces me and I will wait it out live. If AA Gent show a similar pattern of domination as was the case in the important match against Sint-Truiden I'll be willing to back them on the 1st half handicap first and see later of how it all plays out.
No Pre-Game Bets
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. The Bookmakers that I am personally using and currently am willing to recommend...
Results History
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
I really hope that Gent will take the cup! Several reasons for that. Maybe the most important is that it will make the final between the 2 POs easier to organize!
I do have nothing against KVM but they have cheated and should be punished!
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