Week 26 Results | 16W-16L-05P | -0.371 Units Loss

costanza (69)in #money • 5 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

This was one of those weeks where the officially shared bets that I track (both pre-game and Live) performed good but I still ended up with a minor loss because of the smaller bets I'm taking as a way to build more volume. I do keep personal stats on these and they have been profitable so far this season. These are the numbers out of the 960 bets I placed so far.

Stakes	Bets	ROI
Limited Stakes (0.01-0.99 unit)	104	-6.57% ROI
Tiny Stakes (~0.2 unit)	192	+12.58% ROI
Small Stakes (~0.4 unit)	489	+0.82% ROI
Medium Stakes (~0.7 unit)	157	+3.55% ROI
Full Stakes (~1 unit)	18	+19.93% ROI
Total	960	+2.86% ROI

Limited stakes are the bets where the maximum available is lower than what I want to bet. Some of these markets have only 100€-200€ limits especially when the odds I want are only available at one of the bookmaker options on Sportmarket Pro. So If I want to take half a unit on something and I'm only able to get 0.4 units in on it I count it as limited stakes. Results on these are usually the best since there is a reason why only this much is available.

I'm still not very happy with my average stakes and feel I'm still way too conservative right now. I noticed this during Live betting on Saturday so I stepped them up a bit and guess what, those bets ended up losing which is partly the reason for the minor loss this week. I will keep In mind for next week to just slightly increase the stakes on all my bets a bit and I should also be more willing to take a bit higher odds.

I keep sharing my medium stake sized and up live bets on the SBC Discord Server as I have been doing for about a year now.

Discord Live-Bets

Red Bull Salzburg 1st Half +0 @ 1.810 (0-1 20') PUSH
Standard vs Lokeren 1H Under 1.25 @ 1.900 ( 2' 0-0) LOST
Zulte-Waregem 1H +0 @ 1.82 (16' 0-0) PUSH
Oostende 1H +0 @ 1.78 (33' 0-0) WON
Zulte-Waregem vs Stvv Over 0.75 @ 1.90 (69' 0-0) WON
Waasland vs AA Gent Corners Over 11 @ 2.08 (61' 2-5) LOST
Club Brugge 1st Half +0 @ 1.781 WON

I really enjoy keeping a personal results graph all season long an see how it all evolves. Betting has so many similarities to trading that one could almost start doing a technical analysis. Parabolical move early on and a long slow grind down afterward now seeing a trend reversal hoping the low is in. Volumes are on the low side and it's catching up to long term moving averages.

 Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
 960 Bets| 430W-403L-127P|Staked 486.854u|+13.907u Profit|+2.86% ROI

Let me know in the comments how your betting week was !

#investing #busy #sbc #gambling

5 years ago in #money by costanza (69)

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steem-ua (64) 5 years ago

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Week 26 Results | 16W-16L-05P | -0.371 Units Loss

Hi @costanza!

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