Week 12 Results | 18W-16L-07P | -0.030 Units Loss
![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSSx9EdDpEPUq5h9AKoXhQYaCvXN1whaeCop58C16JQAx/Week12results.jpg)
I made a couple units profit with the mid-week European games and gave it all back in the league during the weekend. The odds and lines on the betting market are really being set air tight these days and it's a lot more difficult to find good value spots right now. Currently I'm in something of a sideways channel running around break even for the last ~200 bets. If anything, keeping weekly results posts with a graph like this really shows variance in betting and can get you in a mindset of longer term thinking. In the end it's all a numbers game and understanding the probabilities is a key skill to beat this market.
I get quite some bets out of the limited amount of matches in total each week. One of the reasons for this is because I don't mind hedging in and out of positions taking some guaranteed profit, most of the times these are bets where I took some on the under or underdog while the match looks quite tricky and the bet becomes "a sweat". In these situations when it is possible to take a guaranteed +7% edge I will most of the time do so even if I don't see actual value in the hedge bet itself. This really helps to keep the swings in check and build volume at the same time.
![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdUgXMfoVjPp1LAyzkiJ48kf1WznKHM1Dfy7Tgi6bKuzh/sbc.jpg)
Discord Live-Bets
Europe
Monaco +0.5 @ 2.15 WON
Club Brugge -0.5 @ 2.19 (49' 1-1) LOST
Anderlecht 1st Half +0 @ 1.98 (1-0 38') PUSH
Krasnodar 1H +0 @ 1.80 (31' 0-0) WON
Genk +0.25 @ 1.90 (0-0 5') WON
Krasnodar +0.25 @ 1.87 (0-0 12') LOST
Belgian League
Moeskroen Team total Under 1.75 @ 1.96 (2-1 30') HALF LOST
Club Brugge +0 @ 1.82 (71' 1-2) LOST
Standard vs Genk Over 2 @ 2.03 (29' 0-0) PUSH
Eupen vs Anderlecht Over 3 @ 2.06 (63' 2-0) PUSH
over 16.5 CK @ 1.90 (4-11 78') LOST
Eupen vs Anderlecht Over 3.5 @ 2.51 ( 2-1 81') LOST
Waasland +0.25 @ 1.88 (0-1 66') HALF WON
![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWqy1wEGgJ8SLDiGiaUBYTjbTcSyXz7TyHh55q7E1kF7c/Week12.jpg)
The exected profit from the pink line continues to catch up to the actual profit line but there is still quite the gap. Busy chedule ahead the next 7 days with both week 13 & week 14 on the program.
Week 12 Results 41 Bets | 18W-16L-07P | Staked 24.40u | -0.030u Loss..
Week 11 Results 23 Bets | 08W-11L-04P | Staked 14.56u | -2.510u Loss..
Week 10 Results 43 Bets | 16W-19L-07P | Staked 26.84u | -1.389u Loss..
Week 09 Results 60 Bets | 27W-26L-07P | Staked 32.77u | +2.810u Profit
Week 08 Results 46 Bets | 26W-16L-04P | Staked 26.09u | +5.790u Profit
Week 07 Results 39 Bets | 19W-15L-05P | Staked 15.86u | +3.200u Profit
Week 06 Results 55 Bets | 32W-18L-05P | Staked 25.68u | +8.670u Profit
Week 05 Results 55 Bets | 21W-24L-10P | Staked 24.37u | -0.420u Loss..
Week 04 Results 33 Bets | 14W-13L-06P | Staked 16.30u | +0.190u Profit
Week 03 Results 38 Bets | 22W-13L-03P | Staked 18.74u | +6.170u Profit
Week 02 Results 30 Bets | 09W-17L-04P | Staked 17.41u | -3.120u Loss..
Week 01 Results 31 Bets | 14W-14L-03P | Staked 20.19u | +0.150u Profit
Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
494 Bets| 226W-203L-65P|Staked 263.218u|+19.510u Profit|+7.41% ROI