Week 13 Results | 7W-9L-03P | -1.080 Units Loss

in #money6 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

Betting results this season have taken the elevator up and the stairsteps down (unlike Crypto where it is often the opposite lately). I made plenty of mistakes during the mids-week games betting wise and failed to pull the trigger on many good bets. The bigger position on the under in Charleroi vs Stvv won though which made the damage very limited. The amount of the now 4 losing weeks in a row combined don't even wipe out the profits from the 3th most profitable weeks so far. For now there is nothing to worry about results wise but I do feel I need to get a bit sharper again.

The main mistake I made this week is to put in a small 'chase bet' on the last match. I was down ~ 0.35 units and came home from spending an afternoon with some friends when the 2nd half was about to start in the match between Zulte-Waregem and Standard. The temptation to take a small bet on standard after carcela came in at a much better line and odds compared to the closing line was a bit too strong. The bet lost deserved resulting in a 1 unit loss instead of a 0.35 unit loss. Anyway, more matches on the program this weekend and I really like some situational spots which made me take a couple early positions already.



I'm getting a bit more selective on the Live bets I'm sharing on Discord. I also will be a bit less active givinglive match updates there in case multiple matches are played at the same time because it can be quite the distraction at times.

Discord Live-Bets


Belgian League
1H Moeskroen +0.25 @ 2.07 (8' 0-0) WON
Moeskroen vs AA Gent Over 10 Corners @ 1.884 (6-2 74') PUSH
Eupen vs Cercle Brugge CK Under 10 @ 1.934 LOST
Kortrijk vs Waasland Over 12.5 CK @ 1.90 (78' 8-3) WON


The regresion to the mean pattern continues to form, but I'm still well above the pink expectd line. Things can go quickly though and it's not unthinkable to even get in the red at some point during the season. My average stakes have grow sunce starting which makes the ups and downs a lot bigger. I'll do what I can to make it into another big upswing though.


Previous Personal Results
Week 13 Results 19 Bets | 07W-09L-03P | Staked 11.79u | -1.080u Loss..
Week 12 Results 41 Bets | 18W-16L-07P | Staked 24.40u | -0.030u Loss..
Week 11 Results 23 Bets | 08W-11L-04P | Staked 14.56u | -2.510u Loss..
Week 10 Results 43 Bets | 16W-19L-07P | Staked 26.84u | -1.389u Loss..
Week 09 Results 60 Bets | 27W-26L-07P | Staked 32.77u | +2.810u Profit
Week 08 Results 46 Bets | 26W-16L-04P | Staked 26.09u | +5.790u Profit
Week 07 Results 39 Bets | 19W-15L-05P | Staked 15.86u | +3.200u Profit
Week 06 Results 55 Bets | 32W-18L-05P | Staked 25.68u | +8.670u Profit
Week 05 Results 55 Bets | 21W-24L-10P | Staked 24.37u | -0.420u Loss..
Week 04 Results 33 Bets | 14W-13L-06P | Staked 16.30u | +0.190u Profit
Week 03 Results 38 Bets | 22W-13L-03P | Staked 18.74u | +6.170u Profit
Week 02 Results 30 Bets | 09W-17L-04P | Staked 17.41u | -3.120u Loss..
Week 01 Results 31 Bets | 14W-14L-03P | Staked 20.19u | +0.150u Profit


 Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
 513 Bets| 233W-212L-68P|Staked 275.005u|+18.429u Profit|+6.70% ROI

Let me know in the comments how your betting mid-week was !

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