Week 24 Results | 23W-14L-06P | +1.558 Units Profit

costanza (69)in #money • 5 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

The turnaround pattern continued in week 24 with some decent profit which could have been a lot more and I'm getting more confident again to the point where I might start having some bigger pre-game bets again.

My focus has mainly been on using the previews that I have been making since the start of last year as a way to prepare myself for some potential live betting setups. It really helps to have a clear plan ready for what to look for before going into a match and this can always be changed or discarded if things turn out different than expected. Especially this week, I had quite some live bets planned upfront and it was just a matter of pulling the trigger.

1 goal would break this match wide open but it might take a while before it comes. As long as it stays 0-0 it means extra time. The fear of getting a goal against might win out from the will to take risks. These situations tend to create good betting opportunities right after the first goal is scored since the total 2.25 line is pretty much set on a likely 0-0.

The first goal in Union vs Mechelen came at minute 30' and I took the over right after. With the 0-2 being scored at minute 64 it provided a good opportunity to get out of the way getting some potential profit without risk at that point since the match was pretty much played. The 1-2 did come in extra time.

The Under in corners will also be something that I'll look for if Antwerp takes the lead. If this happens early on I might also take some extra on the under 3 line or higher.

Antwerp took a 0-1 early lead in minute 4' and which made me go for the Under 3.25 @ 2.17 quickly along with the U 9.5 in CK. The first bet ended up winning, but the corners went over despite looking like a sure win at HT.

The over is also on my radar, but both teams have most of their goals in the 2nd half so I'm saving it up. In case Waasland manages to score the first goal, a comeback would not be that unlikely.

Waasland Beveren took the surprise early lead and I got some in on Genk to equalize before HT but they started pushing too late. At HT I got in on the over and once I saw some confirmation of the push from the 1H end continuing I also got some extra on the comeback. That match ended 1-2.

This match feels like one where to back the team that falls behind. As far as the total line goes, it's tempting to go with the over.

I had my finger ready to bet the Over 2 line just when the first goal was played by Standard against the play. After watching the minute after seeing Anderlecht not really been shaken up I took the team that was behind as planned and they scored 5 minutes after. Standard was better in the 2nd half and I mostly middled my position.

Plenty of the live bets I took on Sportmarket Pro were posted in the SBC Discord Server again. I also always mention when I hedge out part of my stake or take smaller positions just for info. These are never counted into the record and also won't be tracked aside form their results being in these overall weekly results roundups.

Discord Live-Bets Belgian Cup

Union vs Kv Mechelen Over 2.5 @ 2.00 (31' 0-1) WON
Union vs Kv Mechelen Under 2.5 @ 2.11 (65' 0-2) LOST
Kv Oostende 1st Half +0.25 @ 1.88 ( 1-0 23') WON
Oostende vs AA Gent Corners Over 22 @ 1.917 (71' 3-16) LOST
AA Gent -0.25 @ 2.03 ( 0-0 Extra Time) HALF LOST

Discord Live-Bets Belgian League

Moeskroen vs Charleroi 1H Under 1 @ 1.833 ( 0-0 2') PUSH
Moeskroen +0 @ 1.85 (58' 1-0) WON
Moeskroen +0 @ 1.91 (3-0 78') PUSH
Oostende vs Antwerp Corners Under 9 @1.943 ( 0-0 5') LOST
Oostende vs Antwerp Under 3.25 @ 2.17 (0-1 4') WON
Racing Genk 1st Half -0.5 @ 1.847 (1-0 12') LOST
Waasland vs Racing Genk Over 2.75 @ 1.82 (HT 1-0) HALF WON
Genk -1 @ 1.84 (52' 1-0) WON
Anderlecht +0 @ 2.06 (1-0 23') PUSH
Eupen Team Total Under 2 @ 1.951 (11' 0-1) WON

I'm still very much going for reaching that pink expected profit line again. My stakes on average are not as high as they used to be after the big upswing this season sh the pink line will not go up as quickly.

 Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
 889 Bets| 393W-375L-121P|Staked 461.227u|+12.224u Profit|+2.65% ROI

Let me know in the comments how your betting week was !

#investing #busy #sbc #gambling

5 years ago in #money by costanza (69)

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fullcoverbetting (69) 5 years ago

Back to back green weeks! Great job done @costanza.
You are recovering slowly from the bad week 20! Which was a nightmare.
Keep on going!

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steem-ua (64) 5 years ago

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Week 24 Results | 23W-14L-06P | +1.558 Units Profit

Hi @costanza!

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