These are previews from the Belgian Jupiler League Playoffs with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries along with my personal bets and betting angles, ...
Decent start of the playoffs yesterday with some profit despite losing one of the pre-games under bets. More matches today and most of my focus this weekend will be on the Playoff 1 matches...
Genk vs Anderlecht
I already have an early bet on Racing Genk (
See Post) taking
Genk -0.5 @ 1.84 &
Genk -0.75 @ 2.11. The odds are currently trading at 1.751 & 1.961 on pinnacle despite some news about possible important missings for Genk. Some sources have both Trossard and Samatta as questionable even though the newspaper has them in the starting 11. These are the 2 most important players and if they are out it will certainly affect the line. I will keep a close look at when the line-ups are released tonight. I will sell at least part of my position if they are out and I'm ahead of the line movement. For as far as the total line goes in this match, Genk surprisingly was the worst performing team against the Asian over line especially at home (10.5W-4L-0.5P on the under). The total line is not crazy high though at 2.75 and I'm not willing to get in on the under as I see Anderlecht having a difficult time to keep a clean sheet.
Kortrijk vs Moeskroen
Moeskroen was the team to back near the end of the regular season and they will surely want to continue this streak. They will be without their best creative player Benson though. Kortrijk has been a poor home team this season and an excellent away team. The odds moved up a lot after news came that Benson will be out and I see it as an overreaction. I had to take some on
Moeskroen +0.25 @ 2.11 pre-game and will be looking to get in some more live if I'm liking the match picture (or get out of the way if needed). Playoff 2 matches are always a question mark when it comes down to motivation and many of the matches are just extremely boring with goals that come out of nowhere. I need to see more live and if it's a match where both teams go for it I will likely get in on the over in corners. Especially Kortrijk has been quite high on Corner kicks lately and Moeskroen is not the team to crawl back.
Oostende vs Eupen
Oostende has been a poor team all season long. It was mostly the player mentality and lack of drive to win that was the problem. Coach Verheyen could not cope with that and left late in the season. Nothing really changed afterward with Broos as the main coach. Eupen had a big losing streak at the end of the season but broke that with an away win against Charleroi in the last week. I'm tempted to take Eupen but odds simply are not good enough for me. This stays an away match where there is a new start. Oostende are great to oppose when they take the lead and that is what I will be looking at for Live Betting.
No Pre-Game Bets
Union vs Cercle Brugge
Union is a good team from the 2nd division with Tau and Niakaté as dangerous players. They are the deserved favorites on the betting markets in this match as Cercle Brugge had a really bad end of the season with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. 2nd Division teams tend to do quite good in playoff 2 as there is not that much of a quality difference while the players get to show what they got for much more viewers. Cardona and Lambot are injured but Hazard should be back. It's not sure that he will start in the match. This will be an interesting match to follow live but I'm not getting involved with any bets right now.
No Pre-Game Bets
Zulte-Waregem vs Waasland
The most straightforward choice for this match is taking the Over line. I was thinking about it early this week but skipped and now odds have drifted quite some. Zulte-Waregem was the team with most goals in the regular season and will aim to get the top striker trophy to Harbaoui. They are complete and will aim to win playoff 2 to still make a chance for an European ticket. Waasland played a crazy 4-3 match against Standard with 3 goals from striker Milosevic who played his first match. Ampomah will also be back in the team. I do exepct goals in this match but will wait it out live because of the line movement. If I get in it will likely be at higher odds. I also like Zulte-Waregem to win, but again the -1.25 line does not really seem to be set wrong even though Waasland is known as a team that performs horrible in Playoff 2 nearly each year.
No Pre-Game Bets
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. The Bookmakers that I am personally using and currently am willing to recommend...
March Bets
| Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
|---|
| 31/03/2019 | Genk -1 | 10 | 2.370 | Pending | Nitrogen |
| 29/03/2019 | Sta vs Ant 1H Under 1 | 10 | 1.868 | +0.00 | Nitrogen |
| 10/03/2019 | Waas vs Zulte Over 3.5 | 10 | 2.479 | -10 | Nitrogen |
| 10/03/2019 | KV Kortrijk +1 | 10 | 1.847 | -10 | Nitrogen |
| 10/03/2019 | Club Brugge 1H -0.5 | 10 | 2.142 | +11.42 | Nitrogen |
| 02/03/2019 | Sint-Truiden +1.5 | 10 | 1.900 | +9.00 | Sportsbet |
Results History
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
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