Europa League Standard & AA Gent Previews

in #news5 years ago

These are previews from the Belgian Team in Europe with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries and my personal betting angles, ...


I kept a rather low profile betting wise yesterday in the match between Club Brugge and Galatasaray and managed to make a bit of profit after lowering the risk on my pre-game position early on in the match. It ended in a fair 0-0 Draw. Two matches today from Belgian Teams in the Europa League and I already took a couple of bets early on.

Standard vs Guimaraes

Standard is a team with a lot of potential this season but they still don't seem to be at full force just yet. Record Transfer Vanheusden is back from injury but is still on the bench along with some others. Key Player Lestienne is in great form and they managed to somewhat break their bad away reputation last week with a 1-4 victory which puts them on top of the table in the Belgian League. Somehow I don't fully trust them just yet. The situation is somewhat similar to Club Brugge yesterday who played against their (on paper) direct opponent at home in the first match. Guimaraes is currently 10th in the standings in Portugal having taken 6 points in 5 matches (1W-1L-3D) and they come off a 4-1 home victory. They finished 5th last season and went trough 3 qualifying rounds to reach the Europa League. According to Transfermarkt their player base is worth 53 Million which is close to the 78 Million Standard is supposed to be worth. They are said to be a well-organized team that doesn't easily concede goals. It is really hard to put a number on this match and the first goal will probably be key along with the form of the day from Standard. If they are up for it I might be willing to back them live. No Pre-Game Bets

AA Gent vs Saint Etienne

AA Gent has a great squad this season along with an excellent bench and have been the best playing team in the league even though not always as reliable. St-Etienne took a poor start in the French league and are only 15th with 5 points. Their players are worth 119 Million on Transfermarkt compared to the 90 Million for AA Gent so it should be a first real test for the home team. I do highly value form and confidence when it comes down to the bets that I end of taking. in this regard, AA Gent is in a good spot and also free-scoring while there are also signs that they might have some difficulties defensively against good sides. The 3 bets I took early and posted Tuesday are AA Gent Team Total Over 1.5 @ 2.15 (Now 1.980) | AA Gent vs St-Etienne Over 2.5 @ 1.910 (Now 1.826) and AA Gent -0.25 @ 1.910 (Now 1.793) and I'm quite pleased with all of them especially since the lines have moved a bit (always a good sign). I also took some extra in BTC on Sportsbet on the first option and could not resist taking a tiny bet on Over 3.5 @ 3.2+. Overall i'm 1.5 units invested in this match and have a little bit of room to take extra live and might take a lot more in case one of the positions is in the green in-play. Should be an interesting match.

Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. The Bookmakers that I am personally using and currently am willing to recommend are Sportmarket Pro, Nitrogensports, Sportsbet.io. Bigger bets will te shared and tracked on Twitter and can also be followed directly on copytip. Odds can also be found on the 0% Fee Crypto Betting Exchange Betscorum Using my links when signing up helps to continue making these previews, Thanks!


EARLY BETS

I have 2 early bets for this week. One of the Europa League match and another on the Belgian League.

AA Gent vs St-Etienne

AA Gent has shown to be in a great form scoring freely while their defense might still be vulnerable. St-Etienne is in a bad streak currently being 15th in the standings after 5 weeks. I split my stakes between AA Gent Team Total Over 1.5 @ 2.15, Over 2.5 @ 1.91 &AA Gent -0.25 @ 1.91 taking some extra in BTC at Sportsbet.io on the first.

Charleroi vs Stvv
Great matchup for an under bet as both teams tend to avoid taking risk making sure everything is closed down in defense first. Charleroi has been playing decent but also got lucky getting a penalty they should never have gotten while having a chance scoring % that is not sustainable. I took both Under 3 @ 1.826 and 1st Half Under 1 .25 @ 1.80 also betting a little bit extra in BTC at Nitrogensports on the first.

September BTC Bets

DateBetmBTCOddsResultBetslip
21/09/2019Cha vs Stvv U 3101.811PendingNitrogen
19/09/2019AA Gent TT Over 1.5102.130PendingSportsbet

Results History

MonthBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
Aug 2019107300.1000+0.033860+33.86%
July 201922000.0200+0.018000+90.0%
Jun 201900000.0000+0.000000+0.00%
May 201970520.0700-0.050000-71.43%
Apr 201953200.0500+0.024170+48.34%
Mar 201973310.0700+0.004120+5.89%
Feb 201964200.060+0.023210+23.21%
Jan 201919010.100-0.079640-79.64%
Dec 20181541010.150-0.058880-39.25%
Nov 20181771000.170-0.032170-18.92%
Oct 2018156900.150-0.028290-18.86%
Sep 20181413010.140+0.141820+101,3%
Aug 201885120.080+0.045470+56.84%
Jul 2018178900.135+0.033590+24.88%
Jun 2018157710.150+0.018200+12.13%
May 201822000.020+0.023440+117%
Feb 2018123810.091-0.036293-39,88%
Jan 201821101010.147+0.005800+3.95%
Dec 2017199820.148+0.010422+7.04%
Nov 201721111000.210-0.008030-3.82%
Oct 201721101010.210+0.003080+1.46%
Sep 201794410.090+0.001440+1.60%
Total253119120142.541+0.093319+3.67%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

I try to make a decent quality post each day and will get all of them upvoted to reach closer to the linear reward curve about 24 hours after it was posted making sure everyone that is putting me on their auto-curation list will get full curation rewards for it! Thanks

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I have never used any of the Crypto bookies yet. How much do you keep on account there? Are they reliable ? We saw one of the dice games on Steem do an exit scam recently so I would wonder about how safe the are.

The BTC bookies can't really be compared to the steem dice games. Sportsbet.io is quite big and sponsor of Watford, while Nitrogensports has been going strong and gets a B+ rating on Sportbookreview. I would rate they equally reliable as any of the traditional bookies. I honestly never had problems in the last 10+ years of bookies wanting to scam me. I don't keep that much compared to my total BTC bankroll but it's well above to survive any big downswing on 0.01 BTC flat stakes. In a way, I actually like to have BTC at different places just to spread the risk. even though I have a ledger nano s, I'm not that comfortable keeping everything just there even though it's the safest.

Happy with the result of Club Brugge. I've seen the tremendous growth of Belgian teams through the years and in a few years, they might become a real competitor of UEFA Champions League.

More over, I want to learn more with your analysis and techniques in Sportsbetting too.

I doubt that will happen, they might survive the group stage at times but the gap between the real top teams is quite big still.

Good luck learning about betting. It's a brutally difficult game if you want to win long term growing to bigger stakes though, but it can be done if you have the dedication for it. Blogging about the journey is something that can really help.

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