Belgian Jupiler League Week 14 Roundup

in #sport7 years ago

A weekly recap with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries, betting angles, ...
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The last matches are less relevant after a long international weekend so I'll break down where I stand on each team right now and what angles I will be looking at for this weekend.

Charleroi

Nothing really changed about my view on Charleroi despite the 3 straight overs I see them as an underish team who tend to win by 1 goal. I'm mainly looking at the pre-game under, the live under if they take the lead or the live underdog when they have a 1 goal lead. Took some U2.75 @ 1.9 pre game and a bit extra on the U2.5 @ 2.063 on my Nitrogen BTC account early which now has dropped to 1.974. Also took some 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.11

Mechelen

Mechelen in relegation zone with new coach so I expect the focus to be on the defense first. Bandé has been a revelation and manages to find the goals, I will be looking for matches where he is out to potentially fade this team. Overall slight lack of quality seems to be this team's problem.

Moeskroen

Their streak of scoring in each match has been broken after being unable to score in 2 of the last 3 matches. I see them as a poor away team, but they picked up a lot of support at home this season. The +1 line feels quite high against Anderlecht, but I don't have the balls to take that.

Anderlecht

Anderlecht are still in progress of establishing dominance again.
Big potential in the team, but I have to watch things Live. Theo is suspended for a couple matches. I don't have a clear game plan on this team.

Eupen

New Coach Makelele for Eupen so all previous angles are out of the window.
Still a potential over team as they have scoring power and lack defensive skills. I first have to see the new coach approach before I bet anything on them. Quite some late market money was on Eupen last match which is something to keep in mind and watch out for

Antwerp

The same main betting angle remains, bet over if they get behind and potential late overs. After hot start in the league with a lot of enthusiasm things might regress to the mean for them.

Kortrijk

Also a new coach for Kortrijk so possible shock effect after a poor run.
They showed in the early part of the season that they have some quality in the team. I was willing to take a stab at them early this week on +0 @ 1.936 line at home against Stvv. Right now trading slightly higher at 1.954. Struggling team with a new coach also means under which I took small U2.75 @ 1.925

Stvv

They are high on my fade radar right now after playing a poor match against Eupen and getting a lot of pre-game late market money against them. Also potential unders against other defensive counter teams.

Standard

Standard went to AA Gent last match for the draw but lost 1-0. They brought too little offensively. I will mainly looking live at the form of key offensive players like Edmilson.

Oostende

They are having their predicted winning streak, unfortunately the market has caught up and odds are adjusted. They used to be able to count on an excellent berrier when playing against the top team who is no longer with them. They have shown solid defense past couple matches so potential under bet or opponent team total under.

Zulte-Waregem

The main agle I'm looking for in their matches is the late over if they are behind since they are not afraid to go kamikaze.

Genk

The potential is great, but they similar to AA Gents seem to have difficulties to break down defensive teams. If they manage to break the poor run they will be a team to ride. For now it's wait and see live

Club Brugge

This team has shown to be solid overall, but they have somewhat of a goalkeeper problem and have a difficult time to keep clean sheets. Took some pre game on Waasland Team total Over 0.75 @ 1.917

Waasland

Still a potential undervalued team and can be taken as high odds underdogs.
I expect them to score against Club Brugge and took a tiny bet on the outright away win @ 9.13 even. Will be very difficult for them, but at the same time it would not come as a surprise if they won so worth a small shot at that price.
Morioka is still a key player for them

Lokeren

They are a poor home team that get quite some corners against. Overall quality is slightly too low and they tend to have a difficult time to score.

AA Gent

Nothing really has changed for AA Gent since Vanhaezebroeck left. They tend to have a really hard time to break defenses which makes potential unders against defensive teams in their home matches.

Previous League Roundups

Belgian Jupiler League Week 13 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 12 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 11 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 10 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 9 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 8 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 7 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 6 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 5 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 4 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 3 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 2 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 1 Roundup


Upvote if I should continue these weekly Roundups

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I just took some on Standard Team Total Under 1.75 @ 1.97

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