Belgian Jupiler League Week 11 Roundup

costanza (69)in #sports • 7 years ago

A weekly recap with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries, betting angles, ... Extra Time resised.jpg

Moeskroen vs Standard 1-3

Moeskroen

Moeskroen who played with an offensive minded line-up dominated the 1st half but it was Standard who took the lead. They scored to their streak of scoring each match alive and made the 1-1 early in 2nd half. They seemed a bit tired afterwards and got dominated by a strong Standard in the 2nd half who took the deserved win. Moeskroen have shown this season to be a good team with a good coach, this 1-3 loss does not change that.

Standard

Poor 1st half from Standard in the 1st half, but strong 2nd half and they continue to pick up their form after a good match also last week. I still don't trust them fully, but I am willing to back them live if they show this 2nd half form. They were a team with a scoring problem early in the season, but now managed to score 6 in the last 2 matches. Over is potentially undervalued.

Lokeren vs Charleroi 1-1

Lokeren

Lokeren right now is a high Draw team (3 in last 6). Lokeren lack som mentality and don't seem to dare to win which makes them somewhat of an underish team specially at home where they have to make the play (1.5O-4U on the season). 19 year old Benchaib was starting in the 11 for the first time and was best player of the match. He might become important for this team. Right now for me Lokeren are on the potential fade and potential under list.

Charleroi

Charleroi always have difficult matches against Lokeren and seeme to be happy with the draw (4th draw in 6 matches). Charleroi remains a very tricky team betting wise, they rarely impress but it's extremely difficult to win from them at the same time. When they win it's often by a 1 goal margin so I'm looking out to bet the underdog when they are 1 goal ahead since they also have many draws. Under is also always a betting option.

Eupen vs Mechelen 4-1

Eupen

Eupen right now remains in the same spot, they tend to start defensively and open up after first goals is scored often mid 1st half. Often times crazy scores. I'll still be looking at the potential live over around the 20 minute mark only if it's an underish match. The pre game over odds have been adjusted by now and they need a slow start of the match to get up to a level worth taking. They have the potential to win or lose with big margins, If they look to get dominated in a match I might fade them live.

Mechelen

Mechelen lost big and fired their coach. I don't see him as the problem, mentality in this team has always been good unlike the overall quility. Team in relegation danger with new coach often means that defense will tighten up first.Unfortunately they have some injury problems defensively next match which makes me more careful on the under, line also seems to be going up because of this which is actually a good thing to take the bet as it's based around team news. (moves out of nowhere are far more scary to oppose)

Sint-truiden vs Oostende 1-0

Stvv

Sint-truiden has played ok, but also have been incredible lucky. Again this match in the last minutes scoring the 1-0. I see them as overvalued right now and expect a bad streak at some point this season.

Oostende

Oostende again lost a match and don't have luck on their side. Their defense has been getting better, but offense who now also will be without berrier does not seem to be good enough which makes for potential unders.

Kortrijk vs AA Gent 1-1

Kortrijk

Kortrijk are in a clear downtrend and it seems to be a matter of time before coach Anastasiu will be dropped for George Leekens. Not a healthy situation right now and they have been poor defensively. potential team to fade

AA Gent

Similar to last week it showed that not that much has changed with their new coach. Gent still has a very hard time to break a defense despite them dominating matches. Last match they had 74% posession, but only 4 balls on target. They are on my potential fade list and under list when they have to make the play against defensive minded teams

Club Brugge vs Antwerp 1-0

Club Brugge

Club Brugge seems to be reliable when it comes down to taking home the points. They played poor at the start of the season, really impressed some matches ago and were mediocre in this match. They are on a "bet what you see live" basis. I'll be ready to back they if they manage to dominate

Antwerp

Antwerp are having a great season, they have been getting a bt overvalued but not so much that I'm willing to oppose them. The over angle when they get behind failed last week but is still very much on for me. I'll be looking for potential live overs and late overs again

Anderlecht vs Genk 0-1

Anderlecht

Teams that play against European top teams in the mid week and impress tend to have a fallback in the next league match. We saw this with Oostende early in the season who played Marseille and now again with Anderlecht who at times really played great against PSG despite losing big 0-4. The striker issue is again a topic right now with Theo who seems very frustrated. This team is on a wait and see basis for me with potential of being undervalued and overish

Genk

Genk won but played poorly. I'll be ready to jump the train If they play a good match against Club Brugge or win despite play a poor match. Confidence and form still seems to be an issue, but as seen with Anderlecht this can quickly change. The potential of this team is great, It's just about being patient and wait for the right timing.

Zulte-Waregem vs Waasland 2-5

Zulte-Waregem

Zulte-Waregem are in a downtrend. Their defense at times is a joke and they are far away from the potential they showed at the start of the season. I expect them to put more focus on the defense next couple matches which needs fixing.

Waasland

Solid match from Waasland who won as a big Underdog. The betting lines seem to be catching up on this team and are no longer in the highly undervalued range. I'll still be looking to back them at higher odds lines

Previous League Roundups

Belgian Jupiler League Week 10 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 9 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 8 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 7 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 6 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 5 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 4 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 3 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 2 Roundup
Belgian Jupiler League Week 1 Roundup