Curiosity | What is the possibility of being hit by an Asteroid?

in science •  last year

 hello! and welcome my friends to a new episode of Curiosity! A series in which we will answer some of the questions that makes us all curious.   

There are almost billions of objects in our solar system alone capable of reaching or passing nearby earth. More then 300,000 are already present in our neighborhood. But still the closest asteroid that hits earth are very small , mostly less than 10 meters. The danger starts if the asteroid bigger than 100m is about to hit Earth. So what is the possibility of being hit by an asteroid. Lets find out.

How many times the Earth is struck by an Asteroid before?

Well, the answer might surprise you. Earth has been struck by asteroids same as moon in the past and still is being hit by an asteroid every single day. We can find perfectly preserved craters that are too old and completely blended with its surrounding. Its hard to tell whether earth is struck by asteroids because the craters are covered by tectonic activities which we can't see on moon.

We don't always see, burning object in the sky, but the reality is earth is being struck every single day, even now while you are reading my post by extremely small rocks. They are called meteoroids. They usually have size ranging from a grain of sand to 1 meter. Tons of meteoroids hits earth every year. Most of them burn out in the atmosphere but some of them reach earth , they are known as meteorites

Fig: Meteoroid hitting a Car seat in Illinois Case (Credit).

This picture was taken in Illinois , when a 4 pound meteoroid smashed through the car and hit the seat. No damage was done though. But These are very small object hitting Earth and happens frequently.

What about even bigger Asteroids?

Bigger the asteroid , bigger the damage. Although objects ranging less than 1 m hits earth very frequently, asteroids more than 4 meters wide hits earth only once a year. Even bigger asteroid greater than 10 meters hits Earth only 5 years in average. These asteroids can cause the explosion similar to a nuclear bomb.  They are usually unnoticed because, they mostly hit water on Earth or they simply explode in the upper atmosphere before hitting the ground. They are very rarely witnessed by us.

Let's get bigger, The asteroid more than 20 meters or the size of a small house, hits earth every 100 years. This might cause an explosion of 500 kilotons. This recently happened in Chernobyl , Russia. This size of the asteroid as 20 meters with the mass of Effile tower. It exploded 30 km above the ground and still caused massive damage.

Fig: 2013 meteor (more than 20 m wide) Credits

In 1989, a asteroid about the size of skyscraper, just missed the Earth from about 700,000 km, exactly where Earth was 6 hour before. If the Asteroid has been 6 hours earlier it would have made an explosion of about 600 megatons, in other words 10 times more powerful than Tsar Bomba. Which is the largest nuclear weapon on Earth.

But wait, Even bigger asteroid have hit Earth. The most recent was in 1908. The  size of the asteroid was estimated between 90-160 meters. It exploded just few km above the earth's surface. This created an massive explosion of about 35 megatons, which destroyed about 80 million trees. This event is known as "Tunguska event". Events like this are very rare.

Fig: Tunguska Event (Credits)

But In prehistoric time, even larger asteroids have hit Earth. Asteroid the size of 1 km only hits Earth every 444,000 years in average and they release about 460 times more explosion than Tsar bomba.

Asteroid with size of 5 km hits Earth every 20 million year, and create a very massive explosion. the explosive is estimated to be 56000 times more power full than Tsar Bomba.

Finally, the asteroids greater than 10 km or as the size of Mount Everest, his Earth every, 66 million Years. They have the capability of wiping out humanity completely. The last know impact was 66 million years ago, which wiped 90% of the life on Earth including dinosaurs.


The odds of asteroids more the 10 m striking Earth is very less. There are about 14000 near earth objects thats because their orbits are very close to earth. Very less of them are 1 Km wide. According to Nasa , only 157 asteroids near Earth are more than 1 Km. So, the odds of being struck by these asteroid are almost negligible but that doesn't mean they will never hit Earth. We have still millions of years left before any of those massive asteroid enter Earth's atmosphere.

That's it for this Episode guys, hope you all enjoyed it, if you did, upvote and share your thoughts in the comment below. Thank you

Stay Curious.

Last five episodes

 Curiosity #36 | Can Freezing our body make us Immortal?

 Curiosity #35 | What Would happen If all the humans suddenly disappeared overnight?

 Curiosity #34 How Can We Survive on Mars? 

Curiosity #33 What makes Ebola so dangerous? 

Curiosity #32 What Happens during a Heart attack? 

Authors get paid when people like you upvote their post.
If you enjoyed what you read here, create your account today and start earning FREE STEEM!
Sort Order:  

This was very useful and informative. Thanks.


Thank you. keep reading my posts :D

It is interesting that when you ask the next question "how likely are you to die from an asteroid, the answer is actually the same as the chance that you will die in an airplane crash.

Yet while very few people fear the threat posed by asteroids a lot of people are afraid of flying :P

Anyways great post, Followed and Upvoted you, and hope to connect with you and anyone else who loves space here on steemit :)


You can avoid flying.
You can't avoid getting hit by an asteroid.


Good point!
But that should make us worry even more about Asteroids then!


I don't really think we should worry about them. I mean.. It would cause unnecessary panick and that's not really useful. What would be useful would be solutions to track more asteroids and think of ways to alternate their orbit.

It's just like a crashing plane hitting your house... Should we worry about that?


When I said worry I didnæt really mean it in the sense of being afraid or thinking about it regularly. But rather that it hardly sees any priority, while threats to human life that are statistically less dangerous receives a lot of money in order to help reduce the number of casualties or deaths.

I love Science. I do write alot about science too. I guess you're already my brother. Good work. Keep it up! 👌


I love your story! Thank you!

Great post! Just one point; when you say "This recently happened in Chernobyl , Russia." I thought it had actually hit for a few seconds - maybe reword that bit. Otherwise, it was a really interesting read! Keep it up!

I love your science posts! Keep em coming!


I will :D

Very good and informative post
I wish that asteroid which hit the car should have been in my country so i could pay a visit
Anyway keep up the good work

Wauw this was on of the BEST articles I ever read thnx for it and keep the series on man. 👌

There Is no actual proof Earth has ever been hit by an asteroid. I personally think It Is Impossible, because they don't exist and even If they did the Dome Firmament Is an Impenetrable barrier. Tunguska could of been caused from an Alien vehicle from another dimension and the Russian apparent meteors could of been some kind of Russian weapon system. We can't categorically state these are bodies form outer space which I believe to be a fictional construct.

Werher Von Braun warned us of a plan to Imprison humanity by staging many false flags, terrorists, third world nations, asteroids and an alien Invasion.

Hey, great post! We have featured your article in our weekend newsletter! Keep up the good work, and let us know if you have any concerns.

Join us on the science-trail Discord


thank you so much

Interesting. I'm still more concerned about the possibility of nuclear war and climate change. At least those things we have some control over. Less can be said about an asteroid traveling at 25 km/sec!