Why I put 1 Bitcoin into Steem - Article for my mailing list on 'Bitcoin Millionaire.' Hopefully this gets some more people here!

in #steemit7 years ago

My first Steem Cryptocurrency Investment


This month I signed up for
Steemit.com / https://www.bitcoin-millionaire.com/steemit
and bought 1 Bitcoin of Steem. After a long night watching random youtube videos I stumbled onto the video below. The video is Jeff Berwicks interview with the creators of Steem and how he made over $15k from his first post on Steemit.

After watching the long video and checking out steemit I was really impressed. Overall I found it much better than Reddit to use (where I share some posts from Bitcoin-Millionaire), so I decided to comment and write some posts that I would normally do on Reddit. Overall the content quality was pretty good and it was a more positive environment than reddit.

I then read the full Steem whitepaper, and was interested more so I converted 1 Bitcoin into Steem (on www.steemit.com) and powered up my account.

If you are already (or are about to sign up) on Steemit you can follow me here

steemit.com/@btcmillionaire / https://www.bitcoin-millionaire.com/steem-btcmillionaire
 and I will try to follow you back too :D

So what is Steem?


I am not going to get technical as the whitepaper is a better resource for that but I will talk high level points.

Steem is:

  • The first social media cryptocurrency (that I know of).
  • It has the ability for multiple social media platforms to be built on top of Steem (think Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Reddit, Snapchat, Pornhub etc).
  • The Twitter (called Zappl), Instagram (called steepshot) & Youtube (called steemQ) versions are actually being built as we speak.
  • At the moment Steemit.com is like Reddit except you get paid when people upvote you.
  • It has instant transactions with 0 fees.
  • Half of the blocks released go to the miners and the other half goes to content creators and curators.
  • The amount of Steem available doubles every year.

How does Steem get paid to authors and curators?

Again the white paper is a better reference for all the details, but here is a basic overview:
  • There is currently about 224,000,000 Steem in circulation (from coincap.io) and Steem can be actively traded on Poloniex or another exchange for other cryptos.
  • Steem can also be converted into Steem power. Steem power is like owning a share in the ecosystem.
  • The more Steem Power you have the more Steem (or money) you give people when you like their content, comment or post your own content.
  • People also get a reward for curating (or liking) the good content first. This allows the best content to come up in everyone's feed.
  • You get paid 7 days after you post your content in Steem dollars which you can convert into Steem Power or Steem (that you can sell for other cryptocurrencies and cash if you want).
If it all sounds confusing, setup an account at
steemit.com / https://www.bitcoin-millionaire.com/steemit
do some posts, make some Steem and you will get a feel for it. Remember it is completely free to join so you have nothing to lose. There is also very good content written on explaining Steem better under the tag steemit.

If quick high level videos are your thing then check this out for an intro into Steem:

Why did I Invest in Steem?

As opposed to being overly verbose here are two main reasons:
  • The platform is extremely useful for sharing content. There is value in getting the targeted Steem audience to your site (my site being crypto related) and maybe some value in backlinks (helping with SEO).
  • Speculation on the price going up in the future. Comparing the current model of social media with the Steem model I am blown away. Facebook, Twitter, Reddit and all the others basically use our content for free and sell it to advertisers, whereas Steem is kept with the content creators.

Where does the value in Steem come from?

At this stage it can quickly jump out of the screen and appear as a Ponzi scheme as there is essentially no income going into the system (like the other social media platforms) in the way of paid advertising. However, you only need to look at the early days of any social media platform and you can see the potential.

Generally only after they reached multi billion dollar valuations did other social media platforms start to monetize their platforms and bring in money from advertising. I see the same thing happening for Steem.

So then how do you value Steem?


I think the following factors need to be considered:

  • The number of users and the growth of the user base.
  • The potential of other social media platforms (currently being developed) like Zappl as the Twitter competitor for example.
  • The quality of the team developing the applications (I have not done enough due diligence to comment on this yet).
Once those factors are looked at it comes down to comparing them to the historical reference points for Facebook, Reddit, Youtube etc. So Peter Thiel originally invested in Facebook for around 10% equity when it had less than 1 million users for around $500k from memory and the rest is history.

From what I have found there are about 171,000 accounts on Steem as of today. The market cap of Steem is  $224 million today. This means that going on the metric of users alone it is probably on the high side of price valuation. However it is growing fast and the potential for the other applications going viral is there.

Generally when evaluating the price of an asset I would add up all the potential future cash flows and apply a discount based on the minimum returns I need to invest in that asset (discount cash flow). So valuing Steem is extremely difficult as it is very early stages and the potential future cash flows are very obscure.

What is the downside risk with Steem?


The downside risks I see are:

  • There is currently about 171,000 users and the market cap of Steem is over $224 million meaning it is higher valued than other social media platforms at that user base level.
  • The growth could slow down, stop or go backwards.
  • Automated posting bots could destroy it.
  • The other platforms like Zappl might not be successful.
  • It may be hard to get people to change from other social media platforms to Steem.
  • The code may not be solid (I am not technical in this area) and it may be hacked or have issues.
  • The fact that double the Steem is created every year is a very different model to Bitcoin and eventually hard forks (in the code) may be required to fix an infinite amount of Steem
  • How will it eventually be monetized? Will advertisers use it (or other methods)?

What is my plan with Steem?

I will record my Steem balance once a month in terms of it’s value relative to Bitcoin and the USD. This way we can see how 1 Bitcoin invested in Steem goes overtime.

I want to diversify my Bitcoin holdings and not have them all in one area. Therefore this investment made up about 2.5% of my Bitcoin holdings. As of writing this the 1 Bitcoin investment is worth 0.96 Bitcoins.

In the years ahead I will convert the Steem back to Bitcoin to (hopefully) help with the Bitcoin Millionaire target.

Sort:  

There was a hardfork done a few months ago that changed the distribution of Steem and the inflation rate. I believe that has not been updated with an amendment on the white paper , but I can be wrong. Please do your due diligence before Investing in any project . Although I highly encourage everyone to post and earn it .

Very true Dad I am at lunch time that's why I'm posting Love you

Better be Honor roll !😜✅

haha random but thanks :)

So that means future hard or soft forks will be possible as well then.

Good point - I only post from my point of view on crypto, and no one should be taking it as more than that...

Oh I see it has all happened now. Inflation has gone down a lot! Very good news!

Please link to an article about the hardfork, if you don't mind.

Too many hard forks with significant economic changes and the long term stability/immutability of the coin becomes an concern for me.

I'm looking forward to the HF19 :)

Have a link for it?

Thank you! I too am now excited about this coming into play.

You're welcome! and me too. This one is exciting

Hopefully it happens in the not too distant future!

Nice analysis. Talking about downside risk, the fact that steem in circulation doubles every year, there seems a potential to inflate away the value of the coin. Will a hard cap be instituted or no?

Thanks :) Not sure but is something that will need to be addressed in the future for sure.

Hopefully it is addressed better than the current block size issue on Bitcoin!

Thanks for the analysis indeed! The inflation is a downside, but the concept without inflation is not possible. The earnings for the content creators and up voters has to be paid from somewhere.

I agree on the inflation being required but not convinced that doubling every year is the right number...

Doubling per year is a lot indeed. Im on Steemit for a while now and in the beginning when the first bubble took place there were huge earnings for a few popular posts. This time there was a lot of disappointment of content creators who didn't earn anything with quite good content.

Nowadays you see way more moderate earnings and almost all of the serious content creators are earning something and the best ones even better, but not extreme. The incentive to create content is perfect now and I think the earnings on Steemit are fair and balanced now.

This is the foundation for satisfaction of content creators and will attract more talented content creators, so more value to Steemit. If this expands the network more than 100% per year the value of Steem will still rise. More inflation will attract more valuable content, but lower the price of Steem. The challenge is to find a balance and I think Steemit is doing quite well right now.

Thanks for sharing, you obviously have been around here longer than me so I am really only giving my first impression and ideas of the place!

Very interesting analysis. You listed the main pros and cons of Steem/steemit as investment and social media.
Upvoted

Thanks @nenio! I am super excited about what I have seen so far, but before I start telling more and more people I wanted to make sure I give them so basic pros, cons and information first!

I also read the Steem whitepaper, before joining steemit. I consider the ideas behind steem brilliant. I am very bullish about it. However I agree with you with the possible downside risks that you mentioned.

Nice analysis.
Upvoted Followed

Thanks for your detailed analysis @btcmillionaire
Do you think that steemit will ever monetize? Or do you think this current model can keep things sufficient enough where they wont need advertisers?

Good question and I haven't thought a lot about it, but I suspect it has to eventually. Just like any other social media platform has done so before, but at what stage and how far down the track, I am not sure.

I agree with you. Right now steemit still has that close community feeling, example when you see a name even if you don't follow them, you might read their post. I feel when it grows to a FB level things will change. But being here now is a great time :)

Great time to be around alright! All goes well we are still very early adopters!

Yes we are :) Thank you for your time and insights, its very much appreciated.

I appreciate the explanations and the insight. I've been here for around 9 months and still don't fully understand things, aside from how to make nature blogs. lol I learned a lot from this. Thanks! followed.

Thanks followed you too!

It is funny when you think about email; everyone knows how to use gmail but not many people really understand the email protocol behind and they don't need too. Maybe that will be the same for Steem.

Assuming the guys behind it all are making sound code then we should all just focus on using the platform well and everything else should/could fall into place :D

Awesome content, I love the analysis, where do you see Steemit in the future and can the creators do to improve the site? Would it be wise to include referral reward? It does not have to be money, but probably increase voting power? What do you think?

Me personally I see it in the moon if this is done properly by the team leading at the controls. It. An also end up six feet under. I don't see Steemit being a middle of the pack site. All or nothing. Again unless they just want this site for the world to find out about crypto. I thing is for sure it does do that very well.

Definitely agree with you, its either all the way in or all the way out...lets hope that it goes all the way

I don't think a referral system is needed personally, if it can't grow by the current users spreading the good word then paid promoting won't help (and I am an affiliate on many of my sites).

I think it really depends on other Steem applications being made, the pace at which the user base grows and if it can be monetized well in the end. It will also need a lot more competent people to work on it (just look at how big the Facebook team is for example).

If everything goes well why couldn't it compete with Facebook and all the other social media sites and be worth $100's of Billions of dollars?

Probably not the best comparison but the potential of Steem to take facebook on feels like Uber taking on the taxi industry a few years back.

Your insights into the growth and marketing aspects of steemit/steem are very interesting. Looking forward to more of your posts as the site continues to grow. Thanks for taking the time to write this and follow up :)

Thanks :) Will be following you too!

Congratulations. Interesting read. Thankful I found your account and follow'd.

Followed you back :)

great post.
superlike

Thanks :)

Very good post... I like it :)

Thanks :)

you are welcome :)

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