头（三十六）：苗头
一粒种子发芽，萌芽破土而出，长成了一棵小苗。
小苗刚开始就是两片叶子，弱不禁风的。至于这株小苗是什么，没有经验的人是分不出来的。
在事情刚刚发生的时候，或者是局外人初来乍到局内的时候，要看看事情发展的趋势，或是当前局势如何，要做出一个判断，这在上海话里面就叫做“轧苗头”。
要“轧轧苗头”，就得找“老法师”。
“老法师”就是指那些有着丰富阅历，经验丰富的人。因为经历丰富，所以人间大部分事情他都见识过，对于发展过程及结果会有一个相对准确的判断。人们根据这样的判断，再做决策的话，把握性会大一些，万一失败，可能的损失也会小一些。
这绝对是一个技术活，要“轧对苗头”那可不是一朝一夕之功。
像最近币价瀑布跌，有人觉得苗头不对，早早就清仓出局；有些人却从这些苗头里嗅出了“机会”，一路补仓下来，每次都觉得能抄到底，最后却站在山岗上吹冷风。
可见，同样的苗头，不同的人有不同的解读。最后祝大家都能轧对苗头，大赚特赚。
图源：pixabay
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