The Dangerous Economic Realities Created By Keynesian Economics and a Case for Hedging with Silver instead of Gold
Economics was never really an interest for me. But economic sensibilities were already part of my life without even knowing it. I was a kid who knew how to save. I was a kid who knew how to spend. I never liked economic jargon and considered it a waste of time. I only go into to learning about real economics few years ago and came across https://mises.org/wire and Austrian Economics. At that point I realized tat real economics is more or less formalized common sense than an academic study. after coming onto steemit I even wrote an article on why Economics isn't even an empirical science: https://steemit.com/blog/@vimukthi/why-economics-is-not-an-empirical-science-but-a-synthetic-a-priori-analysed-and-explained-with-comedy There were some great discussions in the comments too. So please give it a read.
Austrian Economics doesn't care too much about statistical analysis. Economics is really a result of Human Action and human actions are not some part of an algorithm or some works of a machine. Statistics can be a great tool. It can enhance and make things esier to understand. Nut Human Action is never equal to Mechanical Action.
Real Economics is closer to subjects such as Psychology & Spirituality than Chemistry and Physics
currently popular money printing stupidity of Keynesian economics may have you believe things to be otherwise. But the reality is that if spirituality deals with the metaphysical realm of Human Beings, Economics is simply about the material aspects.
The popular economics today is that bad. It's a perversion of reality. Communism leads to death and misery. Free markets create prosperity. Keynesian madness creates forever suffering sickness that is unable to die and unable to heal. It's like a cancer. It creates an economic reality that is neither lively nor dead. Take a look around you. Pretty much everything wrong with the current economic conditions can be blamed on John Maynard Keynes. Even the big players are uncertain about the current Economic conditions. Let's take a look at the Debt of the world's biggest economy and You'll see why.
U.S. Debt Visualized Using Stacks of $100 Bills
The global debt levels are actually more than 3 times higher. Please let it sink in to your minds that those huge skyscrapers are solid stocks of $100 bills. USSA alone is in that much trouble. Statistic driven centrally planned economic distortions are partly responsible for getting us into this kind of a mess. That's why I was hpy to stumble upon a list of statistical fallacies at www.geckoboard.com
15 Statistical Fallacies to keep in mind when you deal with Data
You can follow each link to a small explanation on what each of these fallacies are. Knowing these fallacies can be especially helpful when you are dealing with somebody intelligent who try to use logic and reasoning. If hat person is just an emotional one or one with poor logic; then there is no helping. Run like hell or you'd be wasting your preciuos time.
Cherry Picking
Data Dredging
Survivorship Bias
Cobra Effect
False Causality
Gerrymandering
Sampling Bias
Gambler's Fallacy
Hawthorne Effect
Regression Toward the Mean
Simpson's Paradox
McNamara Fallacy
Overfitting
Publication Bias
Danger of Summary Metrics
But as I mentioned, statistics can be a great tool, especially when it comes to things that are dictated by laws like government spending and other central bank related economic activities. Even though the projections might be inaccurate, we can at least have a good idea about the current state of affairs. That's why I want to share the following infograph form The Peter G. Peterson Foundation
You can discover more at https://www.pgpf.org
You need to take a look at Silver
Silver was the money of everyday people. It's 17.6 times more abundant compared to Gold. Generally an ounce of Gold used to be worth 15-20 ounces of Silver. This is totally understandable. But current markets are heavily suppressed and manipulated. Not only the value of Gold (AKA real money) is kept at a price too low, Silver is suppressed even more. Sprott Inc. is a company that is in the business of selling people precious metals. That's not a reason to discount their opinion. Even though you and I are part of STEEM, the facts we bring up to promote STEEM are REAL.
I won't repeat stuff from the inforgraph. But I will draw your attention to few things. Take a look at post 2008. This chart may not be too clear. So use the internet for Data if you want. The point is that in a crisis event (especially in the recent ones) Silver outperforms Gold. That's why it takes less Silver ounces to buy a Gold ounce. This is a really interesting feature if you want to hedge against the stocks. Silver is generally Gold on volatility steroids. It tends to go up and down with Gold but in magnified percentages. If you place your bets right you could be having twice the gains of Gold.
Your are welcome for the tip :-)
Also take a good look at that Physical surplus/deficit chart. You all know about Supply & Demand.

exactly, well said
I liked your list of fallacies, but instead of run I like to talk with them but only because I find the shit they say amusing and I want to find out about how they think.
The problem with physical silver is that it does not scale well, good for a few thousand dollars, but even $100,000 weighs over 350 lbs.
After a while you can figure out the syntax and predict every single stupid garbage these idiots are going to spit. It took some indirect and some direct engagement to analyze these bloodsucker. After some time I figured them out and now I just ignore or run away like Flash.
Silver was used as the everyday money for average people. My entire net worth is only few thousand dollars after the crypto crash. Even if I had to transact large amounts, there is gold and even precious gems for the job.
I prefer to invest in copper, brass and lead for small scale stores of value.
That is a nice plan since it's under the radar investment that still has real utility.
Yesterday I popped some of my investment off, it was a great time. Today I found that the same asshole was downvoting me when I was away and I finally called him out, should be interesting
Excellent work! The size of the US debt scares me. If you consider the total debt of most 'developed' countries, it's scary. Add up all levels of government debt to business debt to personal debt to underfunded pension liabilities and we're in serious trouble.
A while ago I was trying to look for a graph of the increase in money supply in the USA by an official sourc, not a guess from Zerohedge or some other place and couldn't find one. If anyone knows an updated source, please share. It's definitely not being shared because this graph wouldn't match official inflation statistics.
As for gold and silver, I think the increase in the ratio has to do with an increase in wealth. We are wealthier than ever before and having even 50k in silver really isn't practical as it's heavy. We can all pick up that much gold without an issue and it's easier to store. Silver is also a more common by-product of mining other metals.
According to this infograph it's 3.5 Trillion USD worth QE from FED and another 9.5 Trillions from rest of the Central Banks:
Thanks for that info graphic, learnt something. My concern about the debt is that it's actually much more than that because banks can lend out 9 times or more what they have. So they could get some of those trillions and multiply it. Where's that graph?
I don't think anybody could even make a graph for that. Even that 9 times thing is based on 10% reserves. USSA is actually doing fine in that department compared to other financial asylums. Eurozone only has 1% requirement. On top of negative interest rates 99 out of every 100 Euros are fake. Then a bank can re-lend to another bank which would re-lend to another bank. China is actually doing relatively better with 17%
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reserve_requirement
Economic conditions are very chaotic, especially Indonesia is very concerning, many people become spectators in their own country because the economic actors by some people only. not to mention shifting manpower to the engine. complete already when Indonesia can be free from debt. Introduce me @mukhtarilyas new steemian. Thank you @vimukthi
Silver is highly manipulated , it's value will go high once the manipulation stops.
It won't stop. In a market crash nobody would be able to manipulate it anymore.
I like this phrase 'Economics is not a part of an algorithm or some works of a machine". This gives me new insights. this sentence so miraculous sounded in my ears. You can convey this idea well.
Thank you for the comments.
Welcome to steemit!
The current financial system around the world is outdated and is easily manipulated by certain families and individuals. Cryptocurrency can boast a revolution in the financial sector with its decentralized body we just need some sort of regulation and check up and it can be a success.
Resteemed by @resteembot! Good Luck!
Curious? Read @resteembot's introduction post
Check out the great posts I already resteemed.
ResteemBot's Maker is Looking for Work
Resteemed upvoted