[0067] In Years to Come, How Many CryptoCurrency Investors Will Commit Suicide?steemCreated with Sketch.

in #bitcoin7 years ago

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Let's begin this post about cryptocurrencies on a strange - and morbid - note. Let's talk about suicide. Let's talk about when someone chooses to take their own life and end it all.

What has this got to do with cryptocurrencies?

In the coming years, after the current 'buy anything you want and make a lot of money' cryptocurrency gold boom is over, I predict there will be a high rate of suicides among amateur, and even professional, investors. The promise of a quick gain, for no effort, with incredible returns is the trigger to that gun.

Ask yourself, what will happen to you if your cryptocurrencies don't reach the moon? How will you work a normal job when you are used to the idea of high returns with no effort?

Veterans of the Vietnam war, the guys who actually survived the jungles and lived to come home, had a high casualty rate when they returned home. Soldiers kept dying even though the war was over for them. Suicides went through the roof because the horror of war caused mental conflict to the point they were unable to adapt to a normal, everyday life. Despite it being a safer place to live than in Vietnam. Mentally Vietnam vets were wired for war and adapting to a normal life was all too hard for what they had trained for and become accustomed to.

And the word "accustomed" is the key to this article. What have you acclimated yourself to? Rising graph charts and ideas of infinite wealth spirals?

Let's talk about another group of people who have adapted to another type of war zone. A less lethal one but still the cause of a large amount of unnatural deaths each year. Stock brokers and bankers are also another high risk category and the suicide rate to this day is alarmingly high. So well known is this phenomenon that most people has heard at least one joke about stock brokers jumping off buildings. The running joke is that the world is better off for it but behind the jokes is actually a very real death rate. There are real people dying from stock broking.

Why?

Stock brokers had grown accustomed ( there's that word again ) to the world being a certain way - rising values of portfolios. And then one day, that is no longer the case. Unable to adapt to massive losses from financial gambling, because they had grown accustomed to the idea of massive wealth and a 'job free' lifestyle, many choose to end it.

Mentally and emotionally they have trained themselves for massive profit and grown accustomed to the idea as a norm. But what happens if you train for years for something and you realize that it never is going to be real?

That is the question many speculators are going to have to ask themselves because not everyone in cryptocurrency investing is 'going to the moon'. As competition becomes tighter to enter the market place and startups going bust because they can't compete with titans like Facebook who enter the market, large amounts of coins will fall to zero in value.

Right now, new ICO's are springing up every day. The soil is fertile and it's raining investment money. But it won't always rain and startups that have grown deep roots and grown in market share. Thus choking out the weedier, immature coin offerings that had the vision but no real connections.

Being a gardener, i do like a good plant analogy but it holds true.

Wall Street is littered with ghosts of professional stock brokers who actually made tonnes of money and then went bust. One wrong trade, too much greed and not knowing when to cash out of the profession and into a nice, cosy retirement in the tropics has killed many a professional banker and broker. If the pros check out, what hope do amateur cryptocurrency investors have who were starry eyed and banked on never working a job again?

Why so morbid?

As I mentioned earlier, this article is part 2 of my last one about smart vs dumb investing. After writing it, I began reflecting on the outcome of dumb investments and the loss of a lot of time and money. On reflection, I came up with this one. While this is not a blog post that makes you laugh or shows you what coins to buy, it's probably one of those articles that you need to think on and digest for awhile.

How are you invested mentally & emotionally? What fantasy projection have you grown accustomed to? Is your portfolio of dreams vs realities evenly spread?

Right now, #Coinbase is the most downloaded app on the Apple appstore. Which tells you that floods of people are buying the 3 coins they offer, most presumably Bitcoin because it's the one they know. There is a flood of newbie investors - which will grow exponentially over time - who have lived with austerity for the past decade, desperately mortgaged up to their eyeballs and are looking for a quick buck. Then they find their way into the current cryto gold boom and it appears to answer all of their problems and their dreams at the same time.

Problem solved.

So people, enmasse, are adapting their thinking to a life of high returns. When the desperation of their financial situation still remains unsolved. Debt festers beneath a promised fortune and this is the psychology of many. The idea of guaranteed, skyrocketing returns could ( and will ) so easily lead to disappointment. More people will be crushed than saved by Bitcoin because of a lack of understanding, high expectations and a less than solid asset portfolio.

How many portfolios are based on starry eyes, desperation and promises of high returns in Bitcoin... and how many are strategic, solidly planned and smart? The first groups destiny is lead by the market. The second groups destiny is lead by themselves.

As pointed out in my last article, being invested in cryptocurrencies does not mean being invested in the right things. In my mind, even holding onto a skyrocketing cryptocurrency is not the aim of the game. Buying life experiences leading a better lifestyle is the aim of cryptocurrency investing. I couldn't care less about exponential gains in Bitcoin if my real life sucks because I have poured everything into it. That is not exactly intelligent.

My own strategy is regular cash outs and diversifying into other asset classes such as the farm / plant nursery I am going to buy with Bitcoin. Where I will set up shop and sell a physical good for another type of return.

I am sober to what digital currency is. And what it is not. It is not my best friend. It's not a guarantee. It's not my master.

What if you have invested all your money in flashy startups who get smashed by Facebook or another giant ICO? What happens to people who think that their bank balance will always exponentially climb? What happens to the people who find out that the coin they were HODL'ing is in a downspiral to zero?

In my last post I talked about the difference between immature and mature or smart investing. This post is a 'part 2' because I really do wonder about the aftermath of the current gold boom and the large amount of amateur investors who will get wiped out because their strategy did not change in an ever changing market.

Suicide rates will be high in the cryptocurrency world after the boom is over, as awful as it is to predict.

Along with 'smart investing', an investor has to be mentally & emotionally prepared for both extremes of outcome. And have a 'plan B', an exit strategy should their be a fire in the crypto markets. The best way to tell if you have a solid game plan is to ask yourself what your 'plan B' is? What would you do if you had to quit cryptocurrency investing? How would you live? Would you thrive just the same?

The ability to thrive after crypto investing is a sign that your investment strategy is solid.

I would guess that most people would find it hard to adapt after a life in the crypto markets. After the endorphine highs of rising bar charts is replaced by a mundane, 9-to-5 world. While I am sure that you can handle a massive fortune all by yourself, no problems, my mind turns to those who set their mental & emotional compass to an ever climbing bar graph.

This post is a somber one and not a cheery subject but it is one to discuss. It is one to ponder over if you are going to build a robust portfolio for yourself that looks after you, rather than you look after it. Build yourself a colossal portfolio of smart investments built on a rock solid mental & emotional foundation. Do that and you will be rich.

With all the focus on the shiny gold coins, I highly doubt anyone really gives a damn about this post and the idea behind it. To each their own. But I would like to see you, dear reader, stay alive long enough to drink martinis on a yacht somewhere. Or alternately, live in your crappy apartment, working a low paying job and still have a good life.

Thanks for watching,

Brendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia

Www.Skyflowers.co ( see "botany" tab for the plant research )
Www.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com
Social @iSkyflowers
YouTube Skyflowers.Tv

If you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.


DISCLAIMER: This article is written by an amateur investor and is offered purely for information purposes. This is not financial advice and you should always seek the advice of a finance professional.

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Personally for me, an ideal scenario would be not having to think about employment for the rest of my life. I can live on 500usd per month. Meaning that I only require 6000 usd per year. And if one of the now low trading assets goes x300 and I have at least 1000 units, it would mean I'd be set for 50 years which is likely enough to last me until I pass away (without considering inflation and other factors). Meanwhile I can look for other sources of income. I can either make a living by doing something I like or make creative breaks anytime I like. I'm not particularly scared of cryptocurrency price fluctuations because I don't invest fiat money into this. If something works out, then great, but I also work on other things while my gpu mines altcoins. It's great that you came up with this post though, because some people need to be constantly dipped into cold water and reminded that life isn't a fairy tale, or they will dream themselves into oblivion.

You are a smart investor. You've done the math of what you need and the rest is icing on the cake. It's the other people I worry about, downloading Coinbase at record pace.

Thank you for posting this @skyflowers. This is an ugly truth that we ALL need to face.

As long as you are sound and rock solid, then that's what I care about.

Why can't I resteem this post?

I was just surfing the net for possible causes of suicides relating to cryptocurrency and your article came up. You are right! There should always be an exit strategy, and like my cousin would always say, "Never invest in something you know you cannot afford to lose"

Awesome, awesome post @skyflowers and something I have discussed in private. I agree with you completely that there is no 'value' in the crypto coins themselves but in what they provide us the opportunity to achieve in the short term. Long term there are going to be many very disappointed men and women who will see their new found wealth disappear before their eyes and it will indeed feel to them like their world has come to an end and that life is futile without their numbers on the screen.

If you understand that life is a game of needs, which are in fact very few, then you will also understand that everything else is a bonus and shouldn't be relied upon. Unfortunately too few can see this.

I couldn't care less about exponential gains in Bitcoin if my real life sucks because I have poured everything into it. That is not exactly intelligent.

It is not. :)

Excellent post mate.

Hope your day is going well and look forward to hearing more of your thoughts in future. :)

Thanks. It's part 2 to my earlier one about "immature vs mature investing". Smart investors buy life experiences, dumb investors buy paper stocks, etc.

More and more time, energy and money is being poured into cryptocurrencies and for the next year or two, that is going to make returns. Then there will be a breakneck turn sideways as new startups can't compete with those already established. The markets will change and I will be on my farm.

Anayway, scroll back through my posts. There are tonnes of others about the psychology of investing.

Wow sorry to say that but without reading the article I have got answer to your question. :

As much as all around the world ( The same percentage that people commit suicide because of money bankruptcy etc... ).

It is obviously great effort as I went trough fast... but just did not have time to put in such not interesting matter for me.

Sry for being a smart ass. No hard feelings I hope.

No worries at all. I work in the field of mental healthcare, so psychology is a hobby. I also like predicting trends and forecasting, so I wrote this article as a part 2 to my earlier one today.

Thanks for dropping by.

No probs :P I will keep an eye on you. Your stuff is interesting really. Thanks for sharing.

I was a people watcher as a kid, not a social inter-actor. I like the psychology of things because ultimately everything human beings do is filtered through the mind. It's the weak link in the chain. So I like to look at the issues there.

Apparently there are already people who paid over $18000 for bitcoin freaking out!

Can't say that drop wasn't easy to predict...

It's just the beginning. You are going to see a frenzy of news stories. Bitcoin will be all over the tabloids.

Oh, forgot the gif of godzilla.

It's interesting food for thought and personally I think it's a good reminder that money isn't everything. Many people do jump in late to things with high expectations and find disappointment. Hopefully it doesn't turn into another Great Depression era collapse in the future.

I think the Bitcoin phenomena will lead to a wide range of social implications, not just in terms of transactions of wealth. With such massive growth, in a short amount of time, the effects will be easy to see.

I hope you’re wrong about suicides related to crypto currency investments. But if you are right, it’s very sad and unfortunate. I think there have been gold rushes of various kinds over the years, and it’s really true that people tend to be over-optimistic about thrilling opportunities. Your advice to avoid putting all your eggs in one basket is good advice for any investor of any kind. I hope people will realize that is every bit as much the case here.

I hope so too, but every human experience is filtered through the mind. I highly doubt many people have the mental agility and emotional resilience to handle a huge ( perceived ) loss in value of their portfolio. Economic desperation is one of the main drivers why people get into cryptos, so with that as the basis for activity, things can easily go sideways. A slippery slope at the best of times, but without the maturity, that slope only gets more slippery. Thanks for dropping by.

Coonbase the most popular ap, what? Damn, I'm getting out of touch with what mainstream is doing,,, but you are right, one has to be careful about expecting too much from crypto,,, I've got my reg. life and job all the same.

Yes, the Coinbase thing was announced and you have to realize that it is THE top download, beating YouTube, etc out of the top spot. The influx of newbies into the crypto world must be massive. And it's only just beginning. Wait until you set "bitcoin accounts" plastered on the front window of your local bank. Then you will know it's hit the mainstream.

I still can't believe that, I'm flabbergasted ...

It's early days in the madness. You think the yo yo craze ( in the 70's ) was big, watch until you see what the world does with Bitcoin.

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