气候变暖的灾难其实非常不可能。

in STEEM CN/中文7 months ago

全球变暖,气候危机是各国政要和主流媒体经常挂在嘴边的,也是所谓需要全世界一同协作来应对的人类未来挑战,而且主流科学界也把这个观念向大众灌输,当成已经被证实的科学,谁要是反对环保和气候变暖,谁就是撒科学的愚民和阴谋论者。

他们经常举的一个例子就是金星,因为金星和地球的大小、接近、轨道位置与太阳的距离也相差不大。所以,在太阳系的早期,这两个星球的环境应该是差不多的,金星上也有大量的水,但是现在两个星球的环境却是截然不同,地球成为了生命的摇篮,而金星的表面是名副其实燃烧着硫磺的地狱,其表面的大气压相当于地球表面的几十倍,而温度也有上百度,完全不适合生命生存。那金星上的水都去了哪里呢?金星表面的高温又是从何而来呢?科学家的答案就是,金星发生了脱缰野马般的温室效应。

所谓温室效应就是,星球的大气中含有大量的温室气体,使得从太阳那里接收到的辐射能量不能够有效的散发到太空中去,造成表面的温度不断的升高。比较有名的温室气体就是二氧化碳。同时,我们生活中常见的水蒸气,也是一种温室效应非常强的气体。当然从上面的定义描述中你发现没有,其实太阳的辐射也是一个非常重要的因素,有可能它的重要性超过了星球的大气成分。金星离太阳的距离更近,使得它接触到太阳辐射的能量也更多,所以它需要将更多的能量散发到宇宙空间中去,才能保持表面温度的恒定。所以金星产生脱缰野马式的温室效应的原因可能仅仅是因为它接受了更多的来自太阳的热量。而那些气候变化科学家和主流媒体所恐吓大众的就是,金星和地球非常相似,因为金星上产生了不受控制的温室效应,最终变成了不适宜人类居住的星球。如果我们不把一部分权利,让渡出来给一个个的国际官僚组织,或者设想中的世界政府,让它来管理人类的能源消耗,减少化石能源,减少温室气体排放,那么地球就会变得像金星一样,不适宜人类甚至生物居住。

但如果金星的情况是由更强烈的太阳辐射造成的,那么这种理论就没有任何的合理性。而要通过科学的方法证实这一点,就需要有一颗和金星距离太阳的位置完全类似,同时大气成分有完全不同的星球来进行对比,显然在现实中很难找到这样的对比实验对象。所以说,关于温室效应导致的气候灾难并没有非常坚实的科学基础,而且从逻辑上来推导,这一结论是可能性非常小的。

当然,太阳是在不断演化的,像太阳这样的恒星,这样的普通恒星寿命大约有100亿年,而如今的太阳正值中年,已经存在了50亿年,随着它逐步步入晚年,它会向红巨星演化,以及不断的膨胀,这样地球离它的距离也会越来越近。所以在某个时间点上,也会发生像金星上发生的事情,但是这个时间点是很容易估算的,大约就是在10亿年以后。所以这似乎并不需要人们,过度的担心。当然,如果承认太阳是造成行星上温室效应的元凶的话,那么对国际官僚机构,各国政府,对民众的消费和经济进行管制的理由就完全不充分了。所以现在那些气候科学家们所力推的观点是温室气体造成了金星上的,波浆,鲁托江研码的温室效应。回应到我们地球上就是要控制对石油等化石燃料的消耗,减少向大气中排放二氧化碳的量,并且还把这个量作为量化成碳排放量指标分配给世界各国。但这一点似乎从逻辑上也是很容易推翻的,石油,天然气等之所以被称为化石燃料,就是因为它们实际上是远古时代的动植物,被埋藏在地层之下经过长时间的物理化学变化形成的。而它们体内的碳本来就来源于原始地球的大气中的二氧化碳。我们知道,太空中是一个空旷,飘渺的地方,所有星球它的化学成分在它形成时就已经基本固定了,地球不可能从其他地方突然获得大量的碳,所以说石油中的碳本来就是原始地球大气中的二氧化碳。现在人们把石油挖出来,作为燃料和能源,将其中的碳重新释放到,地球大气中也只不过是让它恢复到原始地球的状态,何况人类还远远不够挖完,还远远不可能把所有的石油都挖出来在短期内。既然原始的地球没有发生像金星那样的灾难性的温室效应,那么现在的地球自然也不会,所以完全不知道它们担心的气候变化到底是担心的啥。


Global warming and climate crisis are often on the lips of politicians and mainstream media of various countries, but also the so-called need for the whole world to work together to deal with the future challenges of mankind, and the mainstream scientific community has instilled this concept in the public as a proven science, who opposes environmental protection and climate warming, who is the fool and conspiracy theorist of science.

One example they often cite is Venus, because Venus is not too different from Earth in size, proximity, and orbital position from the Sun. Therefore, in the early days of the solar system, the environment of the two planets should be similar, Venus also has a lot of water, but now the environment of the two planets is completely different, Earth has become the cradle of life, and the surface of Venus is a veritable burning sulfur hell, its surface atmospheric pressure is equivalent to the surface of the Earth, and the temperature is also hundreds of times. Totally inhospitable to life. So where did all the water on Venus go? Where does the surface heat of Venus come from? Scientists' answer is that Venus has a runaway greenhouse effect.

The so-called greenhouse effect is that the atmosphere of the planet contains a large number of greenhouse gases, so that the radiation received from the sun can not be effectively emitted into space, resulting in the surface temperature continues to rise. One of the more well-known greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. At the same time, water vapor, which is common in our lives, is also a very strong greenhouse gas. Of course, from the above definition, you will find that the sun's radiation is also a very important factor, and it may be more important than the composition of the planet's atmosphere. Venus is closer to the Sun, so it is exposed to more solar radiation, so it needs to radiate more energy into space to maintain a constant surface temperature. So the reason Venus has a runaway greenhouse effect could simply be because it receives more heat from the Sun. What climate change scientists and the mainstream media scare the public is that Venus is very similar to Earth because of the uncontrolled greenhouse effect on Venus, which eventually became an inhospitable planet. If we do not cede some of our power to an international bureaucracy, or a hypothetical world government, to manage human energy consumption, reduce fossil fuels, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, then the Earth will become like Venus, inhospitable to human and even biological life.

But if the situation on Venus is caused by more intense solar radiation, then this theory doesn't have any validity. To confirm this through scientific methods, it is necessary to have a planet that is exactly similar to Venus from the sun and has a completely different atmospheric composition to compare it, which is obviously difficult to find such a comparison experiment object in reality. Therefore, there is no solid scientific basis for a climate catastrophe caused by the greenhouse effect, and logically, this conclusion is very unlikely.

Of course, the sun is constantly evolving, a star like the Sun, a normal star like this has a lifespan of about 10 billion years, and the sun today is middle-aged, has existed for 5 billion years, and as it gradually enters its old age, it will evolve into a red giant, and continue to expand, so that the Earth will be closer and closer to it. So at some point in time, something like what happened on Venus will happen, but that point is very easy to estimate, about a billion years from now. So it doesn't seem to be something that people should be overly concerned about. Of course, if we accept that the sun is responsible for the greenhouse effect on the planet, then the reason for international bureaucracies, national governments, to regulate people's consumption and economy is completely weak. So now the idea that climate scientists are pushing is that greenhouse gases are responsible for the warming of the Ruto River on Venus. The response to our earth is to control the consumption of fossil fuels such as oil, reduce the amount of carbon dioxide emitted into the atmosphere, and this amount is also allocated to the world as a quantified carbon emission index. But this point seems to be easily overturned logically, the reason why oil, natural gas and so on are called fossil fuels is because they are actually plants and animals in ancient times, buried under the ground after a long time of physical and chemical changes. And the carbon in their bodies came from carbon dioxide in the atmosphere of the primordial Earth. As we know, space is an empty, ethereal place where the chemical composition of all the planets was basically fixed when it formed, and the Earth couldn't have suddenly acquired a lot of carbon from somewhere else, so the carbon in the oil was originally the carbon dioxide in the original Earth atmosphere. Now when people dig up oil, use it as fuel and energy, and release the carbon back into the Earth's atmosphere, it's just going to restore it to the original Earth, and we're not going to be able to dig up all the oil in a short period of time. Since the primitive Earth did not experience a catastrophic greenhouse effect like Venus, the present Earth certainly does not, so they have no idea what they are worried about climate change.

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Upvoted! Thank you for supporting witness @jswit.

近10多年来,夏天的温度是越来越高了,到底是什么导致的呢

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