11 Longterm Blockchain Predictions
I only recently began my exploration of cryptocurrencies and the impact of blockchain technology on the economy and the fabric of society and I can tell you that I am a huge believer in the future potential of blockchain and similar technologies to completely disrupt the current paradigm. Blockchain technologies will be at least as disruptive as the internet has been, and perhaps more-so.
That said, just as it was with the growth of the internet and its influence on global economies and societies, it will take time for blockchain to grow into what it will eventually become. We are still in the infant days for this technology, which has found numerous use cases, but very few developed platforms thus far.
That will change, and I expect the pace of development to be faster than it was for the internet, but we do still have some ways to go.
Aside from the obvious and heavily hyped financial implications of blockchain platforms, these areas below are others where I believe blockchain can provide solutions that will be world-changing.
Wearable Blockchain Technology
I believe that in the not-so-distant future we will begin to see wearable technology that will hold cryptocurrencies that can be easily used for everyday expenses. There are some security concerns that will need to be overcome first (more detail on this below), but to become mainstream cryptocurrencies will need to be easily accessible, and personal storage devices make sense in this regard. These devices will likely serve multiple roles, including monitoring your vital statistics for health care purposes, as well as possibly adding bio-security that will prevent the theft of your cryptocurrencies, and perhaps make it possible to include some ways to recall funds that were sent to an incorrect address.
Government Response
We’re already seeing the beginnings of this shift, but as currency becomes increasingly decentralized governments will begin to seek ways to maintain control over their citizens and their tax base. They may do this through regulations, through the creation of nationalized cryptocurrencies, or through the outright banning of cryptocurrency (which has nearly 0% chance of success). We will almost certainly see the power dynamics between nations changing dramatically based on their response to the increasing use of cryptocurrencies.
Blockchain Voting
Voter fraud has become an increasingly contentious issue in the modern world, but blockchain technology can make the voting system transparent, virtually eliminating voter fraud and restoring democracy into the voting system. Adding bio-metric identifiers to the mix will make the system nearly fool-proof, and certainly world’s above the current flawed voting systems. Several companies are already exploring blockchain technologies in the voting arena including Cleveland, OH based Votem and the non-profit Democracy Earth.
Geographical Freedom
One of the biggest perks of being a freelance worker for me has been the geographical freedom it affords. As money becomes decentralized and increasingly free it will also enable geographical freedom for the world’s citizens. The lack of ties to a government sponsored currency, and the ability to effectively monetize your own ideas and data, will allow people to pick up and leave more easily. This should not only benefit those of us who appreciate travel, but more importantly will allow people to escape areas of conflict, strife and war. It will allow for the escape from violence and from totalitarian governments. Ultimately national borders will become increasingly blurred.
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Record Keeping on the Blockchain
Blockchain technology is well-suited to record keeping, and this aspect alone could severely reduce the need for large numbers of government workers, whose only purpose is the creation and maintenance of paperwork. I haven’t seen any discussion of the implications of this, but the implementation of blockchain technology in government could free-up literally tens of thousands of lifetime’s worth of time spent on paperwork. Of course the question then is what do you do with hundreds of thousands of redundant government workers?
Smart Contracts
Contracts and software code are quite complex, and almost always come with some loopholes – intentional or not. I know smart contracts are being hailed as the end of paperwork, but I don’t forsee that happening. Certainly smart contracts will be useful and highly utilized in simple deals and for basic needs in the short term, but for more complex needs it will take longer than we expect to correctly implement smart contracts. In fact, we may need advanced AI systems to really tackle to complexities of smart contracts.
Stock Markets
This could be one of the faster developments. Who needs stock certificates when the markets can be tokenized? All that would be required is to legalize tokens as securities, at which point stocks can be tokenized and added to exchanges. This could also lead to the rise of both ownership and utility tokens for many companies, as well as trading 24/7 in any stocks that become tokenized. It should also dramatically reduce paperwork costs for corporations, leading to increased profitability.
Real Estate Enters a Bull Market
By putting titles and deeds on the blockchain companies and governments will see a huge decrease in paperwork (are you beginning to see a trend here), as well as a significant reduction in the time required to complete real estate transactions. This alone will make the real estate more liquid, and increased liquidity almost always leads to increased prices. Increased liquidity also increases volatility, so increased regulation may be needed to limit this volatility somewhat.
Healthcare Begins to Heal
Once again going back to the theme of reducing paperwork, healthcare could see a significant savings, both in time required and overall costs, simply through the reduction in paperwork that comes with putting health records on the blockchain. With healthcare costs predicted to reach 20% of U.S. GDP by 2025 a move to the blockchain will help rein in ballooning costs.
Physicians, hospitals and clinics will also be able to store entire health records to better analyze and treat patients. If this is combined with AI technology and wearable health tracking devices the healthcare system can focus more heavily on prevention rather than treating symptoms, potentially saving tens to hundreds of billions of dollars and reversing the slide in the broken U.S. healthcare system.
Privacy Becomes Even Scarcer
There is a myth that the use of cryptocurrencies also leads to anonymity. With the exception if a handful of coins that simply isn’t true. And if you combine the transparency of the blockchain with the ever increasing use of GPS technology, facial recognition, cameras on every street corner, and the potential of AI – well privacy could quickly become a thing of the past. Not evil in and of itself, but there are certainly those who could use this type of surveillance potential in an evil manner.
Business Leadership Will Shift
Currently technology is led by companies such as Google, Facebook, Amazon and the like. And other industries have their top players that dominate as well. Given that blockchain technology gives an immediate competitive advantage, many sectors of business will find these long-term leaders being replaced by new platforms with excellent token incentives that short-cut the path to huge adoption and user base. Those that fail to keep pace will find themselves relegated to history.
Bonus – A Twelfth Blockchain Prediction
Having the first-mover advantage is a very powerful thing, but it doesn’t mean another can’t come along with a better technology, better marketing, a better value proposition, and take your users and your business right out from underneath your feet.
Even with the first mover advantage, start-up companies need to strive to become so much better than the competition that the competition can’t even begin to get a foothold in the marketplace. Steem Inc is moving in that direction with the addition of Smart Media Tokens. It could ensure that the platform remains at the forefront of tokenized social media for a very long time.
Consider which cryptocurrency is currently the most critical to the entire ecosystem. That would have to be Ethereum as so many other projects have been built on the ERC-20 token standard.
Well, Steem is taking the same direction with the addition of Smart Media Tokens, but have made one crucial and important change. Along with the use of SMTs, each new token will also require STEEM for bandwidth on the network. This alone promises to send the value of STEEM into the stratosphere once adoption of SMTs takes off. And it will serve to make Steem nearly unreachable for competitors, at least until something significantly better than blockchain technology comes along. In the coming months and years this alone could vault STEEM to become one of the top 10 market cap cryptocurrencies, alongside the likes of Ethereum. And we’re all here to witness the beginning steps of this baby.
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I've enjoyed this article and your other article on the supposed crypto-bubble as well. I'd like to add a prediction inspired by a @louisthomas video - All of the data that we create, such as through our wearable biometrics monitoring devices, our driving habits and car data creation, our reviews on Google Maps and Yelp, and traffic going to our website (See: Oyster Pearl ) will come with compensation to our unique PK. His prediction that we have the capacity for tens or hundreds of income sources makes a lot of sense, considering how much data we produce that is being consumed by companies tenfold without us seeing a single cent of the profit! What I struggle to understand is the fact that there is an estimated 4 billion combinations of 256hash (I think that's what it's called 😅) and 7 billion + people on this planet and climbing. Would it be possible to tie our identities to a single number that serves as ID, wallet, passport, driver's license, health records, gov't security clearance, and literally EVERYTHING you'd ever need to know about a person? And, how would we delegate viewing of that information on a piece-by-piece and circumstance basis? #thinkingoutloud 🙏🏼
I have the same theory that all the data we create will one day be linked to compensations of various sorts. More than likely something will replace SHA-256 and other cryptographic hash functions allowing for more combinations. Then a delegation system for viewing information about each person on the blockchain can be handled by different levels of private keys.
Thank you for clarifying that. What an exciting future, right!?
Thank you @moneyinfant for promoting this post together with https://steemit.com/budget/@jerrybanfield/introducing-steem-budget-proposals
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Really interesting predictions here, thanks for putting this together! Here’s hoping that the positive effects are faster and more profound than the negative ones.
I keep my fingers crossed that the positive uses don't get perverted and turned into negatives.