Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 15. Apr 18
Regular daily update on BTC ta analysts opinions.
My summary - short-term sentiment: bullish (last: bullish)
More and more analysts are reinforcing a short term bullish scenario bringing us to 12'000 levels.
The bulls see the downtrend to be over and the 6'500 level as swing low.
Tone still remains bearish. Scaling out on weekly he sees no sign of turning bullish (yet). The similarity to 2014 is overwhelming in his point of view - the move upward might be the 2014 bull trap which destroyed the bulls for month.
April is used to be a good month for crypto. Lets see how this turns out this time.
News about the blog
I need to revise my 2018 long term table. I need to add a 2018 and 2019 target an be more precise on the sentiment here. Will do that after I am back in Switzerland.
We lunched the bounty project beta. If you are interested and you like to create a bounty on your own have a look at this post
Analysts key statements:
Tone:
- Weekly: Stays clearly bearish.
- Daily: Massive resistance is mounting - 50 MA, 200 MA which has proven as very relevant for bitcoin, fib line, log down trend and some others. He stays bearish and very sceptical of current move.
@haejin:
He sees the MACD giving reliable indications for bitcoin. He believes the MACD support a rally of bitcoin into July. A upward pointing wedge will likely be generated.
His new primary is shown below. This leads us to 12'000.
@ew-and-patterns:
Best case scenario brings BTC back to 14'000 in only a few weeks (6-12).
The bigger picture could look like this soon. He assumes the downtrend to be over most likely.
@lordoftruth:
Bitcoin is in the process of forming a higher swing high which is necessary for the bullish momentum to sustain.
For Monday he expects a pull back toward the area of 6'950 and 7'380.
Todays trend is bullish. Expected trading for today is between 7'380 and 8'260.
@philakonesteemit:
He believes firmly that 6'500 is the floor.
He sees two scenarios. First one is confirmed by breaking 8'240.
Second scenario we correct to 7'621 - 7'428 range first and than move up to strong resistance at 8'650.
@passion-ground:
Bitcoin is again range bound for the moment but on a higher level. It is providing great short-term support levels. Short term bullish scenario still working. He is expecting a pull back wave next to 7'500 levels (0.618 fib).
Summary of targets/support/resistance
Reference table
analyst | latest content date | link to content for details |
---|---|---|
Tone Vays | 13. Apr | here |
@haejin | 14. Apr | here |
@ew-and-patterns | 15. Apr | here |
@lordoftruth | 15. Apr | here |
@philakonesteemit | 15. Apr | here |
@passion-ground | 15. Apr | here |
Definition
- light blue highlighted = all content that changed since last update.
- sentiment = how in general the analysts see the current situation (bearish = lower prices more likely / bullish = higher prices more likely)
- target = the next (short term) price target an analysts mentions. This might be next day or in a few days. It might be that an analyst is bullish but sees a short term pull-back so giving nevertheless a lower (short term) target.
- support/res(istance) = Most significant support or resistances mentioned by the analysts. If those are breached a significant move to the upside or downside is expected.
- bottom = -> now renamed and moved to long term table. Low 2018
- low/top 2018 = what is the low or the top expected for 2018?
Further links for educational purposes:
- From @ToneVays: Learning trading
- From @philakonecrypto: Like in every post you find links to his amazing educational videos. For example here
- From @lordoftruth: Fibonacci Retracement
- From @haejin: Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial
*If you like me to add other analysts or add information please let me know in the comments.
Another great post famunger. Keep it up. I'll feel much better about this uptrend continuing once we breakout of the descending triangle on the LOG scale chart. I think many ignore this chart. It's getting close, has you can see on the 4hr LOG scale chart:
I totally agree - To be honest I am personally not so bullish. Also if you zoom out and go on the weekly it doesn't look bullish at all. But it is always a matter of time frame - short / mid / long term. I can see that we rally up for now - but that the bear cycle is over - I am not so sure. I need to improve on that bit in my post.
Also the post and sentiment reflects just those of the majority of the analysts.
I understand. Honestly, I think BTC will remain above $7,500. I'd be surprised if it dropped below that point again. It might bounce between $7,500 and $8,500 for a period. We'll see. The big uptrend signal for me will be when BTC breaks out of the descending triangle on LOG scale.
wow very nice post
@famunger will u help me pls to increase my reputation by upvote pls if u can i am not forcing you
This week might be an interesting one, giving us more feedback on the trend going on.
Btw, slightly unrelated but definitely interesting: have you read this thread? https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/7xae98/understanding_tether_why_it_accounts_for_a/
I would be very interested to hear your thoughts on this!
Thanks and I agree - we are in very interesting phase regarding price.
Tether concerns me as well - I am wondering if there is a way to short tether. That would be the best way to counter the risk as the risk tether going over 1 USD is very small and if it crashes you would gain a lot from your short. Need to look into that.
Interesting plan! Keep me posted ;-)
The risk of the market seriously collapsing simultaneously is quite high. Shorting Bitcoin should be interesting in that case as well. I don't want to think about it, but we need to.
You are right - it is a topic to think of.
Shorting bitcoin is very risky (as we saw on Friday with the short squeeze). Difficult times ahead ...
such an amazing words,thanks a lot
Hallo swisschris :)
Ich hab zwar keine Ahnung von dem was du hier schreibst, kann dir aber auf diesem Weg ein herzliches Dankeschön für die Wertschätzung meines Artikels hier lassen! 😃 Freut mich, dass er dich angesprochen hat!
In diesem Sinne, frohes kuscheln!
Herzlichen Gruß, Mo*
Its a great post to let know everyone about bitcoin reputation.
Thanks sharing this nice informative post.I appreciate this post.
Excellent overview as always!
Thanks for sharing the post @famunger