Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 15. Apr 18

in #bitcoin6 years ago

Regular daily update on BTC ta analysts opinions.

Bildschirmfoto 2018-03-11 um 11.14.53.png

My summary - short-term sentiment: bullish (last: bullish)

bulls.jpg

  • More and more analysts are reinforcing a short term bullish scenario bringing us to 12'000 levels.

  • The bulls see the downtrend to be over and the 6'500 level as swing low.

  • Tone still remains bearish. Scaling out on weekly he sees no sign of turning bullish (yet). The similarity to 2014 is overwhelming in his point of view - the move upward might be the 2014 bull trap which destroyed the bulls for month.

  • April is used to be a good month for crypto. Lets see how this turns out this time.
    IMAGE 2018-04-08 20:14:56.jpg

News about the blog

  • I need to revise my 2018 long term table. I need to add a 2018 and 2019 target an be more precise on the sentiment here. Will do that after I am back in Switzerland.

  • We lunched the bounty project beta. If you are interested and you like to create a bounty on your own have a look at this post

Analysts key statements:

Tone:

nonews.jpg- Weekly: Stays clearly bearish.

  • Daily: Massive resistance is mounting - 50 MA, 200 MA which has proven as very relevant for bitcoin, fib line, log down trend and some others. He stays bearish and very sceptical of current move.

@haejin:

He sees the MACD giving reliable indications for bitcoin. He believes the MACD support a rally of bitcoin into July. A upward pointing wedge will likely be generated.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 10.44.59.png
His new primary is shown below. This leads us to 12'000.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 10.45.42.png

@ew-and-patterns:

Best case scenario brings BTC back to 14'000 in only a few weeks (6-12).
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 10.50.02.png
The bigger picture could look like this soon. He assumes the downtrend to be over most likely.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 10.51.39.png

@lordoftruth:

Bitcoin is in the process of forming a higher swing high which is necessary for the bullish momentum to sustain.
For Monday he expects a pull back toward the area of 6'950 and 7'380.
Todays trend is bullish. Expected trading for today is between 7'380 and 8'260.

@philakonesteemit:

He believes firmly that 6'500 is the floor.
He sees two scenarios. First one is confirmed by breaking 8'240.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 10.59.12.png
Second scenario we correct to 7'621 - 7'428 range first and than move up to strong resistance at 8'650.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 11.00.39.png

@passion-ground:

Bitcoin is again range bound for the moment but on a higher level. It is providing great short-term support levels. Short term bullish scenario still working. He is expecting a pull back wave next to 7'500 levels (0.618 fib).
Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 11.03.18.png

Summary of targets/support/resistance

Bildschirmfoto 2018-04-15 um 11.06.21.png

Bildschirmfoto 2018-03-24 um 17.10.52.png

Reference table

analystlatest content datelink to content for details
Tone Vays13. Aprhere
@haejin14. Aprhere
@ew-and-patterns15. Aprhere
@lordoftruth15. Aprhere
@philakonesteemit15. Aprhere
@passion-ground15. Aprhere

Definition

  • light blue highlighted = all content that changed since last update.
  • sentiment = how in general the analysts see the current situation (bearish = lower prices more likely / bullish = higher prices more likely)
  • target = the next (short term) price target an analysts mentions. This might be next day or in a few days. It might be that an analyst is bullish but sees a short term pull-back so giving nevertheless a lower (short term) target.
  • support/res(istance) = Most significant support or resistances mentioned by the analysts. If those are breached a significant move to the upside or downside is expected.
  • bottom = -> now renamed and moved to long term table. Low 2018
  • low/top 2018 = what is the low or the top expected for 2018?

Further links for educational purposes:

*If you like me to add other analysts or add information please let me know in the comments.

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Another great post famunger. Keep it up. I'll feel much better about this uptrend continuing once we breakout of the descending triangle on the LOG scale chart. I think many ignore this chart. It's getting close, has you can see on the 4hr LOG scale chart:
IMG_6106.png

I totally agree - To be honest I am personally not so bullish. Also if you zoom out and go on the weekly it doesn't look bullish at all. But it is always a matter of time frame - short / mid / long term. I can see that we rally up for now - but that the bear cycle is over - I am not so sure. I need to improve on that bit in my post.
Also the post and sentiment reflects just those of the majority of the analysts.

I understand. Honestly, I think BTC will remain above $7,500. I'd be surprised if it dropped below that point again. It might bounce between $7,500 and $8,500 for a period. We'll see. The big uptrend signal for me will be when BTC breaks out of the descending triangle on LOG scale.

wow very nice post

@famunger will u help me pls to increase my reputation by upvote pls if u can i am not forcing you

This week might be an interesting one, giving us more feedback on the trend going on.

Btw, slightly unrelated but definitely interesting: have you read this thread? https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/7xae98/understanding_tether_why_it_accounts_for_a/

I would be very interested to hear your thoughts on this!

Thanks and I agree - we are in very interesting phase regarding price.

Tether concerns me as well - I am wondering if there is a way to short tether. That would be the best way to counter the risk as the risk tether going over 1 USD is very small and if it crashes you would gain a lot from your short. Need to look into that.

Interesting plan! Keep me posted ;-)

The risk of the market seriously collapsing simultaneously is quite high. Shorting Bitcoin should be interesting in that case as well. I don't want to think about it, but we need to.

You are right - it is a topic to think of.
Shorting bitcoin is very risky (as we saw on Friday with the short squeeze). Difficult times ahead ...

such an amazing words,thanks a lot

Hallo swisschris :)

Ich hab zwar keine Ahnung von dem was du hier schreibst, kann dir aber auf diesem Weg ein herzliches Dankeschön für die Wertschätzung meines Artikels hier lassen! 😃 Freut mich, dass er dich angesprochen hat!
In diesem Sinne, frohes kuscheln!
Herzlichen Gruß, Mo*

Its a great post to let know everyone about bitcoin reputation.

Thanks sharing this nice informative post.I appreciate this post.

Excellent overview as always!

Thanks for sharing the post @famunger

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