New Times/Siena poll of the battlegrounds.

Harris is up 4 points in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania among likely voters.

In the multi-way field, Harris leads by 5 points in Michigan, 2 points in Pennsylvania, and 6 points in Wisconsin. RFK unambiguously takes more from Trump than Harris.

In the Senate races, Tammy Baldwin leads by 7 points in Wisconsin, Bob Casey leads by 14 points in Pennsylvania, and Elissa Slotkin leads by 3 points in Michigan. Incumbent Democrats are doing great. Elissa Slotkin's race has been closer. It is an essential pickup.