Explaining the Vote-Bot Abuse and @Grumpycat Ultimatum Situation

in #steemit7 years ago (edited)

Guy's premable: In case you are not aware, @grumpycat made an ultimatum for vote-bots owners that their bots will not upvote posts older than 3.5 days. There's a lot of misunderstanding on what this is supposed to accomplish and how. Many people in the comment section also suggested that the voting window be made lower, not just the bot-vote window. This post is meant to try and explain to people the logic behind these things, what the logic is not, and also to a much lesser degree, what I think about it. Steemit wisely, everyone.

Let's take as a suggestion that you could only upvote posts for the aforementioned 3.5 days. What would people gain? Who would lose? How would it change matters?

The long and short of it is that those who write posts that take longer to consume, and that draw an audience over an extended period of time will suffer, as their window to get paid in shrinks.

An army of robots Pixabay.jpg

All those shitposters? They won't lose anything, if anything, they'll gain due to their pay-out being mostly dependent on the short-term anyway, and not being harmed due to how quickly it is that you can consume their content is.

So, what about the so-called stated goal of this, to curtail vote manipulation, especially by buying votes? That's nonsense. It'd do no such thing.

Let's start with this, suppose you could cut down the voting period down to 3.5 days, or even 2 days, wouldn't those people just vote at that juncture? Answer: They would. So what would cutting down the time-frame do? It's not that it'll do nothing, but all it'd do is make it easier for more people to see that this post has been massively upvoted by a bot, and give them the option to downvote it.

But if people really want to do that, they can just follow the upvote accounts and monitor them directly. It's also, sadly, not too relevant to most users, whose downvote power is too small, and who need to keep their voting power to upvote relevant stuff.

But here we see the real reason the whales want it, because if you upvote something 1-2 minutes before it locks out, then the whales can't really be expected to downvote it. So indirectly, if you limit the vote buying window, whales could do something about it. But there are two important things to note from how this works:

  1. If you simply shortened the upvote period, it won't really help, as the whales (or whoever's on downvote duty) need there to be a period of time between when the upvote is cast to when the downvote is given. If you simply make it all happen, in say, 24 hours, then it couldn't happen.
  2. The voting window has nothing to do with the reward pool directly, it's more that voting by bots as a whole is disagreeable to @grumpycat here. Just that if the upvotes happen early enough he and others in his position could decide what to do about it.

I'd also like to note that while I understand why Grumpy is threatening to downvote the upvote buyers, because he can't really threaten the upvote bots themselves, I don't think it'd work out too well, because most people buying those upvotes, quite likely, don't even understand the situation, and to them, the downvotes will come out of nowhere. If the downvotes won't even be accompanied by a message explaining the situation, they will think they were just randomly downvoted. A thing to keep in mind for the downvotes you handed yesterday to people who bought votes from Blocktrades, Grumpy. If you want to spread the lesson, then people have to know why they got downvoted, which quite likely will make them spread the lesson around on their own.

Now, I want to throw a word or two to people buying upvotes. You're not actually earning money. At least not liquid money. I saw someone yesterday who spent 16 SBD to buy upvotes from two bots. Their takeback? 12.25 SBD. So they just spent some SBD. They basically got back what they paid for.

If you don't think your content is good enough to attract more people, either to upvote, or follow your following content and upvote it organically, then just don't bother. You're not actually making money out of it. You're just basically recycling the money. And the money you'll get back from the post you just had the bot upvote? You got it, you're just going to pay the bot to upvote your next post.

So what and who is bot-voting good for? To be blunt? The person you're paying. They're just flat out getting the money you pay them, and due to the way in which Steemit works, they essentially get it "for free". They'd get the same curation rewards no matter what it is they upvote, but you also paid them extra. And you didn't really get nothing out of it. How does that feel?

There are "upvote trading/collecting" groups, which are different. That's not too different from a group of friends pooling their upvotes to help one another grow.

How can the whole situation actually be fixed? To be frank, I don't see any real option. So long those with the power can just upvote, and those without are at their mercy, this sort of situation will continue. One thing is for certain, cutting down voting time won't really change anything, and Grumpy's suggestion is a bandaid that will be used to punish those who buy votes, rather than actually directly handle the situation with the reward pool itself.


This comment originally appeared on grumpycat's post as a comment.
Image taken from Pixabay.

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Plenty of bots give you positive returns I'd say, so that is why people do it. And most people would see it as a way to even out the playing field slightly compared to whales even though it doesn't really, since bot operators pocket a pretty penny like you say.

Good to clear up misconception about the motivations behind this bot declaration.

The (bank) whales always win. Makes you wonder how Steemit.com wins. By there being people willing to witness to keep it running? By holding a lot of Steem and hopefully this platform growing will make their holdings more valuable? If that is the case, then it means they do want to cash out. And if they don't want to cash out, then a benevolent project made to be self-sustainable in order to provide this environment? One wonders, but I digress.

From the few bot examples I've looked at, people gain visibility, and while they don't really gain money, they also don't really lose it (just trade some SBD for SP), but they just recycle it. In some sense, they're gaining, because if you spend X and get X back, but also gain something else on top (such as more pageviews), then it's a pure gain. And that seems to be what is actually going on currently.

It's like people who spam in order to get more visibility. The idea may not match the reality of how things turn out, especially from the "effort" you put in.

As a minnow this is still confusing to me- but does seem quite important. Thank you for taking the time to write this out- it's at least more to think on.

Education is important! And I've seen quite a few people with quite a bit more pull than us who still don't understand all of these. Spreading information might raise the chances of someone coming up with a good solution. Should at least help people realize what are the problems the platform is facing, and what are the bad solutions and why.

The best bot I've seen is @hottopic which resteems the post to its 11,000 followers. You pay for visibility and if your content is good enough you can make money on it. This is much less manipulative than upvote bots that make margins of profit on what you send them.

While I am not sure how good hottopic is (up to this week it gave people 0.001 Steem and asked them to follow it, not resteeming anything), I do agree it is much less questionable.

How good do I personally think hottopic is? Not at all. There's no curation in terms of subjects or quality, so why would I click anything it resteems? I won't. Most people who actually matter won't.

It doesn’t lie to you about what it does. Visibility is the game.

Isn't it fascinating, that the best way to attract bots, including on Twitter, is by using the word "Bot" in a post?

yes it is !If you like to travel you can follow me ~Thank you

This post has received a 0.28 % upvote from @drotto thanks to: @banjo.

I don't know what the answer is, but the whole week has shown me that yes, the whales could theoretically take the whole damn pie. We at the bottom are banking on longterm thinking on the part of enough whales to keep the short-term pool-rapists in check. The problem with that is, every time a longterm thinking whale starts to get cold feet, starts to think the pool-rapists are winning and the future of the platform is untenable, the incentive is there for that whale to join in the pool rape and get while the getting is good. It would seem that the worse the pool rape gets, the more pool rapists will come out of the woodwork and the less incentive there is for any longview of value building.

Yes. This is a mexican standoff, or a warped case of Prisoner's Dilemma. Because at the end of the day, the whales are here to earn money. The question is just what they think is the best way to earn the most money. I assume whales that are "long term" are going to take money out, just over a longer period of time, or at a point in the future.

And yes, the moment they see someone else making off with the family silver, they need to protect their investment, in part, by making sure they get their share...

But they are here to make money. And we are earning money at their sufferance, basically. The question is whether the relationship here is symbiosis or parasitism.

I would say it's symbiotic to an extent. Obviously the gains are not equivalent on each side. But there is something to be said for a comment @techslut once made elsewhere regarding someone's insistence that they put in so much time to build a steemit empire. To paraphrase she asked "What were your other options before coming here?" For some to spend all day blogging and curating and building a following... well, easy enough for them. Before they were doing nothing that earned them any money at all for their writing. For some they weren't earning any money at all and everything they make sitting at the laptop commenting and building a following... it's all cake for them.

But for some of us, we can't trade the hours spent earning real world income to invest 12 months of nonstop Steeming in the hopes that at the end of those 12 months we will have a stable and engaged enough following to replace all that money we shunned. I fall into this category. So I try to be engaged as much as possible. I try to post at least a few times a week. And I am happy with what cake I do get because before I was getting no cake at all from my writing. In that sense I don't feel like the whales are parasitic.

But I do feel the hype that if you come here and produce good content that good content will be rewarded on its merit is a load of shit. The truth is you will come, for a time you may be in Curie range and get a couple of fantastic payouts on a couple posts, then you rep out of that range and your content's value is unimportant as regards 90% of the rewards pool. The weekly rewards pool is a zero sum game. What a whale takes with or allocates to a bunch of shit posts or even more blatantly comments like "Place Holder" or a bunch of dots is not available to people who wrote content many others find valuable.

Now I get it that value is subjective, and I have no issue with that. But what is being shown here is that a powerful (in terms of SP) portion of voters on Steemit values themselves, their friends, and their pet peeves over content. Period. This is no case of "I value this shit post over that creative and well edited post." This is a case of "I value immediate gratification over content in general."

And that's a real problem when you're trying to tell people to come to a place where the value of their content dictates their success.

Banding together and valuing what your friends create, so long it's not shit, is honestly, the only real way I see of making Steemit work for most people.

So you make circles of people with good content, and you reward one another because you think they deserve it, and because no one else would.

Also, yes, it's also that even if you do spend those 12 months and get that following, it's even less certain than writing and getting paid for it in the real world, because the moment you piss off the wrong person, or they just decide to take more of the share to themselves, your earning will be impacted.

So many things to worry over, which leaves little mental space for you know, actually writing.

Exactly. Which is why when I suggested some kind of 'bot' or 'trail' or something for a group of fiction writers who were close and would always want to upvote one another but sometimes miss each other's content, and that idea was shot down as something that would piss off a whale because we aren't doing the work of real curation... well, my attitude was "Really? Some whale is gonna give two shits about us ensuring our 1-10 cents goes to people we value and trust to create good content, when there are posts out there that are literally nothing but a placeholder getting hundreds?"

Congratulations! This post has been upvoted from the communal account, @minnowsupport, by Thunder_God from the Minnow Support Project. It's a witness project run by aggroed, ausbitbank, teamsteem, theprophet0, someguy123, neoxian, followbtcnews/crimsonclad, and netuoso. The goal is to help Steemit grow by supporting Minnows and creating a social network. Please find us in the Peace, Abundance, and Liberty Network (PALnet) Discord Channel. It's a completely public and open space to all members of the Steemit community who voluntarily choose to be there.

If you would like to delegate to the Minnow Support Project you can do so by clicking on the following links: 50SP, 100SP, 250SP, 500SP, 1000SP, 5000SP. Be sure to leave at least 50SP undelegated on your account.

We shall see how it all plays out. I don't like to get involved in warfare and sure hope that they all are getting it together. they could ruin it for everyone...

The real question from our perspective is what can we do to prepare ourselves, or to convince the whales that what is best for us is also best for them (and I am really not sure that is actually true, by the by).

I think the growing realization is that what we can and should do is not bank on much coming to us from Steemit, because it's actually more precarious than relying on strangers' votes and goodwill is to begin with, because we're also relying on a certain lack of action on the whales' side.

I have never paid for a bot, nor ever connected to one. My latest blog has earned $29.28 so far. There is no vote from myself. The point is that if you write good content, eventually followers will come.

I don’t think there is any point in most bots. They are there to make money for themselves, so they are not going to give you back what you paid.

As for the resteem bots promising 11’000 followers, we must realise that the followers are not real people. Their votes mean nothing and mostly their vote is worth zero.

Disclaimer: I am a member of the BuildTeam - the wonderful guys behind MinnowBooster. I use the service (usually) to gift friends upvotes when my VP is low and I have SBD laying around.

First of all, upvote buying bots exist for 3 reasons:

  1. Authors want to buy exposure to push content into the trending section of a tag they want to be noticed in.
  2. Stakeholders selling votes are basically recycling the SP they would get from curation into SBD. It's like powering down without powering down or losing SP.
  3. People / groups running the bots get a cut of 10-20% (as far as I know) of the profit the stakeholders make.

So if we want to eliminate voting bots, or discourage use of them, we would have to remove the first 2, and the 3rd will follow.

Fixing post discovery will eliminate the use of upvote bots for discovery. Since, as you said, vote buying on its own gives little in terms of liquid profits, it's the visibility that drives most people to buy votes. Fix post discovery - incentive to buy votes is gone.

Better rewards for curation will fix the 2nd issue. If we find a way to shift the power in favor of curators and curation, it might be more profitable for major stakeholders to trail quality curators for the SP than to sell their vote for SBD. I would like to see whales paying curators to earn curation for them, rather than minnows paying whales to get some exposure to other minnows.

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