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RE: My Thoughts On A "Steemit 2.0" On EOS
Although your deduction seems correct, in my humble opinion, there is a huge difference to the 'facebook clone situation'.
Here is a lot of things about the money. The newcomers of steemit.com get disappointed quite quickly because they realize that without a huge or bigger investment hardly anybody will be successful here comparing to the early adopters. I'm not saying that it is impossible but very, very difficult.
A new platform could be lucrative for many of us where we also could be early adopters and reach more financial success than here. For this reason, many active accounts will move there.
But it's only my prediction... And 'it's very hard to predict especially about the future.' :-)
If "Steemit 2.0" will be anything like Steemit.com, then the "problem" above will plague it just as well, isn't it? There will be a wave of early adopters, then the adoption will slow down because, well...
For the sake of the conversation, I don't agree with this so called "newcomers problem". Even if you start from scratch right now on Steemit, you can still make a decent living off of your writing, much better than any other social media outlet now. Instagram, YouTube, Twitter, Facebook, etc, all require a lot of time for building a sizable audience, and only after you have that audience you can start thinking about how to monetize it.
Yes, you're right, I consider too, that steemit.com is still the better solution to earn some money. But you have to be damn good and talented and it demands lots of efforts. People don't like to make efforts. If you are an early adopter that is a huge multiplier of your chances even if you are not gifted. And people like to take chances. :-)
I checked sometimes @anniversary posts (it stopped recently). It's really sad that so many people are leaving. According to its last post, two years ago 337 people joined Steemit and only two of them are still active. The drop-out is too big, there are hardly new improvements. Many of those who came because of the money they are moving forward. That way it is really tough to build an audience.
And if you have this experience with steemit.com you will give it a thought to join something similar, where you can be among the first ones.
Wasn't this the whole idea? To reward people who are damn good and talented and who are putting in a lot of efforts?