Why I Am Still Hyper-Bullish On STEEM!!!!

in #steem6 years ago

As we near the end of the year, it appears there are a few setbacks on our path to $100.

To start, the incredible run we witnessed from Thanksgiving to the middle of last week paused. Since the highs, most tokens are off a good bit including STEEM. After peaking a bit over $4.00 it is roughly $2.50. Repeatedly, I tell long-term builders on here to ignore price action since it is not relevant. So why do I mentioned it? Simply because it appears people are in a better mood when the price is going up. The negativity that we see is less of an impact with a higher price.

Another recent hit is the conclusion that the Vice token is actually a fork and not a development of the SMT program. This means that they are essentially going to be a totally separate entity. Other than air dropping some tokens to STEEM holders, there does not seem to be any correlation between the two. Vice decided they could do it better themselves. Is this a smart move? Only time will tell. Regardless of the outcome, that will negate their need to pay for bandwidth in STEEM.

Finally, we witnessed a ton of behavior the last couple weeks that went past upsetting and entered the realm of appalling. The flag wars, to me, got disgusting. People jumped in on both sides which meant it got nasty. This certainly could be a major turn-off to newer people especially bigger fish. I mean, seriously, do you think a major media celebrity would jump onto this site if he/she saw what was taking place along with the name calling. The people are brands which they carefully protect. Would a new medium interest them when this is what is put forth? Certainly it is not the majority of the people on here yet it is reflective of the entire platform.

So why am I bullish?

The answer is simply because problems are a part of life. No entity is without its issues. Sure there are some things to be down on yet there is also a great deal to be positive about. 2018 will still see incredible growth on this site and blockchain. The entire cryptocurrency market is on the path to explosion. We are standing at the edge of something great. Do not doubt that for a second.

I consistently mention that the key in this arena is to watch the development. What is going on the blockchain is most important. Pricing actions and individual behaviors will vary. However, when there is consistent development taking place, that is a blockchain growing in value. This is occurring with STEEM.

Here is a bit of good news if you missed it. Appics, the first token created under the SMT program, opened up its ICO pre-sale. From what I read, it sold out in 26 minutes. That is over $1.5M worth of tokens in less than 30 minutes. For those unaware, Appics is an Instragram-type app that is going on the steem blockchain. A few people were rather bullish with their money.

Here is an post by @flauwy:

https://steemit.com/dtube/@flauwy/gvdv4vgt

In 2018, once the Smart Media Token protocol is released and things get going with that project, I believe we will see these announcements on a regular basis. Instead of one more app, imagine a couple dozen. That only serves to increase the popularity of this blockchain.

My forecast of $100 STEEM by the end of 2018 stands. There is still a lot going on with the steem blockchain that will propel it much higher. Remember, at $100, the entire blockchain is worth $2.5B. While that might sound like a lot of money, that is roughly 1% of the present marketcap of Bitcoin and could very well be only .3% by the end of 2018.

That makes sense though since steem can average one a million transactions in a day, operating at .1% of capacity while Bitcoin is maxed out.

2018 will be a glorious ride for STEEM.

Hang in there.

If you found this article informative, please give it an upvote and re-steem.

Pictures by Google Images.

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Much of the drama that seems to be a part of Steem comes from the systems settings. Downvotes, reputation, rewards split, etc can all be tweaked in the upcoming SMT's. Some will have huge success, some will fail, but the total experience will give Steemit insights on what really works.

Since every SMT is built on Steem, it's core value is derived from the Steem token. Investing in an SMT means investing in Steem. You are right to be bullish. Steem over $100 end of 2018? It may sound farfetched, but I think it can happen!

I would split $100 a STEEM as People/Market understand that STEEM is faster, scalable, secure and has more utility (savings, powerup, delegation) than BTC and LTC: $10-20 a STEEM. Some of the bigger exchanges adopt STEEM (e.g. Bitfinance, Bithumb, Binance etc. and Coinbase can bring STEEM to $100) $20-40 a STEEM. Steem blockchain has 5-10M users (i.e. users can grow exponentially if signup process get easier and network effect takes place) $40-60 a STEEM. SMT brought some of the biggest names from Media (i.e. Media companies, specially news outlets are starving for profit model and blockchain adoption quadruples company's stock ) and lots of SMT based ICO get success and compete with ETH as well as Wall Street money chip in: STEEM $60-100!

Much of what I write people seem to think is far-fetched.....

So that is nothing new lol

It simply means you are a visionary.

That can be strange at times when talking with the 'normal' people. But you'll get used to let time pass by to prove you were right all along. It's a lonely path though, keep steady.

Thanks @fitzgibbon.

No worries about the lonely path.

Few seem to have much insight as to what is going to happen (none of us can know for sure but there are signs). Few on Prodigy back in the early 90s would have envisioned Facebook, Google, and streaming video. Yet it is part of the norm today.

When I make the claim that blockchain is as much of an impact as the internet but time 100, it is because this technology is really that revolutionary and powerful.

Hmm there seems to be a post in there.

There's no difference between a crazy person and a visionary before things happen... Only when things happen or don't is that decided.

I do not know why, but I believe your words, and the price of $ 100 seems to me absolutely real. Although, my forecast is much more modest - the price by the end of the year is about $ 20. Good luck to you and good.

Не знаю почему, но я верю Вашим словам, и цена в 100 долларов мне кажется абсолютно реальной. Хотя, мой прогноз намного скромнее – цена к концу года около 20 долларов. Удачи Вам и добра.

Thank you @cranium. Yes your forecast is much more modest and I think all would be very happy with your price.

I believe SMTs will really set STEEM off to a race few can comprehend. Plus I am very bullish on the crypto space in general.

We will see how things unfold in 2018.

You are absolutely right, only time will be able to put everything in its place. Thank you for sharing your optimism, he's infectious :) Good luck to you and good.

Вы абсолютно правы, только время сможет расставить все на места. Спасибо, что делитесь своим оптимизмом он заразный:) Удачи Вам и добра.

Great post, but just wanted to add one correction:

Remember, at $100, the entire blockchain is worth $2.5B.

At $10 it would be $2.5B, at $100 it would be $25B. Still very doable but just wanted to make sure everyone sees the correct numbers!

You are correct @yabapmatt.....

I only had one cup of coffee this morning.

Thanks for the comment.

Awww yeah. I'm so bullish on Steem.

It's so underrated out there - it's literally the only blockchain project that has a significant user base using it, and not just investing in it or speculating about it.

I like your take on the problems, that they are essentially growing pains, though I'm a bit worried that the witnesses are all totally mum about it, as if they either don't know about it (unlikely), don't care about it, or something...It's strange.

I also am very skeptical of SMTs, for a couple reasons:

  1. I don't think users are going to like the idea of having a different token for every website or discussion forum they belong to. How could anyone juggle their bags of DiyGardening Tokens, MlbTradeRumor tokens, CbsFantasyFootball tokens, LadyGagaForum tokens, etc etc, without going crazy?

  2. What exactly is the motivation, beyond conning your users through an unnecessary ICO, to make a new SMT rather than simply implementing the Steem blockchain itself, and filtering based on whatever you want?

I like your take on the problems, that they are essentially growing pains, though I'm a bit worried that the witnesses are all totally mum about it, as if they either don't know about it (unlikely), don't care about it, or something...It's strange.

The witnesses are definitely very aware of it, and some have made posts about it and are actively working to try to help. See @timcliff's posts for example.

It's very important for the top witnesses to stay calm and not overreact to such things though, and I think they're doing a great job of that. It's not their job to police the blockchain, and any changes to how the system works need to be done carefully and thoughtfully so they take time.

I agree 100% @yabapmatt.

This could be the case where something needs to be done with the blockchain but those should not be undertaken lightly. We cannot have witnesses acting emotionally and writing new code each time there is a spat on here.

The downvote system might need altering but let us let the emotions die down.

Personally, I think there is a problem when you have one with enough influence to wipe out someone's earnings on a work that they put time and effort into simply because the person disagrees. Also, I think there is also the risk of censorship.

#1. I think the fact that all new tokens that are created using the SMT protocol will be paired with STEEM makes it less of an issue. If my understanding is correct, we will be able to use our SP on other sites that are on this blockchain.

  1. My only guess is branding and funding. It helps a brand to have a token plus it is a way to raise money. Since the sites will need STEEM in reserve (or buy it) for bandwidth to fund growth, this means that the tokens they keep in reserve could be converted to STEEM. Just a guess on my part. And I think the SMT protocol enables them to enjoy all the steem blockchain has to offer.

Thanks for your comment.

The flag wars got out of hand and are still out of hand. More of the "whales" need to speak up and not take sides. Either way, the jealous and envy is disgusting and 180 degrees from what most of us at Steemit are here for. If someone (@haejin and others) earns votes legitimately, then his compensation should stand. Plus he has brought a ton of new users over from YouTube. I just don't get all of the destructive behavior and childish ranting. It hurts everyone's stake.

I would go full time on steemit WAY before $100.
Do you know much of the Appics 1.5m goes into steem?

I do not think there is a relationship with the pre-sale of the ICO. There are some tokens going to steem holders (I am not aware of the amount).

This was just the first step in their ICO process. I am not sure if they are running multi-presale phases or just one then the ICO.

I would have to read more on it.

I awant to give the app a try before I commit to buying any of their coins

Yeah. The flagging wars are getting old... post after post spewing venom and hate towards each other needs to stop.. sure a little disagreement is good.. but this is out of control.. certainly not what I signed up for.. hell I could watch the news off I wanted to bee depressed. Steemit is supposed to be a place to share your story... a place to encourage others.. it's not a place to measure the size of your dick... which brings us to VICE... most definitely a huge blow to the STEEM blockchain... my opinion? Fuck your air dropped tokens... rub that shit on your chest... if they don't want to be a part of the STEEM blockchain them I got nothing for them.. I'll go to pornhub when I feel the need to jerk off...
But will I abandon my confidence in Steemit.. well fuck no... I do think $100/ is a bit far fetched.. especially by the end of 2018... but I think it will go up... maybe to $10 or even $25... doesn't matter... it's still progress... it's still better ROI than I can get elsewhere... so I'll keep on blogging... keep on commenting.. and keep on doing my part to build this community... ok. Rant over. Y'all have a nice and positive day... peace

Damn @davedickeyyall....

I write a shorter post and you make up for it with a book. LOL. I like it.

Yeah, we will see how well they pull that off. Blockchain is not an easy thing to deal with and many thought they had the personnel to do it themselves only to have a good project collapse because of challenges they encountered.

That is their fate.. they chose it.. but what of peoples confidence in Steemit? That has obviously been affected with VICE going on their own... if VICE doesn't believe in Steemit why just average Joe? Average Joe has to think that VICE is smarter than he is... if VICE has no confidence do you think he does? And isn't confidence what drives the price up or down... inversely had VICE chose the STEEM blockchain the price would have doubled over night...

An old grandpa sits in his Limo-Lamorgini Hot Tub, and laments, "You know kids - before the Internet 3.0 really began, there was fear, uncertainty, and doubt -- it's time I told you about the flag wars of December 2017"

I hope I'm next you in traffic with my F150 Black-Widow with a sauna in the truck bed.

I've heard of these flagging wars but I don't truly know what they're about, other than some people disagreeing on the rewards. Anyways I share your optimistic view but I'm not sure about that $100 price level for steem. I'm going to say it will be somewhere between $20 and $50. But I hope you prove me wrong :)

Your prediction sounds very ambitious and I really hope you are right.

I don’t quite get what is Vice, it will be a steemit competitor?

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