Sports Trader - How do I Analyze a Match?
Hello Friends!
Following the theme I proposed in this post I bring to you in 3 threads as I analyze and choose a game to be able to work in this branch of the sport trading. I hope with this post to help those who are interested in this market and those who are curious and like to learn about other ways to see a football game.
Let the Analysis!
Choice of the League and the Match
It's always good to know well the championships, clubs and games that will work. The championships that I usually work are the main European like Premier League (England), Primera Division(Spain), Bundesliga (Germany) Ligue 1 (France) Serie A (Italy), Primeira Liga(Portugal), Eredivisie (Netherlands) by because of the liquidity of games (big money transacted which reduces my exposure to loss) and also have more access to news from clubs regarding output players, injuries and weather conditions that influence the outcome of the match.
Yeah, I accompany my Brazilian football (Some games. I confess that the Brazilian Championship (Brasileirão) is a championship "very boring" to work because it is too unpredictable). And I follow some South American championships, North American - MLS (great for goals) and other European countries, such as Ireland, Sweden, Czech Republic and others that are great to work on the goals market.
Choose of the Market
Depending on the league that I work, I can usually find more than 20 markets per game. The sports trading market goes far beyond 1X2, ie: Home team win, draw or away win. But we have other variations. In the same market 1X2 we can work for (back) or against (lay) the market. The market goals we can find variations from Over 0.5 / Under 0.5 (means you have at least 1 goal in the match or not have goals) to Over 8.5 / Under 8.5, depending on the league liquidity and clubs involved in the match.
Other variations are the half time, which let go or against (Lay - Back) who can be winners at the break and the correct score where we find the scores of the match. I usually work a long time only in the goals market, category over 1.5 Over and 2.5 for that I follow some very strict criteria in the choice of games and often working live when I feel that the game is quite bustling.
Bankroll Management
Never risk what you cannot miss. So at each entrance I don't use more than 10% of my bankroll. If I make several entries, I don't risk more than 5%. Until the 70 minutes if I have not gotten profit, I immediately close the bet and I play another game. If on the contrary I have a profit, even if it is 5% above the value of my input I close in Green. In this market we cannot be greedy.
Greens and Reds, How to Face?
It is common mainly in newbies of the market, in your first loss giving up and say that they are with a "bad luck". I understand, therefore, for me to learn how this market function, the movement of the odds for the game and take advantage of that, I had to break 6-7 banks and it shook me very emotionally.
But what we must remember is that like any investment, the sports trading has its risks and to mitigate these risks is only apply what I described in the 3 previous topics:
- Familiarize yourself with the league, the clubs and the game that you will work.
- Choose and specialize in the market that has chosen to work and also analyze the movement of odds these markets during a live game.
- Bankroll management. Nothing to put all your money in a single entry or do crazy things. The important thing is to have constant gains, even if they are small at first.
With knowledge, discipline and emotional intelligence, we can certainly be very successful not only in the sports trading that is the theme of my post, but in any investment or professional area of expertise.
Thank you for reading this post and "Good Greens" for all!
Thank You Very Much!
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