I think you may be right. I remember the 2100 estimates around 20 years ago when they were working on Millenium Development Goals were closer to 15 ~ 20 billion on the high end. Now it's just 11.2 billion. Either forecasting is really good, they stopped doing the high calculations (for political reasons), or something sinister is planned. Being the UN they probably chose 11.2 for political reasons and stopped doing the higher calculations. But you are right. Something is bound to trigger disaster.