I've been keeping track of the numbers. I wish Fox hadn't taken down the graph they were using everyday as it was easier to compare stats day to day from a list of countries. Now you have to go by what they are listing as the number infected outside China without knowing exactly where those new infections are occurring. From the last known Fox graph to the number stated and new number given there was a 114 count difference....but without knowing exactly, as I stated, where they are originating from it's highly likely it's those on the ships stuck at ports whose numbers have been rising that account for the 114 difference. On 2/8/20 the number outside of China was 279, on 2/11/20 the number outside China was 393.....the difference could be coming from the ships, one ship, don't quote me, I think was up to 104 the other day.
I've been watching carefully, I don't want to be an alarmist to my family unless this starts to grow here. So far it's been fairly stable at thirteen cases and we are by now at or beyond the twenty four day period. What alarmed me was the announcement last night that three individuals in my city are self quarantining at home after returning from China. I was under the impression that anybody returning from China was required to be quarantined at the bases you mentioned....it makes me wonder how they managed to get here from China without first being processed through the bases....it's these types of questions that need answers so the public doesn't have to necessarily fear that people are somehow managing to get back here using alternate routes other than those designated as the process in place for re-entry from China. The health department says this is a atypical situation....I'd use like to know if he was talking about the fact they are going to the home under quarantine everyday and monitoring these individuals or that how they managed to get back here was unusual compared to the regiment others are going through.
As I do not consume ordinary media sources, I have not seen Fox graphs. I have been using https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 primarily (it's visually pretty), and https://ncov2019.live/data (and others from time to time) to provide verification and backup of the Johns Hopkins map. You are right that it is difficult to get geographically relevant source data for infection and mortality, and this is perhaps a deliberate mechanism to prevent rational reaction to alarming data by people in areas affected.
It is clear throughout history that polities are far more concerned with their survival than that of their people.
Further, particularly in view of the possible deliberate censorship of factual information by available sources, what little we know about COVID-19 but avails us more questions. Given the fluid nature of circumstances arising from epidemics and pandemics, I therefore have advised folks to prepare in advance of public announcements of quarantines or outbreaks. All too often, it is too late to prepare for such events if one is simply reacting to official announcements.
As a matter of course I have persistent stocks of certain essential resources, due to my experience with duplicitous institutions. Since I have no confidence in them, I do not rely on them for adequate provision of alerts to developing situations, but simply remain prepared as standard operating procedure.
My recent health issues have perhaps rendered such preparations irrelevant, however. That is not your circumstance, and given your better outlook for continued survival, I recommend you take reasonable actions to secure necessary water, food, and medical necessities, at least, for an extended quarantine. If such preparations turn out to be unnecessary, at worst you have purchased such items before prices rise due to the normal affect of inflation.
If you need them, you will be glad to have them.
Thanks!
That's the graph Fox was using. They added Egypt with 1 case. Singapore and Hong Kong has seen their numbers double since 2/8/20...the last time I seen the graph on Fox. Most countries are holding at their 2/8 number, a few have gained two, three more cases. I hear what you are saying. I've already made preparations to start growing and canning food this summer in case of a sever market crash or a high rate of inflation hits. With this virus though what I am watching carefully is the growth or rate of growth in countries with less than ideal means to handle it or live in rather unsanitary conditions. If it gets to that point I think serious stock piling may be called for unless the numbers overall start to fall at the same time. It's not just me I'd have to worry about stock piling for as my kids will never listen to me. I think what will spike a panic is if they have to go to shutting down travel to multiple countries, I think the trick in this case is to be one step ahead of that panic line if it ever starts to develop.
Always sound counsel IMHO.
One of the supply lines that concerns me most is consumable parts for my trucks. I have considered prepurchasing tune up parts, brake pads, and clutches because I don't think any new parts are going to come out of China anytime soon, and supplies will dry up sooner or later.
Sounds like you've got your head screwed on straight regarding your preparations. I wish I could have a garden here, but I live on sand, and little will grow well in it. Fortunately 'the Big One' will solve that problem for me after the tsunami washes all the sand away.
Thanks!