Nate Silver election forecast.

Nate Silver's new election forecast is out now that Harris is the nominee fwiw. I think it is far too early for this, but here you go.

I think we will know where the race stands at the end of August.

But this seems close enough to where the current polling stands. Harris as the slight underdog.

For context, Nate Silver had Biden at 26.9% chance of winning the election and trending downward.