#nate

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bumblecat (78)in #polling • 4 days ago
A reader asked Nate Silver if the polls will underestimate Trump.
He answered that we have no way of knowing ahead of time. Poll bias is not consistent across elections. And this is…
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zafrada (78)in #electoral • 5 days ago
Here is how the electoral college bias looks like in Nate Silver's model.
Right now the model expects an electoral college bias of 1.7. That'd be significantly less than it was in 2020…
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