Appeal to Possibility - Logic Comic (Pt.2)
Something might happen, possibly happen, or even be likely or probable to happen, but that doesn't mean it will happen. When we assume something will inevitably happen because it could happen, we are engaging in the appeal to possibility or probability fallacy.
Something being probable doesn't prove it as a fact. However, this doesn't prevent us from making decisions based on statistical information. Statistics and probabilities are useful. But "sure things" are often not sure things.
High probability means less likely wrong, not 100% certain or right.
Murphy's Law is a fallacy of appeal to possibility .
There is always a chance something will occur. Probability of occurrence is not proof.
Examples
- There is a 95% chance that X can happen.
- X will happen.
- I flipped tails 51 of the last times.
- I will flip tails on the 52nd time as well.
- Something can go wrong.
- Therefore, something will go wrong.
Type of fallacy? Formal fallacy
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Author: Kris Nelson / @krnel
Contact: [email protected]
Date: 2016-10-17, 7am EST
Another excellent illustration of a very valid point.
Well done @krnel!
Thanks.
I like this comic a lot, good concept and plays out funny enough while making the point and giving some info.
Thanks. Logic Comic is more of a comic-style layout, with imagery and text, than it is comic as in funny-haha-comic... but I try to make it funny in some way if I can... but don't expect it ;)
I think I find humor in the obvious. Like it is funny that people sometimes forget the millions of what if situations that can play out that determine so much of our day that is just out of our control but the other side being life is not all random and the things we can and do control we should. I look forward to more comics intentionally funny or not lol.
...so who cares, live in the moment?
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