Yup, I think it is a safe bet.

Did you see the news that a northeast province in China is back to quarantine. Including a city of 11mns people.

We will not be able to deconfine as soon as western countries think or if we do let's be honest and say: 2-3% of our population will die in the next 12 months.

This could have worked 50 years ago but nowadays people will not accept this.