12/08/2017 BET Lokeren vs Moeskroen
1 unit Lokeren 1ST HALF -0.25 @ 2.07
I believe the new coach shock-effect is not factored into the first half of this match. Lokeren despite a good preparation and having a better overall team compared to last season completely missed their start. Coach kristinsson was fired this week and replaced by old succes coach Peter Maes. We've seen similar situatons in the past with Vanhaezebroeck returning to Kortrijk and Dury returning to Zulte-Waregem both with outstanding results. I still don't quite like the full time -0.5 line and odds, but I anticipate a focussed start from Lokeren this match and see some value in the 1st Half handicap line. Moeskroen are on my fade list right now as they were really poor defensively last week. The odds haven't moved on the outright win since the news, I believe the chances have shifted specially early on in the match.
Season Record: 7 Bets | 6W-1L-0P | +4.644 units Profit | +66.34% ROI
26/07/2017 Istanbul Basaksehir +0.5 @ 2.01 FT 3-3 WON +1.010
29/07/2017 Eupen vs Zulte HT 0-1 Over 2.25 @ 1.83 FT 0-4 WON +0.830
30/07/2017 Stvv vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.961 FT 3-2 WON +0.961
03/08/2017 Altach vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.943 FT 3-1 WON +0.943
05/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.75 @ 2.19 FT 2-0 LOST -1.000
06/08/2017 AA Gent Team Total Under 1.75 @ 2.01 FT 0-1 WON +1.010
06/08/2017 Club Brugge -1.5 @ 1.89 FT 3-1 WON +0.890
11/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.5 @ 1.840 (TO BE PLAYED)
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Lokeren vs Moeskroen HT 0-1 Bet LOST
Not a bet I would take again, Lokeren still poor and in crisis and no real short term shock effect because of coach change.
Season Record: 9 Bets | 7W-2L-0P | +4.484 units Profit | +49.82% ROI
26/07/2017 Istanbul Basaksehir +0.5 @ 2.01 FT 3-3 WON +1.010
29/07/2017 Eupen vs Zulte HT 0-1 Over 2.25 @ 1.83 FT 0-4 WON +0.830
30/07/2017 Stvv vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.961 FT 3-2 WON +0.961
03/08/2017 Altach vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.943 FT 3-1 WON +0.943
05/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.75 @ 2.19 FT 2-0 LOST -1.000
06/08/2017 AA Gent Team Total Under 1.75 @ 2.01 FT 0-1 WON +1.010
06/08/2017 Club Brugge -1.5 @ 1.89 FT 3-1 WON +0.890
11/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.5 @ 1.84 FT 1-2 WON +0.840
12/08/2017 Lokeren 1ST HALF -0.25 @ 2.07 HT 0-1 LOST -1.000
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Live Update HT 0-1
bet lost, cant' say there was much of a shock effect in this match. Lokeren seems to yet again have a scoring problem just like last season. This bet lost.