06/08/2017 BET Club Brugge vs Eupen
1 unit Club Brugge -1,5 @ 1.89
I see the home team as a bit undervalued as the mid-week match against Basaksehir where they lost without chance is taken as a reference point. Last weeks match against Lokeren is a better reference point for what this match might bring. Club Brugge on top tends to put up a very strong performance every single year in their first home match which they have made into something of a tradition (1-0 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 2-0 last 8 years). Eupen Looked weak last week at home against Zulte-Waregem and don't seem ready to play an away match against a top team. They seem to lack offense after Onyewkuru and Sylla left and the can't fully count on their defense as they make too many mistakes. These odds (-1.5 @ 1.85+) in this kind of match I will take my chances on any day of the week despite there still being some question mark on Club Brugge and their defense.
Season 2017-2018 Record: 5 Bets | 4W-1L-0P | +2.744 units Profit | +54.88% ROI
26/07/2017 Istanbul Basaksehir +0.5 @ 2.01 FT 3-3 WON +1.01
29/07/2017 Eupen vs Zulte HT 0-1 Over 2.25 @ 1.83 FT 0-4 WON +0.830
30/07/2017 Stvv vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.961 FT 3-2 WON +0.961
03/08/2017 Altahc vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.943 FT 3-1 WON +0.943
05/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.75 @ 2.19 FT 2-0 LOST -1.00
06/08/2017 AA Gent Team Total Under 1.75 @ 2.01 PENDING
Live Update HT 1-1
Eupen started the match defensively as expected, Club Brugge were better without having uge chances. Eupen scored the 0-1 on their first chance but made a defensive mistake causing a penalty for the 1-1 later. Match where defenses are bound to make more mistakes. I'm tempted to take a bit more on O 3.5 @ 1.85 at HT
Club Brugge vs Eupen FT 3-1 Bet WON +0.890 units
The home side was not as dominant as I expected them to be in this match and the handicap cover was somewhat fortunate based on the entire match. Yet it's something that is often the case in this type of "top team home vs weak team away" matches. Once the visitors have to come late in the match they face a team that actually finishes chances on the counter covering a handicap.
Season 2017-2018 Record: 7 Bets | 6W-1L-0P | +4.644 units Profit | +66.34% ROI
26/07/2017 Istanbul Basaksehir +0.5 @ 2.01 FT 3-3 WON +1.010
29/07/2017 Eupen vs Zulte HT 0-1 Over 2.25 @ 1.83 FT 0-4 WON +0.830
30/07/2017 Stvv vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.961 FT 3-2 WON +0.961
03/08/2017 Altahc vs AA Gent Over 2.25 @ 1.943 FT 3-1 WON +0.943
05/08/2017 Zulte-Waregem Over 2.75 @ 2.19 FT 2-0 LOST -1.000
06/08/2017 AA Gent Team Total Under 1.75 @ 2.01 FT 0-1 WON +1.010
06/08/2017 Club Brugge -1.5 @ 1.89 FT 3-1 WON +0.890