$ETH/BTC Poloniex Technical Analysis Sept 07, 2016.
Hello Steemers!
Decided to do a chart on ETH today, 2nd crypto on the coinmarketcap ranking and consistent volume.
Charts will be from Poloniex as it has the most volume.
The charts will start up messy as usually but did my best to work out and leave as few lines as possible :)
Will show mostly weekly charts.
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart clean
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 day chart clean
For start the clean charts, we can see that the weekly volume is slowly getting lower, but on the daily we can see that the sells dominate the volume bars.
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart highs and lows marked
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 day chart highs and lows marked
I started off by marking the previous highs and lows, ending up with a huge mess (which i usually keep on the chart, dunno why, i like the mess),
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart highs and lows marked + fib
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 day chart highs and lows marked + fib
Added the Fib, all the way from the lowest to the highest point. Thanks to the fibs i can see a bit clearer which highs and lows could play a more important role.
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart highs and lows marked + fib+triangle
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart highs and lows marked + fib+triangle
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 day chart highs and lows marked + fib+triangle
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 day chart highs and lows marked + fib+triangle
Removed allot of lines thanks to the fib and noticed some triangle patterns, also painted the full color so everyone can see what my eyes are looking at.
With everything I like in place, time for some scenarios of how the price could possibly move (according to my imagination...).
Uptrend scenarios
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart uptrend scenario 1
A harder uptrend scenario which could possibly happen. The price breaking out of the white triangle making it's top line a support level.
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart uptrend scenario 2
A milder uptrend scenario which could possibly happen. A bit more accumulation before the price breaks the white triangle in and makes it top line new support level and going into further accumulation with mild uptrend.
Downtrend scenarios
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart downtrend scenario 1
A harder downtrend scenario which could possibly happen. The price breaks both the white and the yellow triangles toward the bottom without any problem aiming for new local lows.
ETH/BTC Poloniex - 1 week chart downtrend scenario 2
A milder downtrend scenario which could possibly happen.
The price breaks through both the white and the yellow triangle downwards, but had more problems, thus keeping in the range of the previously made local low.
COMMENT
Once again, I will post the comment by commenting as it involves my personal opinion!
Thank you for understanding!
If anyone has any questions or need's help fell free to ask, I will try to explain as fast and as best as I can.
Critics, comments, reply's, counters, advice's, etc. are always welcome!
Have my charts helped you in any way?Let me know with a comment below :)
Are there more people who are doing TA?
Please post the links to your TA's posts into the comments as well!
DISCLAIMER
I am showing multiple scenarios on the price movement, in the post itself I do not take any stance, either bullish or bearish. I am not responsible for neither you’re winning nor you're losses upon trading! the "comment" section is my personal opinion and does not mean I have to or do hold any positions in the given market.
Everyone who uses TA develops his own unique charting style, please keep that in mind.
Kind regards, OZ :)
COMMENT
I would expect the price to either keep in between the lines marked with the red field doing some accumulation, or
for it to make a new local low around the area of the yellow marked field.
The sell volume still looks bigger then the buy volume thus i would maybe lean towards the new local low option.
Ofc as time goes by and candles paint i would keep looking at the chart and would refine my positions if needed.
Don't forget devcon2 conference is this month. That should help the price move with an update from devs on what the future of Eth will be. That news will be "fundamental".
exactly, that is "fundamental" please excuse me for not including that but I simply like ^ the charts!
missclick
You make 100k a year for that Lol... you are definitely the smartest guy in the room
Good job, well delivered.
Thanks for the report!
Nice report with trading analysis.
THANKS FOR THE DATA!!
AND THE BREAKDOWN
Nicely done :)
But could you say that the value of the currency and it's shifts, is also influenced by major stakeholders of the currency such as Coinbase?
I take the lack of follow through on volume as a sign there aren't many committed sellers out there. ETC bears seems to have won the battle against the hypesters. Pretty wide range of outcomes on this but I would enter below 12, sell if it stays below 11 for too long 24 to 48 hours, sell 12.5 to 13 on lackluster volatility. Realisticly, it is hard to set a target but let some go at 14, then maybe wait for a sell signal. I am long a few of these
This post has been linked to from another place on Steem.
About linkback bot
Please upvote if you like the bot and want to support its development.