Latest model probabilities from Split Ticket's forecasting.

The Presidency and the House are basically pure toss-ups. As they note given race correlations, the winner of the presidency will likely also win the House.

But whichever party wins the House will probably have a narrow majority. Dems are favored in 212 seats and Republicans are favored in 209 seats and there are 14 toss-ups.

The Senate favors the Republicans, but the most likely outcome is 51 seats, so it may be a tight majority. Democrats still have a shot though if they can hold on in Montana and Ohio, or flip Texas and Florida. And Nebraska is the dark horse wild card here- the independent Osborn could shake up things.