Are All The Cryptocurrency Coins Trapped In Bitcoin's Shadow?

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Where Bitcoin goes, everyone goes.

Just like many of you, I've spent the morning watching my modest portfolio bounce up and down by hundreds of dollars a minute.

This is a modest portfolio - all from Steemit earnings which I decided to invest and allocate in an effort to learn a little about this coin trading thing all the kids were talking about. So hundreds of dollars means swings of 10% to 40% are happening every hour.

I'm used to seeing gains and losses like this play out over a period of years, not hours. I've always been more of a long-term, mutual-funds, 401K for my 60s kind of guy, The fact that I haven't bet my life on these decisions makes this roller coaster ride a good time, rather than a pants-shitting ordeal. At the end of last year, when I saw my portfolio triple in value over the course of a week, I knew this was going to be a bumpy ride. (What a genius I was, to make so much money! My mom always said I was the smartest boy in school.)

And since it feels like I'm living a William Gibson novel from the late 90s. I'm all for it.

I've invested in a dozen different coins - some with seriousness and research, and some with a sense of ironic what-the-fuckery. Dogecoin? Why not? Who wouldn't jump at the chance to own ten thousand of something for a couple of twenties? I haven't had that much fun since I bought a bag of rice.

So here's today's observation -

At least for now, it doesn't seem to matter much which tokens you pick.

I don't mean to make light of this. Some of the coins have been swaying like a stately old redwood tree, and others have been flopping around like a donkey dick. If one goes up, they all go up. And if one goes down, well... duh.

It's all a matter of degree. It's just that those degrees seem to cancel each other out, every day, within hours.

Here's the shape of Bitcoin for the past year:

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Here's Steem (where the vast majority of my earnings are doing their thing as Steem Power):

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And here's the shape of my ever-so-clever diversified portfolio:

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Those green lines all look rather similar, don't they?

So what's the point of all this effort?

I could have left it all in Bitcoin - or for that matter, not even bothered joining the Bittrex playground at all and kept all my earnings in Steem. Financially I'd be more or less in the same place.

I'm not sure if the similar performance of all these coins is because of the immaturity of this market, or because when there's an exciting day for crypto in the news, everyone just dives in or out of fiat at the same time.

If people really had strong opinions about one coin versus another, you'd expect swings across the crypto space, with investors moving from a suspect technology to one they had more confidence in. Instead, when I check in on Cointracking.info, my charts are either ALL RED or ALL GREEN.

I suspect this will probably change, as markets mature and people really start to understand what these different technologies are meant to do for us. But it might take a while, and we might have a lot more ALL RED days ahead, as people lose interest in keeping track of hundreds of coins and blockchains, and a lot of these fad-driven penny coins are shaken out of existence.

My guess is that big Momma bitcoin will be here to stay, but who knows? Maybe the transaction fees and creaky old infrastructure will get to be too much for her.

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In the mean-time, you can never go wrong with a sack or two of Dogecoin stashed away. That stuff is just too funny to die.

What do you think? Are all these coins gonna stay in Bitcoin's shadow forever?

Or will things start to diverge and get more interesting? Sooner or later?


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If you look at Steem in terms of Steem per BTC it has faired better then many coins in the last month. The main reason for bothering with alt coins for me is to get in when the pairing to BTC is low and then out once it gets to high.

Just food for thought on Steem, if you bought Steem on 12/31/17 at what shows as the high on Bittrex you would have paid .0003050 BTC per Steem, today that is worth .0004954 BTC per coin. It peaked at around .0005757 a few days ago.

The drop in price is due to the drop in BTC value as steem is actually worth about 62% more (value per BTC) then it was just at the end of 2017.

That said as long as Steem can hold these values if we see a price increase in BTC to say $15,000 we are talking about a price of $7.43.

Now this pairing of prices is the biggest reason your portfolio of alt coins will see such large drops with BTC drops.

Side note if you had sold all your Steem and kept it in BTC you would have 62% less money then you do right now for the amount you hold in Steem. So be thankful your main coin is Steem

Yeah, I am pretty grateful I didn't move more out. Really goes to show that sometimes the smartest course is to do nothing!

Actually I've only moved SBD out, and then only some of it. And I did get to take a nice ride on BTC when Steem and SBD were both at $1, then trade back for Steem to power up. It's how I first got to the magic 500 Steem (hooray slider) and then it felt good so I kept going.

With SBD to Steem below parity at the moment and BTC so cheap, I'm wondering if it might be time to try this again instead of powering up.

Need to get that slider, it's a good goal. Been doing some trading between SBD and Steem here and there so want to keep my liquid steem as such and keep making little profits here and there. Hopefully grow it enough to then power up and get over 500 SP.

It really does allow you to be much more interactive on here, and reward posts a little more thoughtfully. Plus I really like being able to leave a few cents when someone writes a thoughtful comment, since some comments can be as interesting as the original post.

Good luck in your quest!

I tend to upvote all the thoughtful comments on my posts. Hitting 500 will allow me to keep upvoting comments while still being able to reward authors for their posts. Really like being able to give votes to new bloggers and spreading around some votes to try and help motivate them to stay. Not easy to everything I want with only 20 votes a day...lol.

In the same boat up here on this side of the border. Modest income sounded like a good deal for a person who took an early retirement. I thought wow a second career. Good thing I have not bet the entire bank on the scenario and tossed in my cat as well. However, everything is down here. RRSP's GIC's ,all invested stocks and even the temperature. Brrrr -15. Being the age I am I have seen this Rodeo before. So I do nothing. The only thing that is up is my vote. From 1 cent to 4. Might still be a minnow yet.

Did you ever read Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy? I remember one of the characters had these sunglasses that turned black whenever danger approached - so that he wouldn't feel panicked or stressed out.

As ridiculous as that is, I think we need those glasses for investing. Unless you've got money to spend and you want to go looking for bargains, there's no reason to pay too much attention to things when they're down.

I have not read that but I would like to....yes you are right. I have seen much over the years and people full of angst over this and that and interest rates and such. You are right we really do not pay too much attention. Therefore I think we will go out and paint the town red tonight. Rule of thumb invest only what you can afford to loose. In the meantime I am having a blast on Steemit.

I haven't had that much fun since I bought a bag of rice.

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Well, you must have done something right cause your portfolio green line is not as bad as bitcoin's. lol. But on serious note, IMHO, as long as bitcoin is still the gateway to the fiat, the answer is yes.

You know, I thought that too for a minute. "I beat the market!" And then I remembered that I'd just deposited a few more SBD into my account from earnings!

I'm not much of a trader, so I cannot have a decent opinion on what's going to happen. What I cannot understand is people selling at these prices. I don't think long time hodlers who've been through so many ups and downs are the ones selling right now. I think it must be the newcomers - but if you've bought in the past few months, when BTC was higher why sell now!? You're obviously going to lose money so why not hodl a bit longer and see what happens!?

I don't get it either! All this stuff is on sale at the moment. Shouldn't people be shopping?

It's actually super-interesting to watch the psychology of it.

a lot of these fad-driven penny coins are shaken out of existence.
Yup.
Any coin which does not have some inherent usefullness and therefore VALUE, is gonna die.
The shitcoins are being flushed as we speak.

Take a look at Ethereum. It breaks the trend with Bitcoin. Ethereum has performed quite well over the last 30 days, especially compared to all other coins.

Well now, that is an outlier, isn't it? Too late to buy in, do you think, or does it still have a way to go?

It seems that when bitcoin sneezes all the other coins catch cold. It really is an interesting phenomena, but I guess it kind of makes sense to some degree. A lot of people trade altcoins but once they want to cash out many of them will exchange what they have for bitcoin if they're unable to exchange to fiat. That's just a guess though, I might be wrong, I still don't know how things work when you're trying to get value out of altcoins.

The only crypto I really care about is steem, mainly because it's the only one I can easily get real world value out of right now, especially since the introduction of @steemgiftcards.

Oh, and that "Who wouldn't jump at the chance to own ten thousand of something...?" line made me laugh, it reminded me of Mitch Hedberg's rice joke.

Dammit! I thought my brain had borrowed that from somewhere. I poked around in there, didn't find anything, thought, must be mine then and went with it.

You're like the cheetah bot for the human subconscious!

I mostly only care about Steem as well - that's where 80% of my earnings sit. And those steem gift cards are a wonderful idea. I really think people's emotional and time investments in Steem are going to make it last.

Sorry, my bad, haha. I always think I've come up with something unique only to later find out I had come across it somewhere else, so I know how it feels.

Yeah, I agree. It seems with most coins and such it's a very hands off experience, you invest money to buy the coin and just sit back and hope for the best. Whereas steem seems like a much more involved process, you invest your time and effort, and that has a completely different psychological effect which makes you want to find some way to influence the success of the project. Plus, what other cryptocurrency allows you to join in and profit for free?

Bitcoin has started flying again,lets see where it reached.

Everyone apes bitcoin,
if bitcoin is high everything else is also high

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