Crypto Contest October 7: Status Report XXI

in #cryptocurrency6 years ago

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of August 2018. There were 31 contests in August. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct two times. The analysis was wrong 11 times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 18 times.

The correct ones were the following:

  1. Crypto Contest August 14: TenX

  2. Crypto Contest August 23: Bitswift

In these contests the range option won:

  1. Crypto Contest August 5: NEM

  2. Crypto Contest August 11: Bytecoin

  3. Crypto Contest August 12: GeoCoin

  4. Crypto Contest August 15: Groestlcoin

  5. Crypto Contest August 16: Lisk

  6. Crypto Contest August 17: I/O Coin

  7. Crypto Contest August 18: OKCash

  8. Crypto Contest August 19: Streamr DATAcoin

  9. Crypto Contest August 21: IExec RLC

  10. Crypto Contest August 22: Bytecent

  11. Crypto Contest August 24: Bitcoin Diamond

  12. Crypto Contest August 25: 2GIVE

  13. Crypto Contest August 26: Nuls

  14. Crypto Contest August 27: NAGA

  15. Crypto Contest August 28: DigixDAO

  16. Crypto Contest August 29: SpankChain

  17. Crypto Contest August 30: Aeron

  18. Crypto Contest August 31: E-Gulden

In these contests the analysis was wrong:

  1. Crypto Contest August 1: Swarm City

  2. Crypto Contest August 2: Myriad

  3. Crypto Contest August 3: Binance Coin

  4. Crypto Contest August 4: Musicoin

  5. Crypto Contest August 6: DMarket

  6. Crypto Contest Status Report XIX (Contest For August 7)

  7. Crypto Contest August 8: ION

  8. Crypto Contest August 9: Breakout

  9. Crypto Contest August 10: Magi

  10. Crypto Contest August 13: Mithril

  11. Crypto Contest August 20: EverGreenCoin

How did the previous months' analysis go?

From April 1, 2017 to August 31, 2018, the analysis has been correct 122 times, wrong 107 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 277 times.
nimetön.png

How did the voters do in August 2018?

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 18 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 58% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

  1. Crypto Contest August 5: NEM

  2. Crypto Contest August 11: Bytecoin

  3. Crypto Contest August 12: GeoCoin

  4. Crypto Contest August 15: Groestlcoin

  5. Crypto Contest August 16: Lisk

  6. Crypto Contest August 17: I/O Coin

  7. Crypto Contest August 18: OKCash

  8. Crypto Contest August 19: Streamr DATAcoin

  9. Crypto Contest August 21: IExec RLC

  10. Crypto Contest August 22: Bytecent

  11. Crypto Contest August 24: Bitcoin Diamond

  12. Crypto Contest August 25: 2GIVE

  13. Crypto Contest August 26: Nuls

  14. Crypto Contest August 27: NAGA

  15. Crypto Contest August 28: DigixDAO

  16. Crypto Contest August 29: SpankChain

  17. Crypto Contest August 30: Aeron

  18. Crypto Contest August 31: E-Gulden

How did the voters do earlier this year?

Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February.

nimetön2.png

August was the best month since May for the crowd's accuracy.

Conclusion

Congratulations to the winners!

steemverify.png

How about next month (September 2018)?

If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the September 2018 contests".

If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the September 2018 contests".

If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the September 2018 contests".

You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST October 10 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.

Bonus 1

I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.

Bonus 2

Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.

Sort:  

The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the September 2018 contests (24 voters as of 3 PM EST October 10: bleujay, skepticology, gregory-f, novus-locus, soundmoney, simonjay, allyouneedtoknow, toofasteddie, ace108, jznsamuel, crokkon, diogosantos, mgood, steem-d-anlovnit, reconnectnature, jlordc, costanza, mitrado, criptorafa, rothberg, galasek, portillo, richard78624, colon2018).

You won. Paid out from @maarnio1

The analysis is right most of the time in the September 2018 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST October 10: freiheit50, abh12345, nzl19500).

The analysis is ALWAYS right, but the coins sometimes refuse to follow our brilliant chartdoctor's forecast!

Thank you freiheit.

Thank you very much for these almost daily games!

Thank you for participating.

The analysis is wrong most of the time in the September 2018 contests (4 voters as of 3 PM EST October 10: diana.feuerberg, vicspics, steemit.nemesis, sporttr).

October will be the last month that coins will stay in range more often than right.

We are already seeing some interesting movements from very consistent coins.

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