Bitcoin Market Update: All Eyes on AML Regulations Coming in October.

in #cryptocurrencies2 years ago (edited)

Hi traders, let's have a look at the market.

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Bitcoin.


Apologies for missing yesterday's market update, passions were high and it didn't seem like a good time to do some objective analysis on the market.

EDIT:

I realized that I did all my TA on a USDT chart, since Tether isn't pegged 1:1 to the dollar anymore just keep in mind that the "real" price is lower. USDT/BTC market still moves the spot market in volume though.

Bitcoin price, charts, market cap, and other metrics   CoinMarketCap.png

So, let's jump into this.

This week's beginning is firing on all cylinders, as we predicted Bitcoin spiked in impressive fashion after completing a fractal pattern from back in April 2018.

6379.8 Bitfinex BTC USD - BitcoinWisdom.png

Wrecking the shorts in the process.

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Despite the fact that this spike was certainly not organic but a combination of short squeeze and market manipulation, it's nonetheless established $6000 as a strong level of support in Bitcoin and has reinforced our thesis of a Bitcoin bottom which we formulated about a month ago.

You'll notice that the "Short Squeeze Danger Zone" established in the chart above is the reflection in the inverse of the $6000-ish level of support.

download (1).png

Now, we've yet to see a follow-up on the spike, the market remains extremely cautious and has been stripped of most "dumb money" with overall interest as low as back in April 2017.

bitcoin - Explore - Google Trends.png

A quick volume profile analysis shows Bitcoin hitting against resistance around $6800 due to low market auction beyond that price.

download (2).png

What this means is that it'll certainly take another pump to move this market another leg up.

Strategy.


  1. From a technical point of view, I believe that Bitcoin has bottomed at $6000 and now is the time of maximum financial opportunity for a long term Bitcoin swing trade.
  2. I don't recommend trading those chops, especially with leverage, stick to buying on spot and accumulating for the next market cycle.
  3. From a fundamental point of view, pay very close attention to any news coming from the Financial Action Task Force this October, related to cryptocurrencies and AML provisions. A real tightening of regulations around crypto currencies could represent another bearish catalyst event.

Until then,


FØx.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.


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