The time that people become so negative and depressed, you know the bottom is near. Because prices move way slower today than in December / Januari I think we will go sideways and slowly down for a while till the tide turns around triggered by a positive event.

And since the fundamentals are still extremely good, I think the positive event comes earlier than after the 2014 crash. The lower the price goes the harder it becomes for entities that manipulate the price to push it down even further because the weak hands / dumb money has left already and the HODLers / smart money will create a strong bottom somewhere.

Every single mechanism in BTC is self regulating, so is the price. Fiat whales are probably on the sidelines to go shopping on a HUGE discount. HODL and accumulate, with a long term vision you will be ok!