(原創分享)技術分析入門(7) 技術指標(上)

in #cn4 years ago (edited)

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大家好,上次為大家介紹了波浪理論,之後不久還把它應用在比特幣的走勢上呢,結果如何大家都有目共睹了。

在開始前,先比較看看現實和五日前我對比特幣的走勢分析

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幾乎是一模一樣的!還剛好畫在了三千美元的轉角位,之前也到達了四千美元的目標價位!準確得連我自己也大吃一驚呢!大家在那天有買嗎?有投資比特幣的朋友記得留意我往後的分析了。

另外,不久前在這個帖子說的金價在FOMC前會下跌的預測也成真了,金價可是跌了接近50美元呢,這些天狀態大勇呢哈哈!

好了,廢話說完了,事不宜遲,立即開始了!

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這次會開始為大家介紹一些常用的技術指標和它們的應用呢,如果你想觀察各種產品的圖表和技術指標,你可以下載MetaTrader5這款手機應用,你可以在圖表下方設定你會應用到的指標,我個人認為還挺方便的,強烈推薦,特別是參加了中文區模擬投資比賽的朋友,你懂得運用的話這說不定會成為你的神兵利器呢。

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為免一次過介紹太多技術指標使大家不能有效地吸收,大概每次只會重點介紹一兩個技術指標,也可以寫得更詳細一點,這次就先介紹RSI這個最常見的指標和如何把它應用在圖表的走勢分析上。

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RSI

RSI,即相對強弱指數,英文的全名是Relative Strength Index,是用來判斷價格是強還是弱的指標,進而預測未來漲跌機率的工具。RSI在1978年由美國的機械工程師威列斯·威爾德(Welles Widler JR.)所發明,是被廣泛使用的分析工具。

我們先看看RSI的公式,很簡單直接的。

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由這公式可見,RSI的數值介乎0至100之間,RSI高於50表示買方較為強勢,反之低於50表示空頭佔優。

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以這股價的六日漲跌為例子,漲的3+2+2+2=9,跌的=4+1=5

所以這股價的六日RSI = 9/(9+5) = 64.3,顯示買方較為強勢呢


RSI背離

RSI背離的意思是RSI的走勢和價格走勢相反,意味著反轉行情可能隨時出現。

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上次在黃金突破1350美元時我就是觀察到RSI背離的訊號,配合我觀察到的金價議息前下跌的規律、在帖子裡提過的阻力線和威廉指標(這個會在之後的帖子提及),我基本上是肯定金價在那個位置是會作出一個比較大的回調的,而現實也證明了這些分析是奏效的。


超買和超賣

當RSI 超過80時就表示價格超買,反之低過20時就表示價格超賣,反轉行情有機會在不久後出現,但大家需要小心的是超買還可以更超買,超賣還可以更超賣,不能單純地靠RSI來告訴你反轉行情何時會出現,最好還是配合以前說過的陰陽燭和圖表形態來判斷。


如何利用短週期的RSI和長週期的RSI的交叉訊號

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這次用了14日和7日的RSI作例子。

黃金交叉:短週期RSI向上升穿長週期RSI,買進訊號
死亡交叉:短週期RSI向下跌穿長週期RSI,沽出訊號

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這些就先介紹到這裡吧,之後會為大家介紹MACD和威廉指標這兩個技術指標,都十分有用哦。好了,那我們下回再見吧,謝謝閱讀。


忘記了或沒有看過我以前的分享的話可以透過以下連結到以前的集數哦:
(原創分享)技術分析入門(1) 陰陽燭-上
(原創分享)技術分析入門(2) 陰陽燭-下
(原創分享)技術分析入門(3) 圖表形態(上)
(原創分享)技術分析入門(4) 圖表形態(中)
(原創分享)技術分析入門(5) 圖表形態(下)+ 淺談比特幣價格走勢
(原創分享)技術分析入門(6)波浪理論


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As always great analysis..
Keep the good work..
Upvoted as always for great content..

My point of view:

  • Bitcoin price keeps its stability above the EMA50.
  • Stochastic provide positive motive to push the price to breach the key resistance 4075.00.
  • Breaching 4075.00 confirm the continuation of bullish trend.
  • Breaking 4236.00 and holding above it will push the price to 4980.00.
  • The price must hold above 3776.00 to keep the bullish trend.
  • Breaking 3776.00 level and holding below it will cancel the bulish trend.

If you like to read more, feel free to check my last update..
Wish you a great day..
Thanks also for your great support..

Hello

You are more than welcome to follow me @crypto-guru

Haha I have read your post, great analysis.

I need to start using technical analysis :)

Yes, technical analysis is of utmost importance when it comes to trading. :D

RSI我認為在crypt上不能盡信,其實所有技術指標必須多加配合及留意有機會影響價格的消息。在crypto上超買/超賣的情況經常發生,就如當年eth大升時rsi也是非常超標的,所以我建議先學會所有基本上技術指標,並多看相關新聞,利用多種指標去猜測走勢,不要過份利用單一指標作投資決定,並記緊留有適量的buffer。

說得不錯。

Crazy times and new high coming soon, strong long X100
https://www.bitmex.com/register/HJfZyC

准得没朋友

Good info, good work and good job. May GOD always bless you forever.

Thank you! :)

👍👍👍👍

Thanks :)

a very useful post @htliao. I always follow your post is so interesting. if you have time, i really hope you can support my post.

Hello, A nice post!

You are more than welcome to follow me @crypto-guru

Very interesting post..thanks you for share..

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Thank you so much for sharing all this information! that's great! All the best! Waiting for more posts! :)

看了一遍没怎么懂,然后又看了遍,最后默默的离开了

額,我不是已寫得很淺白嗎? T^T

额。。。好吧,~~~~(>_<)~~~~

Thankyou for sharing @htliao . . At least I know a little about this.

fatfat la

@htliao, As usual Nice post u shared

Thank you!

Thanks for sharing

比特币会在这个年底去到多少?

我猜會超越6000美元。

Thanks to provide Great New and Useful Information

這種小章節教學比較人性化一點 , 一般老師上課一次都給太多... :S

紧紧跟着你学 !

這種bite-size tutorials 很對胃口!謝了學習了!

Congratulations @htliao, this post is the sixth most rewarded post (based on pending payouts) in the last 12 hours written by a Hero account holder (accounts that hold between 10 and 100 Mega Vests). The total number of posts by Hero account holders during this period was 292 and the total pending payments to posts in this category was $4469.93. To see the full list of highest paid posts across all accounts categories, click here.

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Very good your analysis and the best is the technical analysis the bad thing is that you do not speak Spanish to understand 1000%

regards!!! ;)

好贴,适合我这种缺乏理论知识的投资客。

good work It would be a good experience for your happy life
Thank you for your posting

can you recommend how i could earn some tiny money from btc? What is the Chinese secrets recipe- help an African Brother

There are a lot of opportunities in BTC, for example, trading, lending BTC to others in Poloniex, arbitrage. Not hard to earn some tiny money.

Talking about lending, i sent you a private chat on steemchat...wish to do an instant messaging with you when you are least busy.

Just a have smile

說明淺白,圖文並茂。謝謝🖒

现在bitcoin走势如何呢?

我猜年尾會再漲一波並創新高。