Crypto Contest March 9: Status Report XXVI
In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of January 2019. There were 31 contests in January. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct three times. The analysis was wrong six times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 22 times.
The correct ones were the following:
- Crypto Contest January 4: Byteball Bytes
- Crypto Contest January 14: Agrello
- Crypto Contest January 15: VIBE
In these contests the range option won:
- Crypto Contest January 1: NeosCoin
- Crypto Contest January 2: Arbidex
- Crypto Contest January 3: EOS
- Crypto Contest January 5: Loom Network
- Crypto Contest January 6: Status Report XXIV
- Crypto Contest January 7: Litecoin
- Crypto Contest January 10: TRON
- Crypto Contest January 11: Ontology
- Crypto Contest January 12: Status
- Crypto Contest January 13: Unikoin Gold
- Crypto Contest January 16: NoLimitCoin
- Crypto Contest January 17: Augur
- Crypto Contest January 18: Power Ledger
- Crypto Contest January 19: BitShares
- Crypto Contest January 20: PotCoin
- Crypto Contest January 21: Steem
- Crypto Contest January 22: Loopring
- Crypto Contest January 24: Decentraland
- Crypto Contest January 25: TransferCoin
- Crypto Contest January 26: Memetic
- Crypto Contest January 28: Dent
- Crypto Contest January 30: Ethos
In these contests the analysis was wrong:
- Crypto Contest January 8: ParkinGo
- Crypto Contest January 9: Hydro
- Crypto Contest January 23: Propy
- Crypto Contest January 27: Pal Network
- Crypto Contest January 29: IoTeX
- Crypto Contest January 31: Ripple
How did the previous months' analysis go?
From April 1, 2017 to January 31, 2019, the analysis has been correct 138 times, wrong 147 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 361 times.
How did the voters do in January 2019?
The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 21 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 68% of time.
Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:
- Crypto Contest January 1: NeosCoin
- Crypto Contest January 2: Arbidex
- Crypto Contest January 3: EOS
- Crypto Contest January 5: Loom Network
- Crypto Contest January 6: Status Report XXIV
- Crypto Contest January 7: Litecoin
- Crypto Contest January 10: TRON
- Crypto Contest January 11: Ontology
- Crypto Contest January 13: Unikoin Gold
- Crypto Contest January 16: NoLimitCoin
- Crypto Contest January 17: Augur
- Crypto Contest January 18: Power Ledger
- Crypto Contest January 19: BitShares
- Crypto Contest January 20: PotCoin
- Crypto Contest January 21: Steem
- Crypto Contest January 22: Loopring
- Crypto Contest January 24: Decentraland
- Crypto Contest January 25: TransferCoin
- Crypto Contest January 26: Memetic
- Crypto Contest January 28: Dent
- Crypto Contest January 30: Ethos
How did the voters do earlier?
Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February 2018.
January 2019 was the fifth best month for the crowd accuracy.
Conclusion
Congratulations to the winners!
How about next month (February 2019)?
If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the February 2019 contests".
If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the February 2019 contests".
If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the February 2019 contests".
You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST March 12 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.
Bonus 1
I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) or one Steem Monsters (@steemmonsters) card to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.
Bonus 2
Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.
The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the February 2019 contests (16 voters as of 3 PM EST March 12: bentleycapital, gregory-f, mellofello, barbadosso, skepticology, toofasteddie, allyouneedtoknow, kunschj, crokkon, steem-d-anlovnit, fullcoverbetting, jznsamuel, mgood, richard78624, diogosantos, simonjay).
You won. Paid out from @maarnio1
The analysis is right most of the time in the February 2019 contests (4 voters as of 3 PM EST March 12: freiheit50, steemit.nemesis, mitrado, sporttr).
The analysis is wrong most of the time in the February 2019 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST March 12: diana.feuerberg, vicspics, galasek).
We are seeing some green days and some speculation starting to accumulate, so, soon we will see the analysis getting the prediction correct more often than not.
Yep. It is about the time.
Hi @maarnio!
Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 4.864 which ranks you at #1291 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has dropped 2 places in the last three days (old rank 1289).
In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 233 contributions, your post is ranked at #169.
Evaluation of your UA score:
Feel free to join our @steem-ua Discord server
Hi, @maarnio!
You just got a 0.39% upvote from SteemPlus!
To get higher upvotes, earn more SteemPlus Points (SPP). On your Steemit wallet, check your SPP balance and click on "How to earn SPP?" to find out all the ways to earn.
If you're not using SteemPlus yet, please check our last posts in here to see the many ways in which SteemPlus can improve your Steem experience on Steemit and Busy.