Crypto Contest January 6: Status Report XXIV

in #contest6 years ago

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of November 2018. There were 30 contests in November. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct five times. The analysis was wrong 13 times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 12 times.

The correct ones were the following:

  1. Crypto Contest November 3: Bitcoin Cash
  2. Crypto Contest November 17: MobileGo
  3. Crypto Contest November 19: Factom
  4. Crypto Contest November 25: Theta Token
  5. Crypto Contest November 30: Endor Protocol
In these contests the range option won:
  1. Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII
  2. Crypto Contest November 8: Basic Attention Token
  3. Crypto Contest November 9: IoTeX
  4. Crypto Contest November 10: YOYOW
  5. Crypto Contest November 15: QuarkChain
  6. Crypto Contest November 20: NavCoin
  7. Crypto Contest November 21: MaidSafeCoin
  8. Crypto Contest November 22: Quantum Resistant Ledger
  9. Crypto Contest November 24: Everex
  10. Crypto Contest November 26: XEL
  11. Crypto Contest November 27: Ravencoin
  12. Crypto Contest November 29: Red Pulse Phoenix
In these contests the analysis was wrong:
  1. Crypto Contest November 1: Steem
  2. Crypto Contest November 2: Radium
  3. Crypto Contest November 4: Unikoin Gold
  4. Crypto Contest November 5: Ethereum
  5. Crypto Contest November 7: EOS
  6. Crypto Contest November 11: Viberate
  7. Crypto Contest November 12: WePower
  8. Crypto Contest November 13: Horizen
  9. Crypto Contest November 14: AidCoin
  10. Crypto Contest November 16: MonaCoin
  11. Crypto Contest November 18: Databits
  12. Crypto Contest November 23: Augur
  13. Crypto Contest November 28: SingularDTV
How did the previous months' analysis go?

From April 1, 2017 to November 30, 2018, the analysis has been correct 132 times, wrong 136 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 319 times.


How did the voters do in November 2018?

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 13 out of 30 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 43% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

  1. Crypto Contest November 2: Radium
  2. Crypto Contest November 3: Bitcoin Cash
  3. Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII
  4. Crypto Contest November 8: Basic Attention Token
  5. Crypto Contest November 9: IoTeX
  6. Crypto Contest November 10: YOYOW
  7. Crypto Contest November 15: QuarkChain
  8. Crypto Contest November 20: NavCoin
  9. Crypto Contest November 21: MaidSafeCoin
  10. Crypto Contest November 22: Quantum Resistant Ledger
  11. Crypto Contest November 24: Everex
  12. Crypto Contest November 26: XEL
  13. Crypto Contest November 27: Ravencoin
How did the voters do earlier this year?

Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February 2018.


November 2018 was the worst month since July 2018 with crowd accuracy.

Conclusion

Congratulations to the winners!


How about next month (December 2018)?

If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the December 2018 contests".

If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the December 2018 contests".

If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the December 2018 contests".

You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST January 9 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.

Bonus 1

I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.

Bonus 2

Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.


Published by Maarnio

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https://mentormarket.io/maarnio/crypto-contest-january-6-status-report-xxiv/


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The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the December 2018 contests (13 voters as of 3 PM EST January 9: diana.feuerberg, gregory-f, skepticology, novus-locus, allyouneedtoknow, toofasteddie, barbadosso, reconnectnature, ace108, steem-d-anlovnit, jznsamuel, mgood, richard78624).

You won. Paid out from @maarnio1

The analysis is wrong most of the time in the December 2018 contests (4 voters as of 3 PM EST January 9: vicspics, utkarshvarma, fullcoverbetting, sporttr).

The analysis is right most of the time in the December 2018 contests (2 voters as of 3 PM EST January 9: steemit.nemesis, galasek).

Thank you very much for your daily work!

Thank you for being here.

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