You are viewing a single comment's thread from:
RE: Upcoming Fork: Bitcoin God in around 24 Hours
We should start a betting pool on how many BTC forks will happen in 2018. Everyone pays 0.01 BTC who wants in, and then you choose a number representing how many BTC forks you think will happen by Dec 31, 2018. On January 1, 2019 the pot gets distributed equally among everyone that chose the right number.
I'll take 3,624.
:)
probably like 3 per month?
Realistically, it will probably be dramatically affected by how the Lightning implementation goes and what the BTC network is like after that. If the congestion and fees aren't dramatically improved, then there will be incentive to create more forks than if Lightning is a huge success.
I think there will be more who will try to bring their versions of the fork by first quarter of 2018 and the trend should fade away by the end of the year.
My Guess for 2018:
Q1 - Average 3 forks per month
Q2 - Average 4 forks per month
Q3 - Average 2 forks per month
Q4 - Average 1 fork per month
Ofcourse I currently do not have any rationale behind my prediction (much like the forks happening). Just a hunch :)