This post really excited and scared me, I can see that there could be real money to be made and lost here.

I think that even if you studied the ICO a lot of it would still be pure luck. I think that I'll stick to they old adage.

"If you can't afford to lose it, don't gamble or lend it"

I'm sure that I am paraphrasing that wrong, but it is close enough for me :-)