Mike Novogratz - "Bitcoin has 2 days to recover, or else..."steemCreated with Sketch.

in #bitcoin5 years ago

It seems everyone has been a little unnerved by the recent sell off

Even the uber bull Mike Novogratz decided to chime in on the price action.

According to a recent tweet by Novogratz, he thinks that if bitcoin doesn't recover within the next two days (Wednesday), we are likely to see lower lows.

Here's his tweet:

(Source: https://twitter.com/novogratz/status/1199100675298381827)

Specifically he wants to see bitcoin back over $7,500 by Wednesday or he thinks bitcoin will be range bound between $6k and $7.4k for the foreseeable future.

Novogratz has been better than most with is sentiment/chart calls...

Novogratz has made several price predictions over the years regarding bitcoin.

Some have been wrong, but many have turned out to be right.

He does seem to have a pretty good pulse on the bitcoin and crypto market.

Back in May he guided for a price range of $7,000 to $10,000 (with a possibility of higher on a speculative pump) for the immediate future as he foresaw prices needing to consolidate a bit as it came off the lows and broke through $10k.

His call ended up being pretty accurate, though a bit low.

Prices ultimately got near $14k before pulling back and consolidating between $9k and $12k for much of the summer.

Sentiment is approaching negative levels not seen in months

The Fear and Greed index, which is a measure of sentiment in the market, is showing levels not seen since exactly 2 months ago.

Check it out:

(Source: https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/#fng-history)

According to Novogratz, we need to see prices get back above $7,500 or the sentiment and prices will likely head lower.

Interestingly enough, looking at the charts, I think he is only partly right.

My personal opinion is that the bounce we saw this morning off of $6,500 is the kind of bounce you often see at bottoms.

I am going out on a limb and saying that the $6,500 number was it, that was the bottom.

We shall see.

Stay informed my friends.

-Doc

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I just feel like it wasn't quite hard enough bounce to change sentiment, and the path forward is going to be down, not up. Thats what my gut says, but that may be the burritos I had for lunch talking.

It's funny, his call is basically the same as yours from this morning.

I wonder if Novogratz had burritos for lunch too?

I'm keeping my guess that we are going even lower, around $5800.

I am calling 20k by year end. I have absolutely nothing to back that up. I'm just trying to stay positive :)

I like Mike and respect him, but he has been wrong plenty of times.

He says more or less, if that bounce is not the low for this move than we will see lower lows. I agree with his Interpretation but the bounce in this area doesn't need to be resolved within two days, more important is the weekly closing on next sunday which should represent a bullish reversing candle.

Good time to start averaging in :-)

It wouldn't be the first time he was wrong.

Novogratz: I also believe that he does seem to have a pretty good pulse on the crypto market.

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