Bitcoin Price Forecast 9/15/2017

in #bitcoin7 years ago

Newton would have been a fantastic crypto trader! Current MC: $125.6B (+$9.8B) Bitcoin Dominance 48.5%!

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Any good crypto trader knows that what goes up must come down. Sometimes what goes down must come back up!

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Bitcoin prices staged a nice recovery after a massive dip to the $3K zone early this morning. On Bitfinex Bitcoin prices went as low as $2980. Then Bitcoin quickly rebounded to a price of $3809 in a matter of hours, settling in just below $3750 now.

The market cap went as low as $97.5B last night!!! Since all prices are measured in Bitcoin price, any fluctuation will massively affect the overall market cap. Still this represents a 45% loss in overall market cap and a 40% loss in Bitcoin price in a matter of only TWO WEEKS! Are we staging for the next rally? Is this where institutional investors are going to finally step in with the millions that we know are waiting on the sidelines?

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(Source: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/)

China can try to ban Bitcoin all they want, the demand is still there internationally and Bitcoin will never go away. Even if they DID ban Bitcoin in China there are many ways around a ban now with VPNs (Virtual Private Networks) and even a Bitcoin satellite now in space that you can send transactions to via SMS. Not even the Great Firewall of China can stop Bitcoin!

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In today's chart you will see that Bitcoin prices FINALLY bottomed out around $3K before investors showed enough interest in picking up more. A 40% loss in price is a significant discount and anyone who wanted to invest in the $4K range most certainly would invest at $3K and up.

We should be looking to form new support zones around $3600 and the resistance is somewhere around $3800-3900. If we can break past that $3900 barrier point then we are looking to top $4150 after that. The resistance and support ranges are much wider in the $3K zone than in the previous $4K zone. Expect a lot of volatility today as the market determines fair value for Bitcoin amid uncertain times. Stochastics indicate that we are slightly overbought in the $3700 range and due for a drop to the moving average around $3550 or below.

Likely Scenarios:

  • BTC takes a hit on increased Chinese crackdowns on exchanges and we see $3100-3300 tested again
  • BTC maintains international support and we only drop as low as $3450 and continue to rally upwards
  • BTC prices negate all of the bad news and continue to hold strong in mid $3500 range attempting $3900 by tonight

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TLDR Version:
There will be a LOT of volatility today so keep an eye on key support levels of $3000, $3300 and $3600. A break out past $3750 will signal a rally back to $3850-3950 again. Alt-coin markets remain fragile today but still profitable.

Price Target:
$3830

*Never invest more than you are willing to lose and always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
(All pictures without sources are free domain images from snappygoat.com or created by myself.)

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I cannot care less about the retracement because i bought at 2250. I can even sell now and still make profit.

I will not care next year either when the price falls down from 10.000.

I miss buying Bitcoin in the hundreds. I used to buy .1BTC almost every other night just to play poker with :-/

I like that idea. Is there not a coin for a casino actually ? Need to research this.

Hell yeah. Only thing I sold yesterday was Litecoin because I used it to put MORE money into STEEM and Bitshares.

I've been snapping up bitcoin and ether lately. It's been a morning ritual this week. I got some Monday and Wednesday too but I traded it for STEEM shortly after as it's been a bargain lately too.

I'm happy to see my latest buys BTC and ETH are all proving to be profitable. Not that I'm selling any time in the next few years but it was great seeing those tall green candles on the charts this morning.

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If it dips down below $3100 again I'll probably make one more buy.

Cost averaging is one of the best techniques there is!

Absolutely! Especially in this crazy volatile market.

i didn't just HODL, i was greedy for discounts. Lol

Don't you think we'd see a period of consolidation here? The Chinese decision is a solid blow that, despite the initial shockwave, will require some time to fully be accounted for.

Folks on the sidelines who were waiting for a pull back to buy will be met with sellers happy to unload after hanging on too long. This could set in motion the second round of selling.

Long term I'm bullish, but I'm not sure there's a big move north coming just yet. Cheers!

Maybe the consolidation will happen in the high $3,000 zone?

Nice price analysis!
The impact of China on the crypto market (in trading volume) is not as big as many people may think. It could easily be evened out by increasing participation in other countries for example India, or just the increasing participation that will happen in North America or Europe as Cryptocurrencies become more and more mainstream.

But I think we will see another downtrend toward the $3100 or even $3k mark in the next couple of days or weeks before the market will recover to the prices we saw 2/3 weeks ago.
Watch my Video for my take on the China exchange ban and the market forecast:


NOW CONFIRMED: CHINA BANS EXCHANGES - WILL THERE BE ANOTHER CRASH?

There are definitely some hold outs in the Chinese market who have yet to dump. They wanted to get better prices for their coins so they waited a few days. We very well may see another round coming up! They are really trying hard to shake us off the Bitcoin wagon but I'm not budging :P

Neither am I. I think you're right, that we will see some more sell offs coming from China, but I'm optimistic that we will fully recover in October.

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