The cloak of visibility: Bidbots and other lies

in #steem7 years ago

It is no secret that I am not a fan of bidbots and the reasons are varied but one of the main ones is that it can create large gaps in distribution relatively quickly. From what I have heard, even now the smaller bidders are being pushed out of the market and are less and less likely to get a positive return on their bid. So much for helping minnows grow.

But, there is another claim that has been made and I have heard from all sizes and reps. People are saying they only use it because of 'bidbot for visibility' but, is it true? Does using a bidbot get you more views?

Yes. But, those views are not likely to be the kinds of views you want or need unless you want the people who trawl the bidbot orders looking for accounts to frontrun. Generally, they aren't going to be the high rep whales some Claim to be looking for.

Even if you do spend 100 or more SBD and vote it up enough to hit trending, do you know who checks trending? Newcomers who have no idea that trending is useless and people with 15 SP who think that voting on a post that already has 200 dollars on it is going to help them get rich.

The follows one might get from being in trending are largely the same, people who follow trending posts, not people who are looking to engage with the content at all. People who drop generic comments hoping for a small upvote without having read the post at all.

Is that the kind of visibility you are after?

Even when content is decent and someone of any value either personal or of SP does come across a post, are they likely to give it a serious read considering it has only hit trending because of the bots? I am unsure but speaking for myself, I skip over bot content quite quickly due to my opinion of them.

I had a look at guitar guy's profile today, someone who has been in trending for a month or more pretty much every day and besides one of the bots that follows him, after the first 5 or 6 follower, there is no one over a 1 dollar vote and after 50, they are in the 1-2 cent range. This is someone with over 2000 followers and as passe as his content is, it isn't that bad and nowhere near the worst overall on this platform. Unlike Selfi guy who after 2 months of consistent bidbot voting trash pictures (mostly of himself), has just over 100 followers.

From what I can see, the argument of visibility just doesn't hold up to any kind of worthwhile visibility and the ability to attract quality followers is laughable. What this means is that unless someone has any other reasons to offer, all that is left is profit. The only reason to order the bot votes is to make money. I am fine with that, but why hide it? Why have excuses that just don't seem to hold up under the slightest scrutiny?

I was listening to a talk about bad behaviours and the incentive to stop them and something interesting was said. For someone to feel that they must step in and act, the behaviour has to be obviously breaking of social convention and someone else must have seen that the person has witnessed it. In other words, unless you see me, see the bad behaviour or if it is 'borderline', I am not obliged to act. Add social proof into the mix where 'if others don't act, I won't' and it means a whole host of harmful actions can go unchecked.

Bidbots are only borderline when people do not do the basic thinking required, do the math or if they buy into the idea that 'the system allows it' so it is okay.

For anyone wondering @penguinpablo puts out stats on lots of Steem related numbers and has started adding known bidbot votes. There are 'blackmarket' and voting pools that are unknowns too. In todays's stats, we can see that for the last week, bidbots make up only ~1.5% of votes. Not bad right?

From another set of his numbers (4 days ago) we can see the value sent to bots and their worth.

He estimates that over 100,000 dollars worth is being sent to the bots every day. That is about 50,000 SBD. The system prints around about 50,000 Steem per day (including what goes to witnesses) and an 'unknown amount of SBD. That means that the value of SBD sent to bidbots currently covers the entire STEEM portion of the pool.

$ 8,874.26 ( ~ 11,900.08 USD )
( 1.226 % of total reward fund )

*Taken from @steemchiller's steemworld.com site.

In case you are wondering what the numbers above are, that is the estimated value for the week for one particularly overpaid Trade Analyst. For the week. The bidbots are getting 10 times that sent to them every day and they are voting only 1.5% of all votes. On top of that, they are collecting curation rewards and most small bidders are still losing value.

On the 12.3.2018 this was created by the blockchain for rewards
STEEM 47698
SBD 47958.43
source

On the same day: 2018-03-12 was sent to the known bidbots.
7,328 STEEM
47,245 SBD
source

That means on that day, only 700 more SBD and 40,000 more STEEM was created than sent to bidbots. Those bots than voted more than what was sent and collected curation.

What this means is a massively disproportionate amount is being distributed to a very small minority of users under the guise of helping small accounts grow. If the small account bidders are losing value, how exactly are they growing? Oh, that's right by getting more valuable eyes on but, that isn't happening either is it considering long term users have so little 'real Steem power followers' following them.

Is this obvious enough to act upon yet? Is the behaviour and harm still borderline? What does it require for a community to act then?

I have tried many ways to present what I think the harm of the bidbots to the system creates but the arguments are always the same excuses, visibility, followers, the system allows it. Because of these, the poor behaviours can go on in plain view and because no one does anything, no one will do anything. Social ignorance? Is that a thing?

When I write my various texts I try to do a few things and one is to entertain but unlike a game, I don't want to distract the mind, I want the mind to entertain itself by thinking somehow differently than it did before. I am by no measure saying I am correct in my views, nor that I see everything that goes on but, I am hoping that when people stop by and have a read of my overly long articles, they find something of value to either think about, discuss, argue for or against or perhaps review their own positions. From these discussions, we can clarify, reformulate and rebuild better and better systems.

Yes, the system allows bidbots and I am not in any position to stop either the sellers or the users but, I would be a pretty poor human if I didn't at least try and present some different perspectives and instead turned a blind eye to what I think is not beneficial for the community.

Oh btw, the value that is going to the bidbots each day? That is the value of a whale account created. How much is going to the users and how much is going to the bots. Do the math. Now, how much value is left in the pool for the other 98.5% of votes cast? Do the math again.

Taraz
[ a Steemit original ]

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On the 12.3.2018 this was created by the blockchain for rewards
STEEM 47698
SBD 47958.43
source

On the same day: 2018-03-12 was sent to the known bidbots.
7,328 STEEM
47,245 SBD
source

That means on that day, only 700 more SBD and 40,000 more STEEM was created than sent to bidbots. Those bots than voted more than what was sent and collected curation.

OK seriously that is completely insane. I knew that the bid bots were making serious profits, but this is without question an insane profit to be earning.

You have said over and over that you don't like the bots, but putting the numbers together like this is what I needed to see.

That's it, my current post will not get any bid bot action and I will resist the urge to do future ones. Going to spend more time on content vs trying to time a bid bot. Do like seeing the large payouts each time, but really it's just been a refund of my money.

When I saw it, I couldn't believe it. I still think I am missing something. I put the sources there for others to check just in case.

I'm going to have to look at the numbers later when I have time. But guessing you did your homework so trusted them.

@thedarkhorse, it's a real eye-opener right??!! My gut has been telling me that it's not in our best interest to use, but that's not much of an explanation for someone who uses them and disagrees with me...and I'm not talking about you here! Thank you @tarazkp for giving me the numbers to dispel the myth that so many hold here!

Oh I'm guilty of using them and trying to play catch up to all the larger accounts on here. Really want to get myself to a point where my online/digital income streams allow me to travel the world. Goal right now is a 2 year time frame and I'm not counting on steemit for any of that. Would be amazing to grow this to something that would be an additional stream of income to make these travels even more enjoyable. So using the bots to push posts up made sense to me. But these numbers are truly mind blowing. Talk about the rich get richer.

You're only guilty of trying to improve or accelerate you and your families travel plans.

But these numbers are truly mind blowing. Talk about the rich get richer.

That pretty much says it all!!

Yup, the only people profiting of bidbots are the ones making them possible through delegations and those setting them up raking in curation rewards.

The less people use them the profitable it gets, but if more people started using them no one would profit and all along the way it seems like the buyers of votes have forgotten that the pool is shared among all users so they are basically just stealing rewards from those that don't buy votes for their worthless visibility.

Like I mentioned in another article, they are playing a game to turn enough people away but retain enough to maximise their profits. It is the largest lot of nonsense I have seen here and considering who is involved, there should be some changes made.

What it really comes down to is this allows the large stake holders to delegate their SP and make profits as if they were self voting without any risk of someone coming along and calling them out for using all that power to self vote. While I have known this part I just didn't realize how much of the SP had been delegated to bots to make that much money.

On the 12.3.2018 this was created by the blockchain for rewards
STEEM 47698
SBD 47958.43
source

On the same day: 2018-03-12 was sent to the known bidbots.
7,328 STEEM
47,245 SBD
source

Yup.. I'm not surprised...

Gosh, if only someone talked about the evils of bidbots earlier... Travel Back with me, 8 Months Ago

...damnit...

Yeah.. there were several of us discussing the impacts back then. Not enough people listened to us.. but it is what it is.. live, learn, adapt!

yeah. Is what it is unfortunately.

If this keeps going like this the biggest users on this site would be the bot owners, and that would be extremely bad because bigger users should put part of their time for curation, and obviously the bots don't curate at all...

But I don't see ned trying to fix this issue so we will probably have to life with this for a while. And see if the system can maintain itself...

It is a shame that nothing is getting done about this. i would hope something would happening in a HF except, several of the decision makers are also involved in the bidbots.

Nice article. It is very hard for new user to achieve seen articles. I am using bots, I don't like the way that they are working but they have helped me to gain some visibility and followers. Dough most of my followers are not powerful and their vote doesn't worth much, I don't care. I am not here with a first goal to make money, I like discussions and different opinions and some of my followers are very smart and interesting people and I love discussions with them. Without using bots I probably wouldn't meet them. Just my two cents...

Talking about me? Smart and interesting fits me :)
But indeed bots are a way to get noticed! People are much more likely to read an article with a high payout than one with no payout. From them own their will or will not follow you, but at least you are giving your post a chance to get noticed.
But for red fishes, like myself, there is no use, cause the small amount of SBD we have, doesn't make an impact on the system. I will not create any visibility to us.

Of course that I am talking about you 😀 you are one of them 😀

do you know who checks trending? Newcomers who have no idea that trending is useless and people with 15 SP who think that voting on a post that already has 200 dollars on it is going to help them get rich.
LarryCableGuyFunnyStuff.jpg
Image source
How to make this comment

  • yup that was newbie WizarDave haha

I just did a post looking at are people really getting rich using bots and upvote services

  • The perception I get is that most here on Steemit think people are.
    • crunching some numbers shows that really they aren't.
      • However, if you tie it with your post, the people who are really making the money are those running the bots!
  • So, it's in their best interest to create the perception that people can get rich using bots.
    • We can talk ethics all day long, but as long as people think that, they will continue to use bots... chasing that elusive quick buck.
      • I think the answer is to show, as you have in this post, that using bots is pretty much a waste of time for the consumer.

Thanks for another great post @tarazkp!

  • keep being that beacon in the fog...
    • helping to keep us from crashing into the rocks...
      lighthouse.jpg
https://pixabay.com/en/photos/?q=lighthouse&hp=&image_type=all&order=&cat=&min_width=&min_height=

Another good post sir.

"...What we have here, is a failure to communicate..."

Meaning the 'whales' are not interested in communication. They have no issue with the status quo. And no incentive to change.

( I don't correlate whale with IQ)

It's similar to the deep state in many ways..

To force change - we have to think outside the box, methinks...

How about a self register of people who want to be known for never using bots.
Not on the list? no up votes from 'real people'?

Integrity has it's price, and it's benefits...

(I'm not saying this is the answer, just the first thing coming to mind, while writing this.)

The funny thing is I find here is that everything become unwieldy very fast doesn't it? It is very hard to get large groups to do anything together, especially if it might cost them in the short-term view.

I think the reason I use bots is because I want to see progress in my blog, I know it's fake but the organic way is long and tedious. But luckily I don't have enough money to do what guitar guy is doing, so I just try to really improve every day.
I guess that it would have been better off without the bots at all but reality is what it is.

Yes, I have tried with bid bots and without, and the without days are ... well pretty pathetic in terms of metrics.

I have no clue how to gain real visibility without buying votes for visibility. Seems unless you are very attractive, or already successful, visibility here is hard to come by! :)

Everything takes time my friend... sad but it's better to face reality than to live in a delusion

I fully agree. It will give a false feeling of appreciation. In the beginning I decided to not use them, but I have been experimenting with them in the past week. The only value it adds, is that they make it easier to grow in reputation!

Yup, tried them for a week. Turned over perhaps positive numbers but felt like nothing. And after seeing these statistics.. yeah, completely asinine.

Certainly boosted my SP using the bots, but I could have bought more SP when I had the chance at .63 from the market instead of wasting all that time trying to get a good bid... I missed that one ugh..

Never again.

Great post, Taraz. I'm on board.

unless you see me, see the bad behaviour or if it is 'borderline', I am not obliged to act. Add social proof into the mix where 'if others don't act, I won't' and it means a whole host of harmful actions can go unchecked.

We are all responsible and obligated to act not just the Whales

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