We crossed 105 million votes in the 2022 Midterms so far.

In 2018, 122 million voted.

Turnout is expected to be below 2018, but still far above previous Midterms. Hopefully this is a new normal.

The House popular vote margin has closed a bit as expected and now only is R+3.7%. Right now Republicans lead in 222 seats, which would be R+2%. Typically the House popular vote margin overestimates how many seats Dems will win, but this time it seems like it will overestimate how many seats Republicans will win.

The final generic ballot average was R+1%. It looks like it should be fairly close to the final seat gain. The error in regards to the House popular vote was about average error.